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AI verdict

AI pick Bonzi B win probability ~51% best odds 1.90

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Bonzi B. Full breakdown below.

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ATP. Uinston-Seylem
ATP. Uinston-Seylem International
28.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Buse I - Bonzi B

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP. Uinston-Seylem
ATP. Uinston-Seylem 28.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
28.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
Buse I
Buse I
Rank #109 Elo 572
58Average Form
W W W L W L W L
Bonzi B
Bonzi B
Rank #36 Elo 1310
58Average Form
L W L L W L W W
-:-
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#109 Rating #36
30 Age 22
1.83m Height (cm) 1.85m
82kg Weight (kg) 78kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Buse I Bonzi B
Aces per match 5.06 4.58
Double faults per match 2.2 2.2
Breaks per match 3.06 3.91

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Benjamin Bonzi
Rank:109 Elo: 572
W W W L W L W L
Ignacio Buse
Rank:36 Elo: 1310
L W L L W L W W
Elo favourite:Buse I (edge +738 Elo)

Hard

Benjamin BonziIgnacio Buse
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 63.6% 21 / 33 Matches 60.0% 6 / 10 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 62.5% 25 / 40 Matches 54.6% 6 / 11 Matches

Clay

Benjamin BonziIgnacio Buse
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 44.4% 4 / 9 Matches 61.5% 16 / 26 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 44.4% 4 / 9 Matches 67.4% 31 / 46 Matches

Grass

Benjamin BonziIgnacio Buse
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 75.0% 6 / 8 Matches 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 75.0% 6 / 8 Matches 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Benjamin Bonzi Ignacio Buse
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 58.5% 31 / 53 Matches 58.1% 25 / 43 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 57.4% 35 / 61 Matches 62.5% 40 / 64 Matches
Current rank 109 36

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Benjamin Bonzi Ignacio Buse
Prize money (career) $4,076,351 USD $90,498 USD
Rating 109 36
Age 30 22
Height 1.83m 1.85m
Weight 82kg 78kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Benjamin Bonzi Ignacio Buse
Match Wins 58 % 58 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 62 % 60 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 0 % 0 %
Wins in Straight Sets 38 % 23 %
Wins From Behind 27 % 22 %
Won At Least 1 Set 75 % 77 %
Set 1 Win 53 % 60 %
Set 2 Win 62 % 40 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Benjamin Bonzi Ignacio Buse Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.83 9.88 9.86
Over 6.5 100 % 98 % 99 %
Over 7.5 94 % 93 % 94 %
Over 8.5 76 % 70 % 73 %
Over 9.5 58 % 48 % 53 %
Over 10.5 26 % 30 % 28 %
Over 11.5 26 % 30 % 28 %

Aces

Benjamin Bonzi Ignacio Buse Match total
Aces Per Match 5.06 4.58 9.64
Most Aces in a match 35 % 65 % N/A
1+ 96 % 98 % 99 %
2+ 90 % 93 % 97 %
3+ 80 % 70 % 95 %
4+ 67 % 58 % 90 %
5+ 41 % 45 % 83 %

Breaks

Benjamin Bonzi Ignacio Buse Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.06 3.91 6.97
Over 0.5 59 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 59 % 95 % 100 %
Over 2.5 57 % 90 % 80 %
Over 3.5 53 % 85 % 75 %
Over 4.5 51 % 43 % 73 %
Over 5.5 49 % 0 % 68 %

Tie-breaks

Benjamin Bonzi Ignacio Buse Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.52 0.43 0.47
Over 0.5 44 % 33 % 38 %
Over 1.5 8 % 10 % 9 %
Under 0.5 56 % 68 % 38 %
Under 1.5 92 % 90 % 9 %

Double faults

Benjamin Bonzi Ignacio Buse Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.2 2.2 4.4
Over 0.5 (1+) 69 % 88 % 95 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 51 % 58 % 86 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 39 % 33 % 81 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 24 % 18 % 61 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 14 % 10 % 50 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 10 % 5 % 33 %

Net points

Benjamin Bonzi Ignacio Buse Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.74 8.47 16.21
Over 4.5 (5+) 74 % 74 % 74 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 71 % 71 % 71 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 68 % 61 % 65 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 63 % 52 % 58 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 53 % 39 % 46 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 32 % 35 % 34 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.99 48.9% BetBoom
P2 1.90 51.1% BetBoom

Buse I meet Bonzi B on August 28, 2026 in the ATP. Uinston-Seylem, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Buse I 3-0-2, Bonzi B 4-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Bonzi B — 51%

1 · Buse I49.2%
2 · Bonzi B50.8%

Model estimate: win Buse I 49.2%, win Bonzi B 50.8%. Model favourite — Bonzi B.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Buse I - Bonzi B August 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Buse I. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.90 / 2 1.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 4 books
1 49.4%
2 50.6%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Betcity, Fonbet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.90 → 1.90
Winner P2 1.90 → 1.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Buse I
50%
1.99
Bonzi B
50%
1.90
Handicap
Buse I (1.5)
52%
1.73
Bonzi B (1.5)
48%
2.05
Total
Over 22.5
51%
1.90
Under 22.5
49%
1.95

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Winston Salem, USA

1/32-finals (R64)
Damm Jr, Martin2
Shelbayh, Abdullah0
Shimabukuro, Sho0
Kecmanovic, Miomir2
Sonego, Lorenzo2
Herbert, Pierre-Hugues1
Vandecasteele, Quinn0
Duckworth, James2
Gorzny, Sebastian1
Hewitt, Cruz2
Choinski, Jan1
Rottgering, Mees2
Balshaw, Felix0
Kovacevic, Aleksandar2
Mpetshi Perricard, Giovanni0
Brooksby, Jenson2
Suresh, Dhakshineswar2
Giron, Marcos0
Safiullin, Roman1
Grenier, Hugo2
Comesana, Francisco2
Wu, Yibing0
Walton, Adam2
De Jong, Jesper0
Hijikata, Rinky2
Blanch, Darwin0
Majchrzak, Kamil0
Bonzi, Benjamin2
Carreno Busta, Pablo0
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel0
Landaluce, Martin1
Bellucci, Mattia2
1/16-finals (R32)
Medvedev, Daniil0
Damm Jr, Martin2
Kecmanovic, Miomir0
Marozsan, Fabian2
Mannarino, Adrian0
Sonego, Lorenzo2
Duckworth, James2
Navone, Mariano0
Fery, Arthur2
Hewitt, Cruz0
Rottgering, Mees2
Machac, Tomas0
Van Assche, Luca0
Kovacevic, Aleksandar2
Brooksby, Jenson0
Tsitsipas, Stefanos2
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel2
Suresh, Dhakshineswar0
Grenier, Hugo0
Baez, Sebastian2
Altmaier, Daniel2
Comesana, Francisco0
Walton, Adam1
Buse, Ignacio2
Collignon, Raphael1
Hijikata, Rinky2
Bonzi, Benjamin2
Halys, Quentin1
Van de Zandschulp, Botic2
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel0
Bellucci, Mattia1
Darderi, Luciano2
1/8-finals (R16)
Damm Jr, Martin0
Marozsan, Fabian0
Sonego, Lorenzo0
Duckworth, James0
Fery, Arthur0
Rottgering, Mees0
Kovacevic, Aleksandar0
Tsitsipas, Stefanos0
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel0
Baez, Sebastian0
Altmaier, Daniel0
Buse, Ignacio0
Hijikata, Rinky0
Bonzi, Benjamin2
Van de Zandschulp, Botic2
Darderi, Luciano0
Quarterfinals
Qf10
Qf20
Qf30
Qf40
Qf50
Qf60
Bonzi, Benjamin0
Van de Zandschulp, Botic0
Semifinals
WQF10
WQF20
WQF30
WQF40
Final
WSF10
WSF20

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 28.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 50.0% @ 1.90 / 2 50.0% @ 1.90
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Bonzi B 51%
💹 Market Bonzi B 51%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Buse I - Bonzi B

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Buse I 49.4% 51.1% market and model agree
Bonzi B 50.6% 48.9% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko49.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.23).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 49.2% / 50.8% probabilities
Rating 1,533 / 1,730 Buse I / Bonzi B
RD 160 / 98 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,212-1,853 / 1,534-1,925 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.90 Fonbet · no value · model 50.8%
1 1.90 Fonbet · no value · model 49.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
— 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% —
— 1.93 51.8% —
2.13 47.0% 2.10 47.6% —
— 1.93 51.8% —
1.71 58.5% 2.05 48.8% —
— 1.77 56.5% 1.95 51.3%
2.10 47.6% 1.65 60.6% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
3.10 32.3%
1.35 74.1%
3.05 32.8%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon Pinnacle
Over 2.5 — — — 2.40 41.7%
Over 21.5 — 1.57 63.7% — —
Over 22.5 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% —
Over 23.5 — 2.02 49.5% — —
Over 24.5 — 2.10 47.6% — —
Over 25.5 — 2.20 45.5% — —
Under 2.5 — — — 1.62 61.7%
Under 21.5 — 2.25 44.4% — —
Under 22.5 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% —
Under 23.5 — 1.70 58.8% — —
Under 24.5 — 1.65 60.6% — —
Under 25.5 — 1.60 62.5% — —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Match center
Buse I
W W W L L
2026-08-27 2026 Winston Salem, USA
Buse I Cerundolo J M 1:2 Buse I
2026-08-26 2026 Winston Salem, USA
Buse I Altmaier D 0:2 Buse I
2026-08-25 2026 Winston Salem, USA
Buse I Walton A 1:2 Buse I
2026-08-16 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Buse I Walton A 2:0 Buse I
2026-08-05 2026 Montreal, Canada
Buse I Buse I 0:2 Norrie C
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Bonzi B
W W W W L
2026-08-27 2026 Winston Salem, USA
Bonzi B 2:0 Van de Zandschulp B Bonzi B
2026-08-26 2026 Winston Salem, USA
Hijikata R 0:2 Bonzi B Bonzi B
2026-08-25 2026 Winston Salem, USA
Bonzi B 2:1 Halys Q Bonzi B
2026-08-24 2026 Winston Salem, USA
Majchrzak K 0:2 Bonzi B Bonzi B
2026-08-21 2026 Quebec City, Canada
Bonzi B 0:2 Van Assche L Bonzi B
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage

More predictions

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Frequently asked questions

When does Buse I vs Bonzi B start?

August 28, 2026.