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ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification International
semi-final 01.08.2026 22:30 UTC

Nakashima B - Fritz T

Nakashima B take on Fritz T on August 1, 2026 in the ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Nakashima B 4-0-1, Fritz T 4-0-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Fritz T — 59%

Pure model vs market (2 · Fritz T): model 44% · market 74% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Nakashima B40.7%
market26%
2 · Fritz T59.3%
market74%

Model estimate: win Nakashima B 40.7%, win Fritz T 59.3%. Model favourite — Fritz T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Fritz T (odds1.56) Score 1:2 confidence 59%
  • • Nakashima B: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • Frits T: forma VVP (2-1)
  • • Model backs Frits T: probability 59% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nakashima B - Fritz T August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Fritz T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.55 / 2 1.27

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.9%
1 26.3%
2 73.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.40 ↑ 2.50
Pobeditel P2 1.57 ↓ 1.52

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

LIVE

Now in play

serve: Nakashima B · sets 1:1 · games 3-6 6-3 0-1 · game 30:40 · aces 9:11 · DF 1:2 · BP!

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

26% 74%
Nakashima B (1) Fritz T (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

Tennis ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification 1/2 finala hard 01.08.2026 22:30 UTC Not started
01.08.2026 22:30 UTC 1/2 finala Not started
Nakashima B
Nakashima B USA Seed 33
W W W L W
Fritz T
Fritz T USA Seed 10
W W W L W
-:-
Odds
P1 2.50 38.7% BetBoom
P2 1.58 61.3% BetBoom
Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Stadium Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country USA
- Rating -
24 Age 28
188 Height (cm) 196
83 Weight (kg) 86
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
33 Seed 10
hard Coverage hard
Posev 3 1 H2H 3

Form over the last year

Nakashima B
56% 30 / 54
56% 30 / 54
Sintetika
no data
clay
5 iz 10
grass
4 iz 6
hard
21 iz 38
Fritz T
67% 47 / 70
67% 47 / 70
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 2
grass
11 iz 14
hard
36 iz 54

Head-to-head history

2026
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
  Nakashima B 0
  Fritz T 0
2024
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
  Nakashima B 0
  Fritz T 0
Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Stadium
Start 01.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 26.3% @ 3.55 / 2 73.7% @ 1.27
Stage 1/2 finala
Coverage hard
Form 7 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Nakashima B - Fritz T

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Brendon Nakashima - Teylor Frits. Vashington (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nakashima B 39.0% 40.7%
Fritz T 61.0% 59.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 40.7% / 59.3% probabilities
Rating 1,857 / 1,739 Nakashima B / Fritz T
RD 162 / 218 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,533-2,181 / 1,303-2,174 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.27 Fonbet · no value · model 59.3%
1 3.55 Fonbet · no value · model 40.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% —
1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% —
— — 1.47 68.0%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.83 54.6%
— — 3.70 27.0%
— — 2.70 37.0%
— — 3.20 31.3%
— — 4.15 24.1%
— — 1.25 80.0%
1.76 56.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.32 75.8%
1.98 50.5% 2.07 48.3% 1.23 81.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.30 76.9%
Over 19.5 — — 1.52 65.8%
Over 20.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 22.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 23.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 2.20 45.5%
Over 24.5 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.75 57.1%
Over 25.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 26.5 — — 1.25 80.0%
Over 27.5 — — 2.05 48.8%
Under 23.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 24.5 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 3.55 28.2% 2.45 40.8%
1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Nakashima B
W W W L W
2026-07-31 2026 Washington, USA
Nakashima B De Minaur A 0:2 Nakashima B
2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA
Nakashima B Nakashima B 2:1 Mensik J
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Nakashima B Nakashima B 2:0 Etcheverry T M
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Nakashima B Nakashima B 2:3 Struff J-L
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Nakashima B Nakashima B 3:0 Pinnington Jones J
4 Wins
1 Losses
2.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Fritz T
W W W L W
2026-07-31 2026 Washington, USA
Fritz T 2:1 Michelsen A Fritz T
2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA
Fritz T 2:0 Majchrzak K Fritz T
2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA
Fritz T 2:0 Bergs Z Fritz T
2026-07-08 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Fritz T 0:3 Zverev A Fritz T
2026-07-06 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Fritz T 3:0 Bublik A Fritz T
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNakashima B - Fritz T

Nakashima B
0 matches total
Fritz T
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2026 Dallas hard 2-y krug 1 T. Teylor Frits Teylor Frits 🇺🇸 2 6 B. Brendon Nakashima Brendon Nakashima 🇺🇸 0 3 4
Event
2024 Tsintsinnati (m) hard 1-y krug 11 T. Teylor Frits Teylor Frits 🇺🇸 1 4 6 WC B. Brendon Nakashima Brendon Nakashima 🇺🇸 2 6 4 7