ATP. Umag. Clay
Sinner Ya. ๐ฎ๐น - Mochizuki Sh. ๐ฏ๐ต
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1Sinner Ya. ๐ฎ๐น โ 91%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
2Mochizuki Sh. ๐ฏ๐ต โ odds 20.00 ยท edge +4.4% ยท 2 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sinner Ya. ๐ฎ๐น - Mochizuki Sh. ๐ฏ๐ต July 5, 2026
Tennis math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics โ for reference.
Form and head-to-head โข Wimbledon - Men - Round of 16
Team stats
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
ELO rating by surface โข grass
Player strength by ELO
ELO ratings by surface: Ultimate Tennis Statistics / Tennis Abstract. For reference.
Match workload
Fatigue and schedule
- Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
- Sets in 7 days: 6
- Rest: 2 days
- Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
- Sets in 7 days: 7
- Rest: 2 days
Workload computed from matches played in our database (singles only, doubles excluded). For reference.
Form and surface
Recent matches
- Hard: 1โ0
- Clay: 18โ1
- Hard: 3โ11
- Clay: 0โ1
- Grass: 1โ2
Form, surface stats and head-to-head: tennis-data.co.uk (ATP/WTA main tour). For reference.
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Sinner Ya. ๐ฎ๐น - Mochizuki Sh. ๐ฏ๐ต
Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Yannik Sinner - Sintaro Mochizuki. Uimbldon (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 31.3% | — | |
| 3.75 26.7% | — | |
| 5.50 18.2% | — | |
| 1.01 99.0% | — | |
| 2.50 40.0% | — | |
| 2.50 40.0% | — | |
| 6.00 16.7% | — | |
| 2.95 33.9% | 1.91 52.4% | |
| — | 1.86 53.8% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | — | |
| 1.23 81.3% | — | |
| 1.11 90.1% | — | |
| 12.00 8.3% | — | |
| 1.50 66.7% | — | |
| 1.45 69.0% | — | |
| 1.09 91.7% | — | |
| 1.35 74.1% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 25.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 26.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 27.5 | 1.47 68.0% |
| Over 28.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| Over 29.5 | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 30.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 31.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 32.5 | 9.00 11.1% |
| Over 33.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 34.5 | 11.00 9.1% |
| Over 35.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| Under 25.5 | 2.90 34.5% |
| Under 26.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Under 27.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Under 28.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| Under 29.5 | 6.00 16.7% |
| Under 30.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Under 31.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | 1.01 99.0% | |
| 16.00 6.3% | 14.00 7.1% |
Sinner Ya. ๐ฎ๐น
Bruksbi Dzh. ๐บ๐ธ
Borzhesh N. ๐ต๐น
Full head-to-head historySinner Ya. ๐ฎ๐น - Mochizuki Sh. ๐ฏ๐ต