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ATP. Umag
ATP. Umag International
1-й круг 14.07.2026 17:07 MSK Match prediction

Topo M - Ugo Carabelli C

Tennis ATP. Umag
ATP. Umag 1-й круг 14.07.2026 17:07 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 17:07 MSK 1-й круг Finished
Topo M
Topo M Германия Seed 374
Ugo Carabelli C
Ugo Carabelli C Аргентина Seed 58
1:2 7:6 6:7 3:6
1 2 3 GP
Topo M 7 6 3 1
Ugo Carabelli C 6 7 6 2
1 2 3
Odds
P1 3.15 29.7% BetBoom
P2 1.33 70.3% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Германия Country Аргентина
- Rating -
22 Age 27
188 Height (cm) 185
85 Weight (kg) 83
Right Hand Right
Q Seed 7
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Topo M
0% 0 / 2
0% 0 / 2
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
0 из 1
Трава
no data
Хард
0 из 1
Ugo Carabelli C
43% 20 / 46
43% 20 / 46
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
15 из 26
Трава
0 из 1
Хард
5 из 19

Head-to-head history

0 Форма за последний год Форма за последний год {"form":[{"category":"Синтетика","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Грунт","value":0,"full":100,"game":"0 из 1"},{"category":"Трава","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Хард","value":0,"full":100,"game":"0 из 1"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":0,"game":2,"pct":"0%"}} ; Форма за последний год {"form":[{"category":"Синтетика","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Грунт","value":58,"full":100,"game":"15 из 26"},{"category":"Трава","value":0,"full":100,"game":"0 из 1"},{"category":"Хард","value":26,"full":100,"game":"5 из 19"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":20,"game":46,"pct":"43%"}}
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Topo M — 50%

1 · Topo M50.3%
2 · Ugo Carabelli C49.7%

Model estimate: win Topo M 50.3%, win Ugo Carabelli C 49.7%. Model favourite — Topo M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Topo M - Ugo Carabelli C 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Topo M 50.3% / Ugo Carabelli C 49.7%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.95 ↑ 3.15
Победитель П2 1.37 ↓ 1.33

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Stadium Стелла Марис. Первый корт
Start 14.07.2026 17:07 MSK
Form 1 matches
Match center

Topo M - Ugo Carabelli C

Итоговый протокол и результаты теннисного матча Марко Топо - Камило Уго Карабельи, 14 июля 2026. Умаг. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Марко Топо - Камило Уго Карабельи, кто победил.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Topo M Ugo Carabelli C Result
Set 0 7 6 7:6
Set 1 6 7 6:7
Set 2 3 6 3:6
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Topo M 29.7% 50.3% Glicko-противоход
Ugo Carabelli C 70.3% 49.7% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.3% / 49.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,436 Topo M / Ugo Carabelli C
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 854-2,018 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 49.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 +0.5 1.48 67.6%
П1 +1.5 11.00 9.1%
П1 -0.5 11.00 9.1%
П1 -1.5 3.20 31.3%
П1 -2.5 3.05 32.8%
П1 -3.5 2.08 48.1%
П1 -4.5 3.05 32.8%
П2 +0.5 2.45 40.8%
П2 +1.5 1.01 99.0%
П2 +2.5 1.04 96.2%
П2 +3.5 2.95 33.9%
П2 +4.5 2.55 39.2%
П2 +5.5 2.80 35.7%
П2 -0.5 1.01 99.0%
П2 -1.5 1.30 76.9%
П2 -2.5 1.33 75.2%
П2 -3.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -4.5 1.33 75.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 19.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 20.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 21.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 22.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 23.5 1.98 50.5%
ТБ 24.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 25.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 26.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 27.5 1.78 56.2%
ТБ 28.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 29.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 30.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 31.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 32.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 33.5 1.35 74.1%
ТБ 34.5 1.18 84.8%
ТБ 35.5 8.50 11.8%
ТБ 36.5 10.00 10.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 16.00 6.3%
П2 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Topo M
L
29.06 11:45 UTC+0 Fonbet tennis live
Topo M 2:3 Мерида-Агилар Д
0 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Sets won
3.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Ugo Carabelli C
L
29.06 11:45 UTC+0 Fonbet tennis live
Ugo Carabelli C 2:3 Мерида-Агилар Д
0 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Sets won
3.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTopo M - Ugo Carabelli C

Topo M
0 matches total
Ugo Carabelli C
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history