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ATP. Umag
ATP. Umag International
2-й круг 15.07.2026 19:05 MSK Match prediction

Trungeliti M - Davidovich Fokina A

Tennis ATP. Umag
ATP. Umag 2-й круг Грунт 15.07.2026 19:05 MSK Finished
15.07.2026 19:05 MSK 2-й круг Finished
Trungeliti M
Trungeliti M Аргентина Seed 99
Davidovich Fokina A
Davidovich Fokina A Испания Seed 20
0:2 4:6 5:7
1 2 GP
Trungeliti M 4 5 0
Davidovich Fokina A 6 7 2
1 2
Odds
P1 3.80 25.8% BetBoom
P2 1.32 74.2% BetBoom
Stadium: Стелла Марис. Студенац Арена Coverage: Грунт
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Аргентина Country Испания
- Rating -
36 Age 27
178 Height (cm) 180
80 Weight (kg) 80
Right Hand Right
99 Seed 20
Грунт Coverage Грунт
Посев 2 1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Trungeliti M
40% 6 / 15
40% 6 / 15
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
6 из 13
Трава
0 из 2
Хард
no data
Davidovich Fokina A
61% 39 / 64
61% 39 / 64
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
4 из 8
Трава
9 из 12
Хард
26 из 44

Head-to-head history

2021
ATP. Umag
  М. Марко Трунгеллити 3 5 6 7 6 6
  А. Алехандро Давидович-Фокина 2 7 3 5 7 4
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Davidovich Fokina A — 71%

Pure model vs market (2 · Davidovich Fokina A): model 53% · market 79% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Trungeliti M28.8%
market21%
2 · Davidovich Fokina A ✓ Прогноз71.2%
market79%

Model estimate: win Trungeliti M 28.8%, win Davidovich Fokina A 71.2%. Model favourite — Davidovich Fokina A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Davidovich Fokina A (odds1.35) confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Trungeliti M - Davidovich Fokina A 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Davidovich Fokina A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Davidovich Fokina A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.80 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Trungeliti M 28.8% / Davidovich Fokina A 71.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 25.3%
1 21.0%
2 ✓ Прогноз 79.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 3.65 ↓ 3.25
Победитель П2 1.28 ↑ 1.32

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Stadium Стелла Марис. Студенац Арена
Start 15.07.2026 19:05 MSK
Stage 2-й круг
Coverage Грунт
Form 8 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Trungeliti M - Davidovich Fokina A

Итоговый протокол и результаты теннисного матча Марко Трунгеллити - Алехандро Давидович-Фокина, 15 июля 2026. Умаг. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Марко Трунгеллити - Алехандро Давидович-Фокина, кто победил.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 1 block. officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Trungeliti M Davidovich Fokina A Result
Set 0 4 6 4:6
Set 1 5 7 5:7
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Trungeliti M 26.8% 28.8%
Davidovich Fokina A 73.2% 71.2% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 28.8% / 71.2% probabilities
Rating 1,267 / 1,813 Trungeliti M / Davidovich Fokina A
RD 259 / 232 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 749-1,784 / 1,349-2,278 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 71.2%
1 3.60 market consensus · no value · model 28.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +3.5 2.10 47.6% — —
П1 +4.5 1.69 59.2% 1.78 56.2% —
П1 -0.5 — — 3.15 31.8%
П1 -1.5 — — 3.45 29.0%
П2 +0.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
П2 +1.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
П2 +2.5 — — 1.01 99.0%
П2 +3.5 — — 1.05 95.2%
П2 +4.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
П2 +5.5 — — 3.05 32.8%
П2 +6.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
П2 +7.5 — — 6.20 16.1%
П2 -0.5 — — 1.30 76.9%
П2 -1.5 — — 1.25 80.0%
П2 -3.5 1.68 59.5% — —
П2 -4.5 2.10 47.6% 2.04 49.0% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 16.5 — — 1.07 93.5%
ТБ 17.5 — — 1.33 75.2%
ТБ 18.5 — — 1.33 75.2%
ТБ 19.5 — — 1.98 50.5%
ТБ 20.5 — — 5.50 18.2%
ТБ 21.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 22.5 — — 7.10 14.1%
ТБ 23.5 — — 11.00 9.1%
ТБ 24.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 25.5 — — 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 26.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 27.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
ТМ 16.5 — — 6.20 16.1%
ТМ 17.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
ТМ 21.5 1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 16.00 6.3% 3.50 28.6%
П2 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.01 99.0% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
Trungeliti M
D
14.07.2026 Championat
Trungeliti M Т. Титуан Дрог (Франция) 2 3 6 6 5 — А. Александр Блокс (Бельгия) 1 6 2 0 · 1-й круг
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Davidovich Fokina A
D D
14.07.2026 Championat
LL Л. Лукас Ноймайер (Австрия) 0 3 6 Q Х. Хуан-Карлос Прадо-Анхело (Боливия) 2 6 7 · 1-й круг Davidovich Fokina A
14.07.2026 Championat
Q Ф. Федерико-Агустин Гомес (Аргентина) 2 6 7 WC Н. Нильс Davidovich Fokina A
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTrungeliti M - Davidovich Fokina A

Trungeliti M
0 matches total
Davidovich Fokina A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2021 US Open (м) Хард 1-й круг Q М. Марко Трунгеллити Марко Трунгеллити (Аргентина) 3 5 6 7 6 6 29 А. Алехандро Давидович-Фокина Алехандро Давидович-Фокина (Испания) 2 7 3 5 7 4 CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'tennis_15