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ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification International
31.07.2026 14:00 UTC

De Minaur A - Nakashima B

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 De Minaur A — 64%

Pure model vs market (1 · De Minaur A): model 57% · market 66% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · De Minaur A ✓ Pick64.2%
market66%
2 · Nakashima B35.8%
market34%

Model estimate: win De Minaur A 64.2%, win Nakashima B 35.8%. Model favourite — De Minaur A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1De Minaur A (odds1.45) Score 2:1 confidence 64%
  • • De Minaur A: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Nakashima B: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Model backs De Minaur A: probability 64% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction De Minaur A - Nakashima B July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: De Minaur A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.43 / 2 2.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 ✓ Pick 66.2%
2 33.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.45 → 1.45
Pobeditel P2 2.70 → 2.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

De Minaur A
7-3LWWWLWWLWW
scored 1.8conceded 0.7
Nakashima B

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification hard 31.07.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
31.07.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
De Minaur A
De Minaur A
W
Nakashima B
Nakashima B
W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.46 64.9% BetBoom
P2 2.70 35.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 31.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

De Minaur A - Nakashima B

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
De Minaur A 65.0% 64.2% market and model agree
Nakashima B 35.0% 35.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 64.2% / 35.8% probabilities
Rating 1,926 / 1,791 De Minaur A / Nakashima B
RD 117 / 179 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,692-2,160 / 1,433-2,149 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.80 Fonbet · no value · model 35.8%
1 1.43 Fonbet · no value · model 64.2%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.43 69.9% 1.46 68.5% 1.43 69.9%
2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1
2026-06-19 · Aleks De Minaur 0:2 Brendon Nakashima
2025-07-25 · Aleks De Minaur 2:0 Brendon Nakashima
Source: ruscore
De Minaur A
W
30.07 17:40 UTC ATP. Vashington
De Minaur A 2:0 Khyuitt KruzKhyuitt Kruz
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Nakashima B
W W
30.07 15:10 UTC ATP. Vashington
Nakashima B 2:1 Menshik YaMenshik Ya
28.07 19:20 UTC ATP. Vashington
Nakashima B 2:0 Etcheverri T-MEtcheverri T-M
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDe Minaur A - Nakashima B

De Minaur A
0 matches total
Nakashima B
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history