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ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles International
11.08.2026 23:55 UTC Match prediction

Echargui M - Zheng Michael

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles hard 11.08.2026 23:55 UTC Finished
11.08.2026 23:55 UTC Finished
Echargui M
Echargui M
Rank #194 Elo 287
28Very Bad Form
L L W L L L W W
Zheng Michael
Zheng Michael
Rank #113 Elo 565
63Average Form
L L L W W L L L
1:2 7:5 2:6 4:6
1 2 3 GP
Echargui M 7 2 4 1
Zheng Michael 5 6 6 2
1 2 3
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#194 Rating #113
33 Age 22
1.78m Height (cm) 1.88m
72kg Weight (kg) 73kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Echargui M Zheng Michael
Aces per match 4.17 4.35
Double faults per match 2.52 2.35
Breaks per match 2 1.5

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Moez Echargui
Rank:194 Elo: 287
L L W L L L W W
Michael Zheng
Rank:113 Elo: 565
L L L W W L L L
Elo favourite:Zheng Michael (edge +278 Elo)

Hard

Moez EcharguiMichael Zheng
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 25.0% 4 / 16 Matches 64.7% 11 / 17 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 20 / 40 Matches 77.1% 27 / 35 Matches

Clay

Moez EcharguiMichael Zheng
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 25.0% 3 / 12 Matches 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 25.0% 3 / 12 Matches 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches

Grass

Moez EcharguiMichael Zheng
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 28.1% 9 / 32 Matches 62.5% 20 / 32 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 45.6% 26 / 57 Matches 72.0% 36 / 50 Matches
Current rank 194 113

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng
Prize money (career) $270,500 USD $81,357 USD
Rating 194 113
Age 33 22
Height 1.78m 1.88m
Weight 72kg 73kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng
Match Wins 28 % 63 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 24 % 61 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 67 % 67 %
Wins in Straight Sets 19 % 38 %
Wins From Behind 8 % 29 %
Won At Least 1 Set 56 % 81 %
Set 1 Win 34 % 59 %
Set 2 Win 41 % 63 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.53 10.19 9.86
Over 6.5 93 % 96 % 95 %
Over 7.5 86 % 96 % 91 %
Over 8.5 72 % 91 % 82 %
Over 9.5 52 % 70 % 61 %
Over 10.5 21 % 22 % 22 %
Over 11.5 21 % 22 % 22 %

Aces

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng Match total
Aces Per Match 4.17 4.35 8.52
Most Aces in a match 31 % 43 % N/A
1+ 93 % 87 % 96 %
2+ 72 % 74 % 94 %
3+ 62 % 65 % 94 %
4+ 48 % 52 % 81 %
5+ 38 % 39 % 73 %

Breaks

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng Match total
Breaks Per Match 2 1.5 3.5
Over 0.5 93 % 57 % 100 %
Over 1.5 66 % 57 % 100 %
Over 2.5 66 % 17 % 43 %
Over 3.5 0 % 9 % 40 %
Over 4.5 0 % 9 % 40 %
Over 5.5 0 % 9 % 7 %

Tie-breaks

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.48 0.35 0.42
Over 0.5 34 % 30 % 32 %
Over 1.5 10 % 4 % 7 %
Under 0.5 66 % 70 % 32 %
Under 1.5 90 % 96 % 7 %

Double faults

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.52 2.35 4.87
Over 0.5 (1+) 93 % 78 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 66 % 61 % 92 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 38 % 39 % 81 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 28 % 26 % 71 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 14 % 17 % 52 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 10 % 13 % 43 %

Net points

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.43 11.39 17.82
Over 4.5 (5+) 33 % 89 % 61 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 29 % 78 % 54 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 19 % 78 % 49 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 14 % 78 % 46 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 10 % 78 % 44 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 0 % 67 % 34 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 4.00 24.1% BetBoom
P2 1.27 75.9% BetBoom

Echargui M go head-to-head with Zheng Michael on August 11, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Echargui M 1-0-4, Zheng Michael 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 26% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Zheng Michael — 74%

1 · Echargui M26.2%
market 10%
2 · Zheng Michael ✓ Pick73.8%
market 90%

Model estimate: win Echargui M 26.2%, win Zheng Michael 73.8%. Model favourite — Zheng Michael.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Zheng Michael (odds1.23) Score 0:2 confidence 74% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Eshargui M: forma PVP (1-2)
  • • Chzhen Maykl: forma PVPVP (2-3)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.18→1.27 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Chzhen Maykl: probability 74% vs 82% on the line (odds 1.23)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Echargui M - Zheng Michael August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zheng Michael.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zheng Michael. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Echargui M 26.2% / Zheng Michael 73.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7% 2 books · best price +3.4%
1 10.2%
2 ✓ Pick 89.8%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 4.80 ↓ 3.75
Winner 2 1.18 ↑ 1.27

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Echargui M
14%
15.00
Zheng Michael
86%
1.08
Total
Over 20.5
47%
1.94
Under 20.5
53%
1.95

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Echargui M
3-7LLWWLLLWLL
scored 0.9conceded 1.7
Zheng Michael
7-3WWWLWLWLWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 11.08.2026 23:55 UTC
Market 1 6.3% @ 15.00 / 2 93.7% @ 1.01
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Zheng Michael 74%
💹 Market Zheng Michael 90%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Echargui M - Zheng Michael

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Echargui M Zheng Michael Result
Set 1 7 5 7:5
Set 2 2 6 2:6
Set 3 4 6 4:6
Metric Echargui M Zheng Michael SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 0% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 73.8% fact: away hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.137 / LogLoss 0.303
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 52.9% fact: away hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.444 / LogLoss 0.638
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Echargui M 24.2% 35.2%
Zheng Michael 75.8% 64.8% model more cautious than market
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko26.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.43).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 26.2% / 73.8% probabilities
Rating 1,455 / 1,704 Echargui M / Zheng Michael
RD 219 / 160 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,018-1,892 / 1,384-2,024 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 73.8%
1 6.60 market consensus · no value · model 26.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 5.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.02 49.5%
10.00 10.0%
2.30 43.5%
9.00 11.1%
1.45 69.0%
1.35 74.1%
1.25 80.0%
1.38 72.5%
5.00 20.0%
1.70 58.8%
1.02 98.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.04 96.2%
2.55 39.2%
3.00 33.3%
3.65 27.4%
2.80 35.7%
1.13 88.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.07 93.5%
10.50 9.5%
1.02 98.0%
6.60 15.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 18.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 19.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 20.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 21.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 22.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 23.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 24.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 25.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 26.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 27.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 28.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 29.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 30.5 7.50 13.3%
Over 32.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 17.5 3.15 31.8%
Under 18.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 19.5 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 2.5 10.50 9.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2026-08-12 · Moez Eshargi 1:2 Maykl Chzhen
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 5.6 (Pari) · 2 1.17 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 5.6 1.15
Winline 5.5 1.15
Fonbet 5.6 1.15
Betcity 5.1 1.17
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

3 Eysy 6
3 Dvoynye oshibki 2
9 Vsego breyk-poyntov 7
4 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 6
85 Vyigrannye Points 95
48 Points na podache 58
37 Poteryannye Points na podache 37
44 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 59
39 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 34
27 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 40
21 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 18
6 Maks. ochkov podryad 6
4 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 6
9 Geymy na podache 11
13 Vyigrannye geymy 17
3 Maks. geymov podryad 5
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Echargui M
L L W L L
2026-08-04 2026 Lexington, USA
Echargui M Echargui M 0:2 Johnson Spencer
2026-07-26 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Echargui M Martin Andres 2:0 Echargui M
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Echargui M Lee Jordan 0:2 Echargui M
2026-07-20 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Echargui M Echargui M 0:2 Harris L
2026-07-14 2026 Lincoln, USA
Echargui M Suresh D 2:1 Echargui M
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Zheng Michael
L W L W L
2026-08-02 2026 Montreal, Canada
Zheng Michael 1:2 Kecmanovic M Zheng Michael
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Zheng Michael 2:0 Nishikori K Zheng Michael
2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Gea A 2:1 Zheng Michael Zheng Michael
2026-07-29 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Zheng Michael 2:0 Landaluce M Zheng Michael
2026-07-25 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Fearnley J 2:0 Zheng Michael Zheng Michael
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEchargui M - Zheng Michael

Echargui M
0 matches total
Zheng Michael
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Echargui M vs Zheng Michael?

By the PropickAI model, Zheng Michael is favoured — about 74% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Echargui M vs Zheng Michael?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Zheng Michael. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Echargui M vs Zheng Michael start?

August 11, 2026.