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ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification International
semi-final 01.08.2026 22:30 UTC

Nakashima B - Fritz T

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Fritz T — 59%

Pure model vs market (2 · Fritz T): model 44% · market 62% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Nakashima B41.2%
market38%
2 · Fritz T58.8%
market62%

Model estimate: win Nakashima B 41.2%, win Fritz T 58.8%. Model favourite — Fritz T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Fritz T (odds1.56) Score 1:2 confidence 59%
  • • Nakashima B: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • Frits T: forma VVP (2-1)
  • • Model backs Frits T: probability 59% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nakashima B - Fritz T August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Fritz T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.50 / 2 1.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 38.3%
2 61.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.40 → 2.40
Pobeditel P2 1.57 → 1.57

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification semi-final 01.08.2026 22:30 UTC Not started
01.08.2026 22:30 UTC semi-final Not started
Nakashima B
Nakashima B USA Seed 33
W W W L W
Fritz T
Fritz T USA Seed 10
W W W L W
-:-
Odds
P1 2.40 39.6% BetBoom
P2 1.57 60.5% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country USA
- Rating -
24 Age 28
188 Height (cm) 196
83 Weight (kg) 86
Right Hand Right
33 Seed 10
- Coverage -
Seed 3 1 H2H 3

Form over the last year

Nakashima B
56% 30 / 54
56% 30 / 54
Synthetic
no data
Clay
5 of 10
Grass
4 of 6
Hard
21 of 38
Fritz T
67% 47 / 70
67% 47 / 70
Synthetic
no data
Clay
0 of 2
Grass
11 of 14
Hard
36 of 54

Head-to-head history

2026
Dallas Hard
2 round 1
  Nakashima B 0
  Fritz T 0
2024
Tsintsinnati (m) Hard
1 round 11
  T. Teylor Frits 1 4 6 6
  B. Brendon Nakashima 2 6 4 7
2021
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
  Nakashima B 0
  Fritz T 0
Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Stadium
Start 01.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 38.3% @ 2.50 / 2 61.7% @ 1.55
Form 6 matches
Match center

Nakashima B - Fritz T

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Brendon Nakashima - Teylor Frits. Vashington (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nakashima B 39.6% 41.2%
Fritz T 60.5% 58.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 41.2% / 58.8% probabilities
Rating 1,857 / 1,739 Nakashima B / Fritz T
RD 162 / 218 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,533-2,181 / 1,303-2,174 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 58.8%
1 2.50 Fonbet · no value · model 41.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 22.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Over 23.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 2.25 44.4% —
2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8%
— — 1.70 58.8% —
— — 2.55 39.2% —
— — 1.55 64.5% —
— — 1.73 57.8% —
— — 2.02 49.5% —
— — 1.45 69.0% —
1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5% — 1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 22.5 — — 1.58 63.3% —
Over 23.5 — 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6% —
Over 24.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2%
Over 25.5 — — 1.95 51.3% —
Over 26.5 — — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 22.5 — — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 23.5 — 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 24.5 1.92 52.1% 1.94 51.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%
Under 25.5 — — 1.75 57.1% —
Under 26.5 — — 1.55 64.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.41 41.5%
1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5%
Match center
Nakashima B
W W W L W
2026-07-31 2026 Washington, USA
Nakashima B De Minaur A 0:2 Nakashima B
2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA
Nakashima B Nakashima B 2:1 Mensik J
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Nakashima B Nakashima B 2:0 Etcheverry T M
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Nakashima B Nakashima B 2:3 Struff J-L
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Nakashima B Nakashima B 3:0 Pinnington Jones J
4 Wins
1 Losses
2.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Fritz T
W W W L W
2026-07-31 2026 Washington, USA
Fritz T 2:1 Michelsen A Fritz T
2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA
Fritz T 2:0 Majchrzak K Fritz T
2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA
Fritz T 2:0 Bergs Z Fritz T
2026-07-08 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Fritz T 0:3 Zverev A Fritz T
2026-07-06 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Fritz T 3:0 Bublik A Fritz T
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNakashima B - Fritz T

Nakashima B
0 matches total
Fritz T
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history