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ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
quarter-final 31.07.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

Fritz T - Michelsen A

Tennis ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright 1/4 finala hard 31.07.2026 19:30 UTC Finished
31.07.2026 19:30 UTC 1/4 finala Finished
Fritz T
Fritz T USA Seed 10
W W L W W
Michelsen A
Michelsen A USA Seed 40
W W W W W
2:1 6:1 3:6 7:6
1 2 3 GP
Fritz T 6 3 7 2
Michelsen A 1 6 6 1
1 2 3
Odds
P1 1.42 68.6% BetBoom
P2 3.10 31.4% BetBoom
Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Stadium Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country USA
- Rating -
28 Age 21
196 Height (cm) 193
86 Weight (kg) 79
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
3 Seed 0
hard Coverage hard
2 H2H 2

Form over the last year

Fritz T
67% 47 / 70
67% 47 / 70
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 2
grass
11 iz 14
hard
36 iz 54
Michelsen A
53% 26 / 49
53% 26 / 49
Sintetika
no data
clay
6 iz 12
grass
0 iz 1
hard
20 iz 36

Head-to-head history

2026
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
  Fritz T 0
  Michelsen A 0
2024
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
  Fritz T 0
  Michelsen A 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Fritz T — 66%

Pure model vs market (1 · Fritz T): model 57% · market 69% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Fritz T ✓ Pick66.5%
market69%
2 · Michelsen A33.5%
market31%

Model estimate: win Fritz T 66.5%, win Michelsen A 33.5%. Model favourite — Fritz T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Fritz T (odds1.56) Score 2:1 confidence 61% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Frits T
  • • 🇺🇸 — Mikelsen A
  • • 🇺🇸 (tennis)
  • • Frits T
  • • 🇺🇸: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Mikelsen A
  • • 🇺🇸: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.58→1.55 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Frits T
  • • 🇺🇸: probability 61% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fritz T - Michelsen A July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fritz T.

Line favourite Fonbet: Fritz T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.37 / 2 3.10
  • Glicko: Fritz T 66.5% / Michelsen A 33.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 ✓ Pick 69.4%
2 30.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.58 ↓ 1.37
Winner 2 2.40 ↑ 3.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Fritz T
8-2WLWWWWWWWL
scored 2.0conceded 0.8
Michelsen A

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Stadium
Start 31.07.2026 19:30 UTC
Market 1 69.4% @ 1.37 / 2 30.6% @ 3.10
Stage 1/4 finala
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Fritz T - Michelsen A

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Teylor Frits - Aleks Mikhelsen. Vashington (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Fritz T Michelsen A Result
Set 1 6 1 6:1
Set 2 3 6 3:6
Set 3 7 6 7:6
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Fritz T 67.6% 66.5% market and model agree
Michelsen A 32.4% 33.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 66.5% / 33.5% probabilities
Rating 1,896 / 1,788 Fritz T / Michelsen A
RD 128 / 129 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,640-2,152 / 1,529-2,046 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.10 Fonbet · no value · model 33.5%
1 1.37 Fonbet · no value · model 66.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.30 76.9%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.50 66.7%
1.72 58.1% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 3.30 30.3%
— — 3.15 31.8%
— — 3.60 27.8%
2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 4.50 22.2%
— — 2.80 35.7%
— — 2.45 40.8%
— — 2.03 49.3%
— — 1.58 63.3%
— — 1.28 78.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
Over 21.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.65 60.6%
Over 23.5 2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8%
Over 24.5 — — 1.93 51.8%
Over 25.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 26.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Over 27.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
Over 28.5 — — 2.70 37.0%
Under 20.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
Under 22.5 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% —
Under 23.5 1.77 56.5% 1.81 55.3% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.39 71.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.37 73.0% 1.40 71.4%
2.97 33.7% 2.85 35.1% 3.10 32.3% 2.85 35.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-2
2026-07-31 · Teylor Fritts 2:1 Aleks Mikelsen
2026-03-09 · Teylor Fritts 0:2 Aleks Mikelsen
2024-05-22 · Teylor Fritts 1:2 Aleks Mikelsen
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.56 (Betcity) · 2 2.67 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.55 2.45
Winline 1.47 2.67
Fonbet 1.55 2.45
Betcity 1.56 2.44
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

15 Eysy 5
3 Dvoynye oshibki 7
6 Vsego breyk-poyntov 10
3 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 2
95 Vyigrannye Points 81
60 Points na podache 56
25 Poteryannye Points na podache 35
51 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 56
31 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 28
43 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 41
17 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 15
8 Maks. ochkov podryad 7
6 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 4
12 Geymy na podache 11
16 Vyigrannye geymy 13
5 Maks. geymov podryad 3
1 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Fritz T
W W L W W
2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA
Fritz T Fritz T 2:0 Majchrzak K
2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA
Fritz T Fritz T 2:0 Bergs Z
2026-07-08 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Fritz T Fritz T 0:3 Zverev A
2026-07-06 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Fritz T Fritz T 3:0 Bublik A
2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Fritz T Fritz T 3:1 Sonego L
4 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Michelsen A
W W W W W
2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA
Michelsen A 2:0 Mannarino A Michelsen A
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Michelsen A 2:0 McDonald M Michelsen A
2026-07-26 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Michelsen A 2:0 Fearnley J Michelsen A
2026-07-25 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Michelsen A 2:1 Suresh D Michelsen A
2026-07-24 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Michelsen A 2:0 Lajal M Michelsen A
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.2 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFritz T - Michelsen A

Fritz T
0 matches total
Michelsen A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2026 Indian-Uells (m) hard 3-y krug A. Aleks Mikhelsen Aleks Mikhelsen 🇺🇸 2 6 7 T. Teylor Frits Teylor Frits 🇺🇸 0 4 6
Event
2024 Zheneva clay 2-y krug 3 T. Teylor Frits Teylor Frits 🇺🇸 1 4 6 5 A. Aleks Mikhelsen Aleks Mikhelsen 🇺🇸 2 6 4 7 CHAMP({ name: