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ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification International
quarter-final 31.07.2026 22:00 UTC

Jodar R - Musetti L

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Jodar R — 63%

Pure model vs market (1 · Jodar R): model 51% · market 65% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Jodar R ✓ Pick63.5%
market65%
2 · Musetti L36.5%
market35%

Model estimate: win Jodar R 63.5%, win Musetti L 36.5%. Model favourite — Jodar R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Jodar R (odds1.47) Score 2:1 confidence 63%
  • • Khodar R: forma VV (2-0)
  • • Muzetti L: forma V (1-0)
  • • Model backs Khodar R: probability 63% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.47)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jodar R - Musetti L July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Jodar R. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.47 / 2 2.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 ✓ Pick 64.7%
2 35.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.47 → 1.47
Pobeditel P2 2.70 → 2.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification quarter-final 31.07.2026 22:00 UTC Not started
31.07.2026 22:00 UTC quarter-final Not started
Jodar R
Jodar R Spain Seed 24
W W
Musetti L
Musetti L Italy Seed 15
W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.47 64.8% BetBoom
P2 2.70 35.3% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Spain Country Italy
- Rating -
19 Age 24
191 Height (cm) 185
70 Weight (kg) 78
Right Hand Right
24 Seed 15
- Coverage -
Seed 4 0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Jodar R
71% 30 / 42
71% 30 / 42
Synthetic
no data
Clay
19 of 23
Grass
2 of 3
Hard
9 of 16
Musetti L
65% 34 / 52
65% 34 / 52
Synthetic
no data
Clay
6 of 10
Grass
no data
Hard
28 of 42

Head-to-head history

0 Forma za posledniy god Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":83,"full":100,"game":"19 of 23"},{"category":"grass","value":67,"full":100,"game":"2 of 3"},{"category":"hard","value":56,"full":100,"game":"9 of 16"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":30,"game":42,"pct":"71%"}} ; Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":60,"full":100,"game":"6 of 10"},{"category":"grass","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"hard","value":67,"full":100,"game":"28 of 42"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":34,"game":52,"pct":"65%"}}
Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Kort Dzhona Kharrisa
Start 31.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Form 3 matches
Match center

Jodar R - Musetti L

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Rafael Khodar - Lorentso Muzetti. Vashington (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Jodar R 64.8% 63.5% market and model agree
Musetti L 35.2% 36.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 63.5% / 36.5% probabilities
Rating 1,819 / 1,849 Jodar R / Musetti L
RD 236 / 309 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,347-2,290 / 1,230-2,468 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 Fonbet · no value · model 36.5%
1 1.47 Fonbet · no value · model 63.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.47 68.0%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.70 58.8%
2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% 1.98 50.5%
— — 2.50 40.0%
— — 2.70 37.0%
— — 2.95 33.9%
— — 3.35 29.9%
1.79 55.9% 1.77 56.5% —
— — 2.50 40.0%
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 2.02 49.5%
— — 1.78 56.2%
— — 1.47 68.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 20.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 21.5 — 1.78 56.2% 1.72 58.1%
Over 22.5 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.02 49.5%
Over 23.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 24.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 25.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
Over 26.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
Under 19.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
Under 20.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Under 21.5 — 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0%
Under 22.5 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.46 68.5% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
2.70 37.0% 2.65 37.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.60 38.5%
Match center
Jodar R
W W
29.07 14:00 UTC ATP. Vashington
Jodar R 2:0 Nisikori K. 🇯🇵Nisikori K. 🇯🇵
28.07 17:25 UTC ATP. Vashington
Jodar R 2:0 Fils A. 🇫🇷Fils A. 🇫🇷
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Musetti L
W
29.07 17:06 UTC ATP. Vashington
Musetti L 2:1 Vukich AVukich A
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJodar R - Musetti L

Jodar R
0 matches total
Musetti L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history