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ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles International
13.08.2026 00:25 UTC Match prediction

Shevchenko A - O'Connell C

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles hard 13.08.2026 00:25 UTC Finished
13.08.2026 00:25 UTC Finished
Shevchenko A
Shevchenko A
Rank #133 Elo 461
46Struggling Form
L W L L W W W L
O'Connell C
O'Connell C
Rank #89 Elo 699
44Struggling Form
L W W W W W W L
0:2 4:6 1:6
1 2 GP
Shevchenko A 4 1 0
O'Connell C 6 6 2
1 2
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#133 Rating #89
32 Age 25
1.83m Height (cm) 1.85m
78kg Weight (kg) 75kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Shevchenko A O'Connell C
Aces per match 7.09 6.44
Double faults per match 1.27 2.03
Breaks per match 1.82 1.01

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Christopher O'Connell
Rank:133 Elo: 461
L W L L W W W L
Alexander Shevchenko
Rank:89 Elo: 699
L W W W W W W L
Elo favourite:Shevchenko A (edge +238 Elo)

Hard

Christopher O'ConnellAlexander Shevchenko
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 10 / 20 Matches 50.0% 10 / 20 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 51.5% 17 / 33 Matches 52.9% 18 / 34 Matches

Clay

Christopher O'ConnellAlexander Shevchenko
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 6 Matches 50.0% 8 / 16 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 6 Matches 50.0% 8 / 16 Matches

Grass

Christopher O'ConnellAlexander Shevchenko
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 71.4% 5 / 7 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 71.4% 5 / 7 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Christopher O'Connell Alexander Shevchenko
H2H wins 1 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Sets 2 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Wins this year 46.0% 17 / 37 Matches 44.2% 19 / 43 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 47.1% 24 / 51 Matches 45.8% 27 / 59 Matches
Current rank 133 89

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Christopher O'Connell Alexander Shevchenko
Prize money (career) $3,016,545 USD $1,872,812 USD
Rating 133 89
Age 32 25
Height 1.83m 1.85m
Weight 78kg 75kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Christopher O'Connell Alexander Shevchenko
Match Wins 46 % 44 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 45 % 49 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 50 % 33 %
Wins in Straight Sets 35 % 21 %
Wins From Behind 13 % 15 %
Won At Least 1 Set 65 % 63 %
Set 1 Win 46 % 49 %
Set 2 Win 54 % 35 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Jan 10 2024 Adelaide ATP (Hard) Christopher O'Connell 2 – 0 Alexander Shevchenko

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Christopher O'Connell Alexander Shevchenko Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.78 10.3 10.54
Over 6.5 100 % 97 % 99 %
Over 7.5 100 % 89 % 95 %
Over 8.5 88 % 86 % 87 %
Over 9.5 73 % 68 % 71 %
Over 10.5 42 % 41 % 42 %
Over 11.5 42 % 41 % 42 %

Aces

Christopher O'Connell Alexander Shevchenko Match total
Aces Per Match 7.09 6.44 13.53
Most Aces in a match 58 % 56 % N/A
1+ 100 % 100 % 100 %
2+ 100 % 92 % 100 %
3+ 94 % 81 % 99 %
4+ 82 % 67 % 93 %
5+ 73 % 50 % 89 %

Breaks

Christopher O'Connell Alexander Shevchenko Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.82 1.01 2.83
Over 0.5 94 % 6 % 100 %
Over 1.5 39 % 0 % 75 %
Over 2.5 12 % 0 % 63 %
Over 3.5 6 % 0 % 37 %
Over 4.5 0 % 0 % 5 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 3 %

Tie-breaks

Christopher O'Connell Alexander Shevchenko Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.58 0.68 0.63
Over 0.5 45 % 54 % 50 %
Over 1.5 9 % 11 % 10 %
Under 0.5 55 % 46 % 50 %
Under 1.5 91 % 89 % 10 %

Double faults

Christopher O'Connell Alexander Shevchenko Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.27 2.03 3.3
Over 0.5 (1+) 67 % 81 % 96 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 33 % 58 % 89 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 15 % 28 % 76 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 6 % 19 % 61 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 3 % 11 % 46 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 3 % 6 % 35 %

Net points

Christopher O'Connell Alexander Shevchenko Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.25 7.55 14.8
Over 4.5 (5+) 58 % 68 % 63 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 46 % 64 % 55 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 42 % 46 % 44 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 38 % 39 % 39 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 25 % 36 % 31 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 21 % 29 % 25 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.92 49.5% BetBoom
P2 1.88 50.5% BetBoom

Shevchenko A meet O'Connell C on August 13, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Shevchenko A 2-0-3, O'Connell C 2-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Shevchenko A — 50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Shevchenko A): model 55% · market 50% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Shevchenko A50.0%
2 · O'Connell C50.0%

Model estimate: win Shevchenko A 50.0%, win O'Connell C 50.0%. Model favourite — Shevchenko A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Shevchenko A (odds1.90) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Shevchenko A: forma VPPPV (2-3)
  • • O'Konnell K: forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.90→1.92 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Shevchenko A: probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.90)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shevchenko A - O'Connell C August 13, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like O'Connell C.

Line favourite Fonbet: O'Connell C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 12.50 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Shevchenko A 50.0% / O'Connell C 50.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.4% 6 books · best price +572.0%
1 50.5%
2 49.5%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.90 ↑ 1.92
Winner 2 1.90 ↓ 1.88

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Shevchenko A
51%
12.50
O'Connell C
49%
2.00
Handicap
Shevchenko A (-0.5)
51%
1.88
O'Connell C (-0.5)
49%
1.93
Total
Over 22.5
51%
1.85
Under 22.5
49%
1.96

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

0Wins1
0.0Average score2.0

Head-to-head matches: 1 · average total 2.0 (goals)

Team form

Shevchenko A
4-6LLLWWWLLLW
scored 1.2conceded 1.4
O'Connell C
7-3WWWWLLWLWW
scored 1.5conceded 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 13.08.2026 00:25 UTC
Market 1 7.5% @ 12.50 / 2 92.5% @ 1.02
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Shevchenko A 50%
💹 Market Shevchenko A 50%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Shevchenko A - O'Connell C

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Shevchenko A O'Connell C Result
Set 1 4 6 4:6
Set 2 1 6 1:6
Metric Shevchenko A O'Connell C SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 0% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 50.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.501 / LogLoss 0.694
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 50.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.500 / LogLoss 0.693
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Shevchenko A 49.5% 50.9% market and model agree
O'Connell C 50.5% 49.1% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko50.0% · +Elo prior (weight0.36).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.0% / 50.0% probabilities
Rating 1,590 / 1,518 Shevchenko A / O'Connell C
RD 160 / 178 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,269-1,911 / 1,162-1,875 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 50.0%
1 1.84 market consensus · no value · model 50.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.15 market consensus · line only
Over 17.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.81 55.3% — —
— 1.74 57.5% —
1.84 54.4% — —
— 2.03 49.3% —
— 2.00 50.0% —
1.88 53.2% — 1.80 55.6%
— 1.79 55.9% 1.65 60.6%
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 1.78 56.2%
1.91 52.4% — 1.88 53.2%
— 2.10 47.6% 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.42 70.4%
— 1.80 55.6% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
7.70 13.0%
8.50 11.8%
1.04 96.2%
1.05 95.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — — 1.27 78.7%
Over 18.5 — — 7.20 13.9%
Over 19.5 — — 1.97 50.8%
Over 20.5 — — 3.20 31.3%
Over 21.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Over 23.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 24.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 25.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 26.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Over 27.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
Under 17.5 — — 3.40 29.4%
Under 18.5 — — 1.05 95.2%
Under 19.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Under 22.5 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 7.70 13.0%
Under 2.5 1.05 95.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-2
2026-08-13 · Aleksandr Shevchenko 0:2 Kristofer O`Konnell
2024-01-10 · Aleksandr Shevchenko 0:2 Kristofer O`Konnell
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.93 (Winline) · 2 1.9 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.9 1.9
Winline 1.93 1.87
Fonbet 1.9 1.9
Betcity 1.92 1.88
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Eysy 2
4 Dvoynye oshibki 0
4 Vsego breyk-poyntov 7
0 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 4
37 Vyigrannye Points 55
28 Points na podache 34
21 Poteryannye Points na podache 9
22 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 28
23 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 15
18 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 23
10 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 11
6 Maks. ochkov podryad 8
2 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 8
5 Geymy na podache 8
5 Vyigrannye geymy 12
1 Maks. geymov podryad 4
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Shevchenko A
W L L L W
2026-08-11 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Shevchenko A Shevchenko A 2:0 Llamas Ruiz P
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Shevchenko A Shevchenko A 1:2 Jacquet K
2026-07-21 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Shevchenko A Struff J-L 2:1 Shevchenko A
2026-07-18 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Shevchenko A Shevchenko A 1:2 Tsitsipas S
2026-07-17 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Shevchenko A Halys Q 0:2 Shevchenko A
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
O'Connell C
W L W L L
2026-08-11 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
O'Connell C 2:1 Sweeny D O'Connell C
2026-08-03 2026 Montreal, Canada
Duckworth J 2:0 O'Connell C O'Connell C
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Faria J 1:2 O'Connell C O'Connell C
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
O'Connell C 1:2 Martin Andres O'Connell C
2026-06-25 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 3rd Round
McDonald M 3:0 O'Connell C O'Connell C
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyShevchenko A - O'Connell C

Shevchenko A
1 matches total
O'Connell C
Shevchenko A: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
O'Connell C: 1 (100%)
Biggest win O'Connell, Christopher 0:2 (2024-01-10) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 2024-01-10) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2024-01-10 ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles 2026
Shevchenko, Alexander 0:2 O'Connell, Christopher

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shevchenko A vs O'Connell C?

By the PropickAI model, O'Connell C is favoured — about 50% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Shevchenko A vs O'Connell C?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to O'Connell C. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Shevchenko A vs O'Connell C start?

August 13, 2026.