PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
English

AI verdict

AI pick Draper J win probability ~67% confidence High best odds 1.35

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Draper J. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
1st round 13.08.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

Landaluce M - Draper J

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles 1st round hard 13.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
13.08.2026 14:00 UTC 1st round Finished
Landaluce M
Landaluce M Spain
Rank #143 Elo 410
54Average Form
L L W W W L L W
Draper J
Draper J United Kingdom
Rank #64 Elo 920
51Average Form
W W L L L W W L
2:0
Stadium: Lindner Femili Tennis Senter. Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Landaluce M Draper J
Win % 52.8% 64.9%
Hard % 56.2% 66.4%
Clay % 46.4% 56.8%
Grass % 57.9% 68.8%
Deciding set % 57.1% 47.4%
Tie-breaks % 47.1% 57.6%
Titles (total) 2 3
Last 10 LLLLLWWLWL LLWWWLLLWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

Spain Country United Kingdom
#143 Rating #64
20 Age 24
193 Height (cm) 193
80 Weight (kg) 85
Left Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
C 0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Landaluce M Draper J
Aces per match 6.75 5.08
Double faults per match 1.83 4.13
Breaks per match 1.79 2.97

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Landaluce M
42% 10 / 24
42% 10 / 24
Sintetika
no data
clay
5 iz 9
grass
1 iz 5
hard
4 iz 10
Draper J
53% 8 / 15
53% 8 / 15
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 1
grass
3 iz 4
hard
5 iz 10

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Jack Draper
Rank:143 Elo: 410
L L W W W L L W
Martin Landaluce
Rank:64 Elo: 920
W W L L L W W L
Elo favourite:Landaluce M (edge +510 Elo)

Hard

Jack DraperMartin Landaluce
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches 50.0% 11 / 22 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 55.6% 5 / 9 Matches 58.3% 28 / 48 Matches

Clay

Jack DraperMartin Landaluce
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 58.3% 7 / 12 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 58.3% 7 / 12 Matches

Grass

Jack DraperMartin Landaluce
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Jack Draper Martin Landaluce
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 53.9% 7 / 13 Matches 51.1% 23 / 45 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 57.1% 8 / 14 Matches 54.1% 40 / 74 Matches
Current rank 143 64

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Jack Draper Martin Landaluce
Prize money (career) $4,481,566 USD $602,342 USD
Rating 143 64
Age 24 20
Height 1.93m 1.93m
Weight 85kg 80kg
Playing hand Left-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Jack Draper Martin Landaluce
Match Wins 54 % 51 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 58 % 53 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) N/A 67 %
Wins in Straight Sets 38 % 29 %
Wins From Behind 25 % 22 %
Won At Least 1 Set 77 % 78 %
Set 1 Win 46 % 51 %
Set 2 Win 69 % 53 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-head history

Tsintsinnati (m)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Jack Draper Martin Landaluce Match total
Average Games in a Set 10 9.36 9.68
Over 6.5 100 % 95 % 98 %
Over 7.5 75 % 90 % 83 %
Over 8.5 75 % 78 % 77 %
Over 9.5 58 % 43 % 51 %
Over 10.5 42 % 18 % 30 %
Over 11.5 42 % 18 % 30 %

Aces

Jack Draper Martin Landaluce Match total
Aces Per Match 6.75 5.08 11.83
Most Aces in a match 42 % 36 % N/A
1+ 100 % 97 % 99 %
2+ 100 % 82 % 99 %
3+ 83 % 69 % 95 %
4+ 75 % 59 % 93 %
5+ 67 % 46 % 90 %

Breaks

Jack Draper Martin Landaluce Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.79 2.97 4.76
Over 0.5 50 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 42 % 97 % 96 %
Over 2.5 0 % 54 % 71 %
Over 3.5 0 % 54 % 71 %
Over 4.5 0 % 51 % 70 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 44 %

Tie-breaks

Jack Draper Martin Landaluce Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.5 0.3 0.4
Over 0.5 42 % 28 % 35 %
Over 1.5 8 % 3 % 5 %
Under 0.5 58 % 73 % 35 %
Under 1.5 92 % 98 % 5 %

Double faults

Jack Draper Martin Landaluce Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.83 4.13 5.96
Over 0.5 (1+) 83 % 97 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 50 % 85 % 100 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 25 % 72 % 85 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 17 % 62 % 56 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 8 % 36 % 51 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 28 % 47 %

Net points

Jack Draper Martin Landaluce Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 4.65 5.24 9.89
Over 4.5 (5+) 30 % 57 % 44 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 10 % 46 % 28 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 0 % 35 % 18 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 0 % 30 % 15 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 0 % 22 % 11 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 0 % 14 % 7 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 3.20 29.7% BetBoom
P2 1.35 70.3% BetBoom

Landaluce M go head-to-head with Draper J on August 13, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 33% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Draper J — 67%

1 · Landaluce M32.7%
market 30%
2 · Draper J ✓ Pick67.3%
market 70%

Model estimate: win Landaluce M 32.7%, win Draper J 67.3%. Model favourite — Draper J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Landaluce M (odds1.68) Score 2:1 confidence 60% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Landaluse M
  • • 🇪🇸 — Dreyper Dzh
  • • 🇬🇧 (tennis)
  • • Landaluse M
  • • 🇪🇸: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Dreyper Dzh
  • • 🇬🇧: forma PPV (1-2)
  • • Model backs Landaluse M
  • • 🇪🇸: probability 60% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.68)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Landaluce M - Draper J August 13, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Draper J.

Line favourite market consensus: Draper J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.20 / 2 1.35
  • Glicko: Landaluce M 32.7% / Draper J 67.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 3 books
1 29.7%
2 ✓ Pick 70.3%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Landaluce M
30%
3.20
Draper J
70%
1.35
Total
Over 4.5
51%
1.81
Under 4.5
49%
1.91

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Match center
Stadium Lindner Femili Tennis Senter.
Start 13.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 29.7% @ 3.20 / 2 70.3% @ 1.35
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
H2H 3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Draper J 67%
💹 Market Draper J 70%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

My virtual bank & leaderboard →
Match center

Landaluce M - Draper J

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Martin Landalus - Dzhek Dreyper. Tsintsinnati (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 20
Metric Landaluce M Draper J SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 100% 0% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 67.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.907 / LogLoss 1.119
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 52.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.542 / LogLoss 0.736
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Landaluce M 29.7% 42.2%
Draper J 70.3% 57.8% model more cautious than market
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko32.7% · +Elo prior (weight0.43).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 32.7% / 67.3% probabilities
Rating 1,625 / 1,404 Landaluce M / Draper J
RD 157 / 219 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,311-1,939 / 965-1,842 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 67.3%
1 3.18 market consensus · no value · model 32.7%
Total
Over 0.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.91 52.4%
1.86 53.8%

Total

Outcome Kambi BetMGM
Over 0.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 2.5 2.48 40.3%
Over 4.5 1.81 55.3%
Over 5.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 7.5 1.07 93.5%
Over 8.5 1.24 80.7%
Over 9.5 1.74 57.5%
Over 10.5 3.15 31.8%
Over 12.5 4.50 22.2%
Over 19.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 20.5 1.56 64.1%
Over 21.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5 1.96 51.0%
Over 23.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 24.5 2.28 43.9%
Over 25.5 2.48 40.3%
Under 0.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 10.5 1.33 75.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8%
1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.34 74.6%
Match center
Landaluce M
D
13.08.2026 Championat
Landaluce M M. Martin Landalus (Spain) WC D. Dzhek Dreyper (United Kingdom) 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Draper J
D D
13.08.2026 Championat
K. Kemeron Norri (United Kingdom) D. Dino Prizhmich (Croatia) 1-y krug Draper J
13.08.2026 Championat
D. Denis Shapovalov (Canada) A. Adrian Mannarino (France) Draper J
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage

More predictions

Blockx, Alexander – Cobolli F 17.08 Fery A – De Minaur A 17.08 Fritz T – Michelsen A 17.08 Nakasima B. (Ssha) – Kovacevic A 17.08 Lehecka J – Fils A 17.08 Zverev A – Atmane, Terence 17.08

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Landaluce M vs Draper J?

By the PropickAI model, Draper J is favoured — about 67% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Landaluce M vs Draper J?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Draper J. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Landaluce M vs Draper J start?

August 13, 2026.