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ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
1 round 28.07.2026 16:30 UTC

Damm M - Shelton B

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Shelton B — 68%

Pure model vs market (2 · Shelton B): model 44% · market 71% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Damm M31.8%
market29%
2 · Shelton B ✓ Pick68.2%
market71%

Model estimate: win Damm M 31.8%, win Shelton B 68.2%. Model favourite — Shelton B.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Shelton B (odds1.36) Score 1:2 confidence 68%
  • • Damm M
  • • 🇺🇸 — Shelton B
  • • 🇺🇸 (tennis)
  • • Damm M
  • • 🇺🇸: forma VPVVP (3-2)
  • • Shelton B
  • • 🇺🇸: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • • Model backs Shelton B
  • • 🇺🇸: probability 68% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.36)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Damm M - Shelton B July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shelton B. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.30 / 2 1.33

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 28.7%
2 ✓ Pick 71.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 3.20 ↑ 3.30
Pobeditel P2 1.35 ↓ 1.33

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Damm M
5-5LLWLLWWWLW
scored 1.2conceded 1.1
Shelton B
6-4WLLWLWLWWW
scored 1.6conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright 1-y krug hard 28.07.2026 16:30 UTC Not started
28.07.2026 16:30 UTC 1-y krug Not started
Damm M
Damm M USA Seed 8
Shelton B
Shelton B
-:-
Odds
P1 3.40 28.4% BetBoom
P2 1.35 71.6% BetBoom
Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Stadium Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country -
- Rating -
22 Age -
203 Height (cm) -
95 Weight (kg) -
Levsha Hand -
8 Seed -
hard Coverage hard
C 0 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Damm M
44% 8 / 18
44% 8 / 18
Sintetika
no data
clay
1 iz 3
grass
2 iz 5
hard
5 iz 10
Shelton B
67% 39 / 58
67% 39 / 58
Sintetika
no data
clay
8 iz 13
grass
6 iz 8
hard
25 iz 37

Head-to-head history

Vashington (m)
Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Stadium
Start 28.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 10 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Damm M - Shelton B

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Martin Damm-ml. - Ben Shelton. Vashington (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Damm M 29.1% 31.8%
Shelton B 70.9% 68.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 31.8% / 68.2% probabilities
Rating 1,756 / 1,661 Damm M / Shelton B
RD 137 / 148 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,483-2,030 / 1,364-1,957 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.33 Fonbet · no value · model 68.2%
1 3.30 Fonbet · no value · model 31.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 22.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 23.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% —
1.72 58.1% 1.78 56.2% —
— — 3.45 29.0%
— — 4.05 24.7%
— — 1.35 74.1%
— — 1.47 68.0%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 2.55 39.2%
— — 4.30 23.3%
— — 1.25 80.0%
— — 1.20 83.3%
1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.11 90.1%
2.10 47.6% 2.04 49.0% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 22.5 1.77 56.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.45 69.0%
Over 23.5 1.99 50.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.75 57.1%
Over 24.5 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% —
Over 25.5 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% —
Under 22.5 2.03 49.3% 2.05 48.8% —
Under 23.5 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% —
Under 24.5 1.94 51.6% 1.97 50.8% —
Under 25.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
3.17 31.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.20 31.3%
1.35 74.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Damm MWWLWLWWLWW
Shelton BWLLWWWWWWL
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.3 (Betcity) · 2 1.39 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 3.2 1.35
Winline 3 1.39
Fonbet 3.2 1.35
Betcity 3.3 1.34
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Damm M
D
28.07.2026 Championat
Damm M 6 F. Frensis Tiafo Frensis Tiafo 🇺🇸 1 6 3 4 T. Terens Atman (France) 2 4 6 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Shelton B
D D
28.07.2026 Championat
Q A. Aleksandar Vukich (Australia) 2 6 LL Z. Zakhari Svayda Zakhari Svayda 🇺🇸 0 3 1-y krug Shelton B
28.07.2026 Championat
WC K. Key Nisikori (Japan) 2 6 SR Ts. Tszyunchen Shelton B
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDamm M - Shelton B

Damm M
0 matches total
Shelton B
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Vashington (m)