ATP. Umag. Clay
ATP. Umag. Clay
04.07.2026 13:30 UTC 3 round
Finished

ATP. Umag. Clay

Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ - Bublik A

Tennis
Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
2 : 3
6:4 6:7 6:7 6:4 3:6
Finished
Bublik A
Bublik A

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ - Bublik A July 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bublik A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.00 / 2 1.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.8%
1 11.7%
2 88.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins2
1.5Average score1.3

Head-to-head matches: 4 Β· average total 2.8 (goals)

Team form

Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
9-1WWLWWWWWWW
scored 2.0conceded 0.6
Bublik A
6-4WLLWWLLWWW
scored 1.7conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

Form and head-to-head β€’ Wimbledon - Men - 3rd Round

Team stats

Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
WWLWWWWWWW
W 9 β€’ D 0 β€’ L 1 (10)
Goals average:2 : 0.6
Bublik A
WWLLWWLLWW
W 6 β€’ D 0 β€’ L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.6 : 1.3
Head-to-head: 3 β€” Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 1, draws 0, Bublik A 2 (goals 4:5)
  • Frances Tiafoe β€” Alexander Bublik2023-10-30 0:2
  • Frances Tiafoe β€” Alexander Bublik2022-07-01 3:1
  • Frances Tiafoe β€” Alexander Bublik2022-06-20 1:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

ELO rating by surface β€’ grass

Player strength by ELO

Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
ELO 1994 #26
hard2026
clay1890
grass1978
Best career ranking: #14
Bublik A
ELO 1864 #69
hard1883
clay1849
grass2031
Best career ranking: #20
ELO favourite (grass): Bublik A β€” ELO 2031 vs 1978

ELO ratings by surface: Ultimate Tennis Statistics / Tennis Abstract. For reference.

Match workload

Fatigue and schedule

Tiafo F.
Normal schedule
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
  • Sets in 7 days: 7
  • Rest: 2 days
Bublik A.
High workload
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
  • Sets in 7 days: 8
  • Rest: 2 days

Workload computed from matches played in our database (singles only, doubles excluded). For reference.

Form and surface

Recent matches

Tiafo F.
14–6 (70% over last 20)
  • Hard: 0–1
  • Clay: 7–4
  • Grass: 7–1
Bublik A.
9–11 (45% over last 20)
  • Hard: 2–3
  • Clay: 5–6
  • Grass: 2–2

Form, surface stats and head-to-head: tennis-data.co.uk (ATP/WTA main tour). For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Vseangliyskiy klub laun-tennisa i kroketa. Kort 1
Start 04.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ - Bublik A

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty tennisnogo matches Frensis Tiafo - Aleksandr Bublik, 04 iyulya 2026. Uimbldon (m). Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Frensis Tiafo - Aleksandr Bublik, kto pobedil.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet Β· line only
1 8.00 Fonbet Β· line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.14 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +0.5 1.20 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -0.5 4.80 Fonbet Β· line only
1 +0.5 3.95 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 37.5 1.50 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 38.5 1.55 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.89 52.9% 4.80 20.8%
1.89 52.9% 2.20 45.5%
2.25 44.4%
2.15 46.5%
2.20 45.5%
1.89 52.9% 1.20 83.3%
1.89 52.9% 5.80 17.2%
5.40 18.5%
2.95 33.9%
1.14 87.7%
1.60 62.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.63 61.4%
1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 37.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 38.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 39.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 40.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 41.5 1.84 54.4% 1.70 58.8%
Over 42.5 1.95 51.3% 1.67 59.9%
Over 43.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 44.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 45.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 46.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 47.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 48.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 49.5 2.12 47.2%
Over 50.5 2.13 47.0%
Under 41.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 42.5 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.83 54.6% 8.00 12.5% 1.82 55.0%
1.98 50.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.96 51.0%
Match center
Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
W W
02.07 11:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 3:1 Yan Choinski πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§Yan Choinski πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§
30.06 16:15 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2:1 Atman T. πŸ‡«πŸ‡·Atman T. πŸ‡«πŸ‡·
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.5 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Bublik A
W W
02.07 16:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Bublik A 3:0 Zhake K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡·Zhake K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡·
30.06 09:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Bublik A 3:2 Kokkinakis T. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊKokkinakis T. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί
2 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage