ATP. Umag. Clay
ATP. Umag. Clay
04.07.2026 13:30 UTC 3-й круг
Finished

ATP. Umag. Clay

Tiafo F. 🇺🇸 - Bublik A

Tennis
Tiafo F. 🇺🇸
Tiafo F. 🇺🇸
2 : 3
6:4 6:7 6:7 6:4 3:6
Finished
Bublik A
Bublik A

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tiafo F. 🇺🇸 - Bublik A 4 июля 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bublik A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.00 / 2 1.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.8%
1 11.7%
2 88.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins2
1.5Average score1.3

Head-to-head matches: 4 · average total 2.8 (goals)

Team form

Tiafo F. 🇺🇸
9-1WWLWWWWWWW
scored 2.0conceded 0.6
Bublik A
6-4WLLWWLLWWW
scored 1.7conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Form and head-to-head • Wimbledon - Men - 3rd Round

Team stats

Tiafo F. 🇺🇸
WWLWWWWWWW
W 9 • D 0 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:2 : 0.6
Bublik A
WWLLWWLLWW
W 6 • D 0 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.6 : 1.3
Head-to-head: 3 — Tiafo F. 🇺🇸 1, draws 0, Bublik A 2 (goals 4:5)
  • Frances Tiafoe — Alexander Bublik2023-10-30 0:2
  • Frances Tiafoe — Alexander Bublik2022-07-01 3:1
  • Frances Tiafoe — Alexander Bublik2022-06-20 1:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

ELO rating by surface • grass

Player strength by ELO

Tiafo F. 🇺🇸
ELO 1994 #26
hard2026
clay1890
grass1978
Best career ranking: #14
Bublik A
ELO 1864 #69
hard1883
clay1849
grass2031
Best career ranking: #20
ELO favourite (grass): Bublik A — ELO 2031 vs 1978

ELO ratings by surface: Ultimate Tennis Statistics / Tennis Abstract. For reference.

Match workload

Fatigue and schedule

Тиафо Ф.
Normal schedule
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
  • Sets in 7 days: 7
  • Rest: 2 days
Бублик А.
High workload
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
  • Sets in 7 days: 8
  • Rest: 2 days

Workload computed from matches played in our database (singles only, doubles excluded). For reference.

Form and surface

Recent matches

Тиафо Ф.
14–6 (70% over last 20)
  • Hard: 0–1
  • Clay: 7–4
  • Grass: 7–1
Бублик А.
9–11 (45% over last 20)
  • Hard: 2–3
  • Clay: 5–6
  • Grass: 2–2

Form, surface stats and head-to-head: tennis-data.co.uk (ATP/WTA main tour). For reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Stadium Всеанглийский клуб лаун-тенниса и крокета. Корт 1
Start 04.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Tiafo F. 🇺🇸 - Bublik A

Итоговый протокол и результаты теннисного матча Фрэнсис Тиафо - Александр Бублик, 04 июля 2026. Уимблдон (м). Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Фрэнсис Тиафо - Александр Бублик, кто победил.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 4.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 3.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 37.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 38.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
П1 -0.5 1.89 52.9% 4.80 20.8%
П1 -1.5 1.89 52.9% 2.20 45.5%
П1 -2.5 2.25 44.4%
П1 -3.5 2.15 46.5%
П1 -4.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +0.5 1.89 52.9% 1.20 83.3%
П2 +1.5 1.89 52.9% 5.80 17.2%
П2 +2.5 5.40 18.5%
П2 +3.5 2.95 33.9%
П2 -0.5 1.14 87.7%
П2 -1.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -2.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -3.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -4.5 1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
ТБ 37.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 38.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 39.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 40.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 41.5 1.84 54.4% 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 42.5 1.95 51.3% 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 43.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 44.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 45.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 46.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 47.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 48.5 1.53 65.4%
ТБ 49.5 2.12 47.2%
ТБ 50.5 2.13 47.0%
ТМ 41.5 1.95 51.3%
ТМ 42.5 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
П1 1.83 54.6% 8.00 12.5% 1.82 55.0%
П2 1.98 50.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.96 51.0%
Match center
Tiafo F. 🇺🇸
W W
02.07 11:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Tiafo F. 🇺🇸 3:1 Yan Choinski 🇬🇧Yan Choinski 🇬🇧
30.06 16:15 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Tiafo F. 🇺🇸 2:1 Atman T. 🇫🇷Atman T. 🇫🇷
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.5 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Bublik A
W W
02.07 16:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Bublik A 3:0 Zhake K. 🇫🇷Zhake K. 🇫🇷
30.06 09:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Bublik A 3:2 Kokkinakis T. 🇦🇺Kokkinakis T. 🇦🇺
2 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage