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Landaluce M — Arnaldi M

Tennis 15.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Favourite Landaluce M best odds 1.90

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
15.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles

Landaluce M - Arnaldi M

Tennis
Landaluce M
Landaluce M
2 : 1
Finished
Arnaldi M
Arnaldi M

Landaluce M meet Arnaldi M on August 15, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Landaluce M (odds1.95) Score 2:1 confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • Landaluse M
  • 🇪🇸 — Arnaldi M
  • 🇮🇹 (tennis)
  • Landaluse M
  • 🇪🇸: forma VPVVP (3-2)
  • Arnaldi M
  • 🇮🇹: forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • Model backs Landaluse M
  • 🇪🇸: probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Landaluce M - Arnaldi M August 15, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Landaluce M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / 2 2.21

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 6 books · best price +9.2%
1 54.7%
2 45.3%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Landaluce M
54%
1.90
Arnaldi M
46%
2.21
Total
Over 4.5
51%
1.81
Under 4.5
49%
1.91

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Landaluce M
4-6WWLLLLLWWL
sets for 1.1sets against 1.5
Arnaldi M
6-4WWWWLLWLWL
sets for 1.7sets against 1.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Cincinnati, USA

1/64-finals (R128)
Norrie, Cameron2
Prizmic, Dino1
Fucsovics, Marton0
Atmane, Terence0
Shimabukuro, Sho0
Hurkacz, Hubert2
Jacquet, Kyrian0
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel2
Shapovalov, Denis2
Mannarino, Adrian0
Burruchaga, Roman Andres1
Struff, Jan-Lennard2
Navone, Mariano2
Collignon, Raphael0
Ugo Carabelli, Camilo0
Kecmanovic, Miomir2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Choinski, Jan1
Landaluce, Martin2
Draper, Jack0
Hijikata, Rinky2
Monfils, Gael1
Svajda, Zachary0
Bellucci, Mattia2
Droguet, Titouan1
Berrettini, Matteo2
Hanfmann, Yannick2
Van Assche, Luca0
Wolf, Jeffrey John0
Duckworth, James2
Kopriva, Vit0
Halys, Quentin2
Michelsen, Alex2
De Jong, Jesper0
Merida, Daniel2
Cilic, Marin1
Van de Zandschulp, Botic2
Shevchenko, Alexander0
O'Connell, Christopher2
Majchrzak, Kamil0
Machac, Tomas0
Carreno Busta, Pablo2
Borges, Nuno2
Kokkinakis, Thanasi1
Kovacevic, Aleksandar2
Khachanov, Karen1
Medjedovic, Hamad0
Trungelliti, Marco2
Faria, Jaime2
Brooksby, Jenson0
Walton, Adam2
Mejia, Nicolas0
Marozsan, Fabian1
Zheng, Michael2
Wong, Coleman1
Altmaier, Daniel2
Baez, Sebastian2
Dimitrov, Grigor1
Shang, Juncheng0
Sonego, Lorenzo2
Lajal, Mark0
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel2
Royer, Valentin0
Tsitsipas, Stefanos2
1/32-finals (R64)
Zverev, Alexander2
Norrie, Cameron1
Atmane, Terence2
Etcheverry, Tomas Martin0
Paul, Tommy2
Hurkacz, Hubert1
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel2
Vacherot, Valentin0
Jodar, Rafael2
Shapovalov, Denis1
Struff, Jan-Lennard0
Tabilo, Alejandro2
Blockx, Alexander2
Navone, Mariano0
Kecmanovic, Miomir1
Cobolli, Flavio2
Djokovic, Novak1
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Landaluce, Martin2
Arnaldi, Matteo1
Darderi, Luciano0
Hijikata, Rinky2
Bellucci, Mattia1
Mensik, Jakub2
Lehecka, Jiri2
Berrettini, Matteo1
Hanfmann, Yannick0
Fils, Arthur2
Fery, Arthur2
Duckworth, James1
Halys, Quentin1
de Minaur, Alex2
Fritz, Taylor2
Michelsen, Alex0
Merida, Daniel2
Bergs, Zizou0
Fonseca, Joao2
Van de Zandschulp, Botic0
O'Connell, Christopher0
Ruud, Casper0
Rublev, Andrey2
Carreno Busta, Pablo0
Borges, Nuno2
Cerundolo, Francisco0
Nakashima, Brandon2
Kovacevic, Aleksandar0
Trungelliti, Marco0
Medvedev, Daniil2
Shelton, Ben0
Faria, Jaime2
Walton, Adam2
Buse, Ignacio0
Humbert, Ugo0
Zheng, Michael2
Altmaier, Daniel0
Musetti, Lorenzo2
Tien, Learner2
Baez, Sebastian0
Sonego, Lorenzo0
Tiafoe, Frances2
Rinderknech, Arthur1
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel2
Tsitsipas, Stefanos0
Auger-Aliassime, Felix2
1/16-finals (R32)
Zverev, Alexander2
Atmane, Terence0
Paul, Tommy2
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel1
Jodar, Rafael2
Tabilo, Alejandro0
Blockx, Alexander1
Cobolli, Flavio2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Landaluce, Martin0
Hijikata, Rinky0
Mensik, Jakub2
Lehecka, Jiri1
Fils, Arthur2
Fery, Arthur0
de Minaur, Alex2
Fritz, Taylor2
Merida, Daniel0
Fonseca, Joao0
O'Connell, Christopher0
Rublev, Andrey0
Borges, Nuno2
Nakashima, Brandon2
Medvedev, Daniil1
Faria, Jaime2
Walton, Adam1
Zheng, Michael0
Musetti, Lorenzo2
Tien, Learner1
Tiafoe, Frances2
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel0
Auger-Aliassime, Felix2
1/8-finals (R16)
Zverev, Alexander1
Paul, Tommy2
Jodar, Rafael1
Cobolli, Flavio2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Mensik, Jakub1
Fils, Arthur2
de Minaur, Alex0
Fritz, Taylor2
O'Connell, Christopher0
Borges, Nuno1
Nakashima, Brandon2
Faria, Jaime0
Musetti, Lorenzo2
Tiafoe, Frances2
Auger-Aliassime, Felix0
Quarterfinals
Paul, Tommy1
Cobolli, Flavio2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin0
Fils, Arthur2
Fritz, Taylor1
Nakashima, Brandon2
Musetti, Lorenzo0
Tiafoe, Frances2
Semifinals
Cobolli, Flavio0
Fils, Arthur0
Nakashima, Brandon0
Tiafoe, Frances0
Final
WSF10
WSF20

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 15.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 53.8% @ 1.90 / 2 46.2% @ 2.21
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Match center

Landaluce M - Arnaldi M

Form 1/0 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 54.9% fact: home hit / ROI 90.0% / Brier 0.406 / LogLoss 0.599
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 50.6% fact: home hit / ROI 90.0% / Brier 0.488 / LogLoss 0.681
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.08 market consensus · line only
1 1.77 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 0.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 2.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.82 55.0%
1.83 54.6%
1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8%
1.80 55.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
1.97 50.8%
2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
Over 0.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 2.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 10.5 2.95 33.9%
Over 11.5 1.66 60.2%
Over 12.5 4.10 24.4%
Over 20.5 1.44 69.4%
Over 21.5 1.56 64.1%
Over 22.5 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6%
Over 23.5 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5%
Over 24.5 2.07 48.3%
Under 22.5 1.99 50.3% 2.00 50.0%
Under 23.5 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon Pinnacle
1.90 52.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.74 57.6%
1.90 52.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.04 49.0% 2.21 45.3%
Match center
Landaluce M
W
13.08 14:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Tsintsinnati 🇺🇸, hard
Landaluce M 2:0 Dreyper Dzh. 🇬🇧Dreyper Dzh. 🇬🇧
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

When does Landaluce M vs Arnaldi M start?

August 15, 2026.