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ATP. Umag
ATP. Umag International
1-й круг 14.07.2026 19:14 MSK Match prediction

Sheshko Zh - Merida Aguilar D

Tennis ATP. Umag
ATP. Umag 1-й круг 14.07.2026 19:14 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 19:14 MSK 1-й круг Finished
Sheshko Zh
Sheshko Zh Словения Seed 957
Merida Aguilar D
Merida Aguilar D Испания Seed 82
0:2 4:6 1:6
1 2 GP
Sheshko Zh 4 1 0
Merida Aguilar D 6 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 5.40 17.3% BetBoom
P2 1.13 82.7% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Словения Country Испания
- Rating -
17 Age 21
192 Height (cm) 188 -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
C Seed 0
- Coverage -
1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Sheshko Zh
0% 0 / 0
0% 0 / 0
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
no data
Трава
no data
Хард
no data
Merida Aguilar D
54% 7 / 13
54% 7 / 13
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
6 из 10
Трава
1 из 2
Хард
0 из 1

Head-to-head history

0 Форма за последний год Форма за последний год {"form":[{"category":"Синтетика","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Грунт","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Трава","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Хард","value":0,"full":100,"game":""}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":0,"game":0,"pct":"0%"}} ; Форма за последний год {"form":[{"category":"Синтетика","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Грунт","value":60,"full":100,"game":"6 из 10"},{"category":"Трава","value":50,"full":100,"game":"1 из 2"},{"category":"Хард","value":0,"full":100,"game":"0 из 1"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":7,"game":13,"pct":"54%"}}
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Merida Aguilar D — 50%

1 · Sheshko Zh49.7%
2 · Merida Aguilar D50.3%

Model estimate: win Sheshko Zh 49.7%, win Merida Aguilar D 50.3%. Model favourite — Merida Aguilar D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sheshko Zh - Merida Aguilar D 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Sheshko Zh 49.7% / Merida Aguilar D 50.3%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 5.40 → 5.40
Победитель П2 1.13 → 1.13

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Stadium Стелла Марис. Студенац Арена
Start 14.07.2026 19:14 MSK
Form 1 matches
Match center

Sheshko Zh - Merida Aguilar D

Итоговый протокол и результаты теннисного матча Жига Шешко - Даниэль Мерида-Агилар, 14 июля 2026. Умаг. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Жига Шешко - Даниэль Мерида-Агилар, кто победил.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Sheshko Zh Merida Aguilar D Result
Set 0 4 6 4:6
Set 1 1 6 1:6
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sheshko Zh 17.3% 49.7%
Merida Aguilar D 82.7% 50.3% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 49.7% / 50.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,564 Sheshko Zh / Merida Aguilar D
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 982-2,146 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 50.3%
Total
Over 17.5 4.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 +2.5 4.10 24.4%
П1 +3.5 4.90 20.4%
П1 +4.5 8.50 11.8%
П1 +5.5 11.00 9.1%
П1 +6.5 4.50 22.2%
П2 +2.5 1.20 83.3%
П2 +3.5 1.14 87.7%
П2 +4.5 1.03 97.1%
П2 +5.5 1.01 99.0%
П2 +6.5 1.17 85.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 17.5 4.50 22.2%
ТБ 18.5 11.00 9.1%
ТБ 19.5 8.50 11.8%
ТБ 20.5 5.00 20.0%
ТБ 21.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 22.5 2.50 40.0%
ТБ 23.5 2.95 33.9%
ТМ 17.5 1.17 85.5%
ТМ 18.5 1.01 99.0%
ТМ 19.5 1.03 97.1%
ТМ 20.5 1.12 89.3%
ТМ 21.5 1.48 67.6%
ТМ 22.5 1.47 68.0%
ТМ 23.5 1.35 74.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 16.00 6.3%
П2 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Sheshko Zh
W
29.06 11:45 UTC+0 Fonbet tennis live
Sheshko Zh 3:2 Уго Карабельи К
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Merida Aguilar D
W
29.06 11:45 UTC+0 Fonbet tennis live
Merida Aguilar D 3:2 Уго Карабельи К
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage