FreeMatch preview

Shang Juncheng — Sonego L

Tennis 14.08.2026 20:29 UTC
Favourite Sonego L best odds 2.41

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

Full Access Go deeper than the free pick Your free pick and probability are below. Full Access adds the full 7-AI consensus, every value-edge pick, math-model probabilities and complete reports for every match.
Get Full Access →
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
14.08.2026 20:29 UTC 1st round
Finished

ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles

Shang Juncheng vs Sonego L — Tennis prediction

International Tennis
Shang Juncheng
Shang Juncheng
0 : 2
3:6 3:6
Finished
Sonego L
Sonego L

Shang Juncheng meet Sonego L on August 14, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Shang Juncheng 2-0-3, Sonego L 2-0-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Shang Juncheng (odds1.65) Score 2:1 confidence 58% ✗ outcome missed
  • Shan Tszyunchen: forma PVV (2-1)
  • Sonego L: forma PPV (1-2)
  • liniya na pik P1 1.75→1.60 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • Model backs Shan Tszyunchen: probability 58% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.65)
  • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shang Juncheng - Sonego L August 14, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sonego L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.63 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 7 books · best price +900.0%
1 59.3%
2 40.7%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Shang Juncheng
59%
16.00
Sonego L
41%
2.41
Total
Over 11.5
50%
1.85
Under 11.5
50%
1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
2.0Sets on average0.0

Head-to-head matches: 1 · average total 2.0 (sets)

Team form

Shang Juncheng
3-7LWLLLLWWLL
sets for 0.9sets against 1.7
Sonego L
6-4WWLWLLWLWW
sets for 1.5sets against 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Cincinnati, USA

1/64-finals (R128)
Norrie, Cameron2
Prizmic, Dino1
Fucsovics, Marton0
Atmane, Terence0
Shimabukuro, Sho0
Hurkacz, Hubert2
Jacquet, Kyrian0
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel2
Shapovalov, Denis2
Mannarino, Adrian0
Burruchaga, Roman Andres1
Struff, Jan-Lennard2
Navone, Mariano2
Collignon, Raphael0
Ugo Carabelli, Camilo0
Kecmanovic, Miomir2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Choinski, Jan1
Landaluce, Martin2
Draper, Jack0
Hijikata, Rinky2
Monfils, Gael1
Svajda, Zachary0
Bellucci, Mattia2
Droguet, Titouan1
Berrettini, Matteo2
Hanfmann, Yannick2
Van Assche, Luca0
Wolf, Jeffrey John0
Duckworth, James2
Kopriva, Vit0
Halys, Quentin2
Michelsen, Alex2
De Jong, Jesper0
Merida, Daniel2
Cilic, Marin1
Van de Zandschulp, Botic2
Shevchenko, Alexander0
O'Connell, Christopher2
Majchrzak, Kamil0
Machac, Tomas0
Carreno Busta, Pablo2
Borges, Nuno2
Kokkinakis, Thanasi1
Kovacevic, Aleksandar2
Khachanov, Karen1
Medjedovic, Hamad0
Trungelliti, Marco2
Faria, Jaime2
Brooksby, Jenson0
Walton, Adam2
Mejia, Nicolas0
Marozsan, Fabian1
Zheng, Michael2
Wong, Coleman1
Altmaier, Daniel2
Baez, Sebastian2
Dimitrov, Grigor1
Shang, Juncheng0
Sonego, Lorenzo2
Lajal, Mark0
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel2
Royer, Valentin0
Tsitsipas, Stefanos2
1/32-finals (R64)
Zverev, Alexander2
Norrie, Cameron1
Atmane, Terence2
Etcheverry, Tomas Martin0
Paul, Tommy2
Hurkacz, Hubert1
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel2
Vacherot, Valentin0
Jodar, Rafael2
Shapovalov, Denis1
Struff, Jan-Lennard0
Tabilo, Alejandro2
Blockx, Alexander2
Navone, Mariano0
Kecmanovic, Miomir1
Cobolli, Flavio2
Djokovic, Novak1
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Landaluce, Martin2
Arnaldi, Matteo1
Darderi, Luciano0
Hijikata, Rinky2
Bellucci, Mattia1
Mensik, Jakub2
Lehecka, Jiri2
Berrettini, Matteo1
Hanfmann, Yannick0
Fils, Arthur2
Fery, Arthur2
Duckworth, James1
Halys, Quentin1
de Minaur, Alex2
Fritz, Taylor2
Michelsen, Alex0
Merida, Daniel2
Bergs, Zizou0
Fonseca, Joao2
Van de Zandschulp, Botic0
O'Connell, Christopher0
Ruud, Casper0
Rublev, Andrey2
Carreno Busta, Pablo0
Borges, Nuno2
Cerundolo, Francisco0
Nakashima, Brandon2
Kovacevic, Aleksandar0
Trungelliti, Marco0
Medvedev, Daniil2
Shelton, Ben0
Faria, Jaime2
Walton, Adam2
Buse, Ignacio0
Humbert, Ugo0
Zheng, Michael2
Altmaier, Daniel0
Musetti, Lorenzo2
Tien, Learner2
Baez, Sebastian0
Sonego, Lorenzo0
Tiafoe, Frances2
Rinderknech, Arthur1
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel2
Tsitsipas, Stefanos0
Auger-Aliassime, Felix2
1/16-finals (R32)
Zverev, Alexander2
Atmane, Terence0
Paul, Tommy2
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel1
Jodar, Rafael2
Tabilo, Alejandro0
Blockx, Alexander1
Cobolli, Flavio2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Landaluce, Martin0
Hijikata, Rinky0
Mensik, Jakub2
Lehecka, Jiri1
Fils, Arthur2
Fery, Arthur0
de Minaur, Alex2
Fritz, Taylor2
Merida, Daniel0
Fonseca, Joao0
O'Connell, Christopher0
Rublev, Andrey0
Borges, Nuno2
Nakashima, Brandon2
Medvedev, Daniil1
Faria, Jaime2
Walton, Adam1
Zheng, Michael0
Musetti, Lorenzo2
Tien, Learner1
Tiafoe, Frances2
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel0
Auger-Aliassime, Felix2
1/8-finals (R16)
Zverev, Alexander1
Paul, Tommy2
Jodar, Rafael1
Cobolli, Flavio2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Mensik, Jakub1
Fils, Arthur2
de Minaur, Alex0
Fritz, Taylor2
O'Connell, Christopher0
Borges, Nuno1
Nakashima, Brandon2
Faria, Jaime0
Musetti, Lorenzo2
Tiafoe, Frances2
Auger-Aliassime, Felix0
Quarterfinals
Paul, Tommy1
Cobolli, Flavio2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin0
Fils, Arthur2
Fritz, Taylor1
Nakashima, Brandon2
Musetti, Lorenzo0
Tiafoe, Frances2
Semifinals
Cobolli, Flavio0
Fils, Arthur2
Nakashima, Brandon0
Tiafoe, Frances2
Final
Fils, Arthur2
Tiafoe, Frances1

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Unlock the full AI analysis

Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.

Get Full Access →
Match center
Stadium Lindner Femili Tennis Senter. Desyatyy kort
Start 14.08.2026 20:29 UTC
Market 1 38.3% @ 1.63 / 2 61.7% @ 1.01
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Match center

Shang Juncheng - Sonego L

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Tszyunchen Shan - Lorentso Sonego, 14 avgusta 2026. Tsintsinnati (m). Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Tszyunchen Shan - Lorentso Sonego, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 59.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.715 / LogLoss 0.911
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 51.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.524 / LogLoss 0.717
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 1.60 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 2.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%
1.97 50.8% 1.98 50.5%
1.57 63.7%
1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.75 57.1%
1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% 1.95 51.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
2.02 49.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.78 56.2%
1.78 56.2%
1.28 78.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
11.00 9.1%
11.00 9.1%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 2.18 45.9%
Over 19.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 20.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 21.5 9.50 10.5%
Over 22.5 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 3.05 32.8%
Over 23.5 2.00 50.0% 1.75 57.1%
Over 24.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 25.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 26.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 27.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 28.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 18.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 22.5 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8%
Under 23.5 1.79 55.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Shang Juncheng
L W W L L
2026-08-06 2026 Montreal, Canada
Shang Juncheng Darderi L 2:1 Shang Juncheng
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Shang Juncheng Shang Juncheng 2:1 Rublev A
2026-08-02 2026 Montreal, Canada
Shang Juncheng Vallejo A D 0:2 Shang Juncheng
2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA
Shang Juncheng Nishikori K 2:1 Shang Juncheng
2026-02-24 2026 Dubai, UAE
Shang Juncheng Medvedev D 2:0 Shang Juncheng
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Sonego L
L L W L W
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Sonego L 0:2 Griekspoor T Sonego L
2026-07-15 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Collignon R 2:0 Sonego L Sonego L
2026-07-13 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Sonego L 2:0 Schwaerzler J Sonego L
2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Fritz T 3:1 Sonego L Sonego L
2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Diallo G 2:3 Sonego L Sonego L
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Shang Juncheng vs Sonego L?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Sonego L. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Shang Juncheng vs Sonego L?

Live odds for Shang Juncheng vs Sonego L from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Shang Juncheng vs Sonego L start?

August 14, 2026.