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ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
2 round 29.07.2026 20:00 UTC

Michelsen A - Mannarino A

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Michelsen A — 58%

1 · Michelsen A ✓ Pick58.3%
market67%
2 · Mannarino A41.7%
market33%

Model estimate: win Michelsen A 58.3%, win Mannarino A 41.7%. Model favourite — Michelsen A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Michelsen A (odds1.41) Score 2:1 confidence 58%
  • • Mikelsen A
  • • 🇺🇸 — Mannarino A
  • • 🇫🇷 (tennis)
  • • Mikelsen A
  • • 🇺🇸: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Mannarino A
  • • 🇫🇷: forma VPPVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Mikelsen A
  • • 🇺🇸: probability 58% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.41)
  • • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Michelsen A - Mannarino A July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Michelsen A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 ✓ Pick 67.4%
2 32.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.40 → 1.40
Pobeditel P2 2.95 → 2.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Michelsen A

no data

Mannarino A
5-5LLWWWLWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright 2 round hard 29.07.2026 20:00 UTC Not started
29.07.2026 20:00 UTC 2 round Not started
Michelsen A
Michelsen A USA Seed 40
Mannarino A
Mannarino A France Seed 47
W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.40 67.8% BetBoom
P2 2.95 32.2% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country France
- Rating -
21 Age 38
193 Height (cm) 180
79 Weight (kg) 79
Right Hand Left
40 Seed 47
hard Coverage hard
2 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Michelsen A
52% 25 / 48
52% 25 / 48
Synthetic
no data
Clay
6 of 12
Grass
0 of 1
Hard
19 of 35
Mannarino A
43% 20 / 46
43% 20 / 46
Synthetic
no data
Clay
0 of 7
Grass
5 of 9
Hard
15 of 30

Head-to-head history

2025
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
  A. Aleks Mikhelsen 2 6 6 6
  A. Adrian Mannarino 1 7 4 2
2024
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
  Michelsen A 0
  Mannarino A 0
Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Kort Dzhona Kharrisa
Start 29.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Michelsen A - Mannarino A

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Aleks Mikhelsen - Adrian Mannarino. Vashington (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Michelsen A 67.8% 58.3% market and model agree
Mannarino A 32.2% 41.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 58.3% / 41.7% probabilities
Rating 1,760 / 1,602 Michelsen A / Mannarino A
RD 136 / 145 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,489-2,032 / 1,311-1,892 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.90 Fonbet · no value · model 41.7%
1 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 58.3%
Total
Over 20.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.50 66.7% —
— — 1.63 61.4% —
1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4%
— — 2.50 40.0% —
1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% — 1.87 53.5%
— — 2.40 41.7% —
— — 2.13 47.0% —
— — 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.48 67.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 — — 1.57 63.7% —
Over 21.5 1.77 56.5% — 1.67 59.9% —
Over 22.5 — 2.02 49.5% 1.98 50.5% 2.01 49.8%
Over 23.5 — — 2.15 46.5% —
Over 24.5 — — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 20.5 — — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 21.5 2.03 49.3% — 2.07 48.3% —
Under 22.5 — 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.78 56.2%
Under 23.5 — — 1.62 61.7% —
Under 24.5 — — 1.58 63.3% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9%
2.93 34.1% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9%
Match center
Michelsen A
W W W L W
25.07 17:20 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bloomfield Hills 🇺🇸, hard
Michelsen A 2:1 Suresh D. 🇮🇳
24.07 18:45 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bloomfield Hills 🇺🇸, hard
Michelsen A 2:0 Layal M. 🇪🇪Layal M. 🇪🇪
23.07 18:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bloomfield Hills 🇺🇸, hard
Michelsen A 2:0 Kharris LKharris L
11.07 16:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Newport 🇺🇸, grass
Michelsen A 0:2 Uolton A. 🇦🇺Uolton A. 🇦🇺
08.07 17:55 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Newport 🇺🇸, grass
Michelsen A 2:0 Matsuoka H. 🇯🇵Matsuoka H. 🇯🇵
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Mannarino A
W
28.07 12:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Mannarino A 2:0 Tien L. 🇺🇸Tien L. 🇺🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMichelsen A - Mannarino A

Michelsen A
0 matches total
Mannarino A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history