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ATP. Umag
ATP. Umag International
1-й круг 14.07.2026 17:08 MSK Match prediction

Dodig M - Karreno-Busta P

Tennis ATP. Umag
ATP. Umag 1-й круг 14.07.2026 17:08 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 17:08 MSK 1-й круг Finished
Dodig M
Dodig M Хорватия Seed 254
Karreno-Busta P
Karreno-Busta P Испания Seed 65
0:2 4:6 2:6
1 2 GP
Dodig M 4 2 0
Karreno-Busta P 6 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 2.95 31.7% BetBoom
P2 1.37 68.3% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Хорватия Country Испания
- Rating -
20 Age 35
188 Height (cm) 188
81 Weight (kg) 78
- Hand -
C Seed 0
- Coverage -
1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Dodig M
0% 0 / 1
0% 0 / 1
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
0 из 1
Трава
no data
Хард
no data
Karreno-Busta P
44% 11 / 25
44% 11 / 25
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
4 из 7
Трава
1 из 2
Хард
6 из 16

Head-to-head history

0 Форма за последний год Форма за последний год {"form":[{"category":"Синтетика","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Грунт","value":0,"full":100,"game":"0 из 1"},{"category":"Трава","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Хард","value":0,"full":100,"game":""}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":0,"game":1,"pct":"0%"}} ; Форма за последний год {"form":[{"category":"Синтетика","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Грунт","value":57,"full":100,"game":"4 из 7"},{"category":"Трава","value":50,"full":100,"game":"1 из 2"},{"category":"Хард","value":38,"full":100,"game":"6 из 16"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":11,"game":25,"pct":"44%"}}
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dodig M — 51%

1 · Dodig M50.6%
2 · Karreno-Busta P49.4%

Model estimate: win Dodig M 50.6%, win Karreno-Busta P 49.4%. Model favourite — Dodig M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dodig M - Karreno-Busta P 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Dodig M 50.6% / Karreno-Busta P 49.4%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 3.75 ↓ 2.95
Победитель П2 1.25 ↑ 1.37

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Dodig M
6-4WWLWWLWLWL
scored 1.4conceded 1.3
Karreno-Busta P

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Стелла Марис. Стэдиум Горан Иванишевич
Start 14.07.2026 17:08 MSK
Form 4 matches
Match center

Dodig M - Karreno-Busta P

Итоговый протокол и результаты теннисного матча Матей Додиг - Пабло Карреньо-Буста, 14 июля 2026. Умаг. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Матей Додиг - Пабло Карреньо-Буста, кто победил.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Dodig M Karreno-Busta P Result
Set 0 4 6 4:6
Set 1 2 6 2:6
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dodig M 31.7% 50.6% Glicko-противоход
Karreno-Busta P 68.3% 49.4% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.6% / 49.4% probabilities
Rating 1,753 / 1,635 Dodig M / Karreno-Busta P
RD 156 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,442-2,065 / 1,053-2,216 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 49.4%
Total
Over 17.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 7.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 +1.5 2.50 40.0%
П1 +2.5 3.95 25.3%
П1 +3.5 5.60 17.9%
П1 +4.5 7.70 13.0%
П1 +5.5 15.00 6.7%
П1 +6.5 1.02 98.0%
П2 +1.5 1.47 68.0%
П2 +2.5 1.20 83.3%
П2 +3.5 1.09 91.7%
П2 +4.5 1.04 96.2%
П2 +5.5 1.01 99.0%
П2 +6.5 10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 17.5 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 18.5 16.00 6.3%
ТБ 19.5 7.70 13.0%
ТБ 20.5 4.40 22.7%
ТБ 21.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 22.5 3.05 32.8%
ТБ 23.5 3.05 32.8%
ТБ 24.5 2.20 45.5%
ТМ 17.5 10.00 10.0%
ТМ 18.5 1.01 99.0%
ТМ 19.5 1.04 96.2%
ТМ 20.5 1.17 85.5%
ТМ 21.5 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 22.5 1.32 75.8%
ТМ 23.5 1.33 75.2%
ТМ 24.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 16.00 6.3%
П2 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Dodig M
W W W W W
11.07 08:00 UTC+0 ATP Челленджер. Триест
Dodig M 2:1 Сквайр Г
10.07 14:45 UTC+0 ATP Челленджер. Триест
Dodig M 2:0 Бранкаччо Р
08.07 08:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия), грунт
Dodig M 2:1 Ribecai M. (Ита)Ribecai M. (Ита)
05.07 12:45 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия), грунт
Dodig M 2:0 Нагал С. (Инд)
09.06 07:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Cattolica (Италия), грунт
Dodig M 2:0 Санчес Ховер К. (Исп)
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Karreno-Busta P
W
29.06 10:05 UTC+0 Fonbet tennis live
Karreno-Busta P 3:0 Шаповалов Д
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDodig M - Karreno-Busta P

Dodig M
0 matches total
Karreno-Busta P
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history