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ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
1 round 28.07.2026 12:00 UTC

Michelsen A - Draper J

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Draper J — 56%

Pure model vs market (2 · Draper J): model 39% · market 58% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Michelsen A44.2%
2 · Draper J55.8%

Model estimate: win Michelsen A 44.2%, win Draper J 55.8%. Model favourite — Draper J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Michelsen A (odds1.45) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Mikelsen A
  • • 🇺🇸 — Dreyper Dzh
  • • 🇬🇧 (tennis)
  • • Mikelsen A
  • • 🇺🇸: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Dreyper Dzh
  • • 🇬🇧: forma PV (1)
  • • Model backs Mikelsen A
  • • 🇺🇸: probability 50% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
  • • no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Michelsen A - Draper J July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Draper J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / 2 1.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 42.3%
2 57.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.45 ↑ 2.25
Pobeditel P2 2.55 ↓ 1.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated28.07.2026 13:16 UTC
1 60% ✓ favourite
2 40%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:Vozvrat stavki (Match otmenen iz-za otkaza Dreypera)
Per AI data H2H: 0:0
AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 60% 40% 2:0 Under 22.5 Vozvrat stavki (Match otmenen iz-za otkaza Dreypera)
Tennis ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright 1-y krug hard 28.07.2026 12:00 UTC Not started
28.07.2026 12:00 UTC 1-y krug Not started
Michelsen A
Michelsen A USA Seed 40
Draper J
Draper J Velikobritaniya Seed 147
-:-
Odds
P1 2.30 42.5% BetBoom
P2 1.70 57.5% BetBoom
Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country Velikobritaniya
- Rating -
21 Age 24
193 Height (cm) 193
79 Weight (kg) 85
Pravsha Hand Levsha
40 Seed 147
hard Coverage hard
C 0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Michelsen A
52% 25 / 48
52% 25 / 48
Sintetika
no data
clay
6 iz 12
grass
0 iz 1
hard
19 iz 35
Draper J
57% 8 / 14
57% 8 / 14
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 1
grass
3 iz 4
hard
5 iz 9

Head-to-head history

Vashington (m)
Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda.
Start 28.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 7 matches
H2H 3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Michelsen A 60%
📐 Math model Draper J 56%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Michelsen A - Draper J

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Aleks Mikhelsen - Dzhek Dreyper. Vashington (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Michelsen A 42.3% 44.2%
Draper J 57.7% 55.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 44.2% / 55.8% probabilities
Rating 1,760 / 1,462 Michelsen A / Draper J
RD 136 / 239 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,489-2,032 / 983-1,940 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.65 Fonbet · no value · model 55.8%
1 2.25 Fonbet · no value · model 44.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
2.00 50.0% —
— 2.25 44.4%
— 2.45 40.8%
— 2.75 36.4%
— 1.65 60.6%
— 1.78 56.2%
— 1.95 51.3%
— 2.35 42.6%
— 3.30 30.3%
— 1.93 51.8%
— 2.30 43.5%
— 1.55 64.5%
1.82 55.0% 1.48 67.6%
— 1.40 71.4%
— 1.25 80.0%
— 1.10 90.9%
— 1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — 1.45 69.0%
Over 21.5 — 1.58 63.3%
Over 22.5 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%
Over 23.5 — 2.02 49.5%
Over 24.5 — 2.10 47.6%
Over 25.5 — 2.30 43.5%
Over 26.5 — 2.60 38.5%
Over 27.5 — 2.85 35.1%
Under 20.5 — 2.60 38.5%
Under 21.5 — 2.25 44.4%
Under 22.5 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3%
Under 23.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Under 24.5 — 1.65 60.6%
Under 25.5 — 1.55 64.5%
Under 26.5 — 1.43 69.9%
Under 27.5 — 1.37 73.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.12 47.2%
1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Michelsen ALLWWLWWLLW
Draper JLWWWLLLWWW
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.1 (Pari) · 2 1.76 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.1 1.73
Winline 2.07 1.74
Fonbet 2.1 1.73
Betcity 2.06 1.76
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Michelsen A
D
27.07.2026 Championat
Michelsen A M. Matteo Arnaldi (Italy) 0 1 4 — L. Lorentso Muzetti (Italy) 1 6 3 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Draper J
D D
27.07.2026 Championat
A. Alekhandro Tabilo (Chile) 2 7 4 6 LD T. Tallon Grikspor (Netherlands) 1 6 4 1-y krug Draper J
27.07.2026 Championat
3 T. Teylor Frits Teylor Frits 🇺🇸 Z. Draper J
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMichelsen A - Draper J

Michelsen A
0 matches total
Draper J
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Vashington (m)