AI verdict

AI pick Cretu C win probability ~63% confidence High best odds 1.55

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Cretu C. Full breakdown below.

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Augsburg
Augsburg International

Cretu C - Damas M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
Tennis Augsburg
Augsburg 26.08.2026 12:15 UTC Match in progress
26.08.2026 12:15 UTC Match in progress
Cretu C
Cretu C
Rank #289 Elo 194
60Average Form
W L W L L L L W
Damas M
Damas M
Rank #313 Elo 177
45Struggling Form
L L L L W L L W
-:-
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Cretu C Damas M
Win % 67.4% 56.7%
Hard % 58.3% 50.5%
Clay % 68.9% 59.1%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 58.2% 50.5%
Tie-breaks % 54.4% 54.7%
Titles (total) 12 6
Last 10 WLWLLLLWLL WLLLLWWLWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#289 Rating #313
25 Age 26
1.88m Height (cm) 2.08m
83kg Weight (kg) 84kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Cretu C Damas M
Aces per match 1.75 1.25
Double faults per match 1.94 2.75
Breaks per match 9 4.67

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Cezar Cretu
Rank:289 Elo: 194
W L W L L L L W
Miguel Damas
Rank:313 Elo: 177
L L L L W L L W
Elo favourite:Cretu C (edge +17 Elo)

Hard

Cezar CretuMiguel Damas
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 44.4% 4 / 9 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 40.0% 4 / 10 Matches

Clay

Cezar CretuMiguel Damas
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 59.5% 22 / 37 Matches 44.4% 16 / 36 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 62.3% 38 / 61 Matches 54.7% 35 / 64 Matches

Grass

Cezar CretuMiguel Damas
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Cezar Cretu Miguel Damas
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 60.0% 24 / 40 Matches 44.7% 21 / 47 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 62.5% 40 / 64 Matches 52.6% 40 / 76 Matches
Current rank 289 313

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Cezar Cretu Miguel Damas
Prize money (career) $110,269 USD $68,931 USD
Rating 289 313
Age 25 26
Height 1.88m 2.08m
Weight 83kg 84kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Cezar Cretu Miguel Damas
Match Wins 60 % 45 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 59 % 44 %
Wins in Straight Sets 50 % 36 %
Wins From Behind 11 % 7 %
Won At Least 1 Set 78 % 64 %
Set 1 Win 60 % 55 %
Set 2 Win 68 % 46 %
Set 3 Win 40 % 31 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Cezar Cretu Miguel Damas Match total
Average Games in a Set 8.93 9.57 9.25
Over 6.5 95 % 96 % 96 %
Over 7.5 78 % 82 % 80 %
Over 8.5 51 % 67 % 59 %
Over 9.5 32 % 47 % 40 %
Over 10.5 19 % 27 % 23 %
Over 11.5 19 % 27 % 23 %

Aces

Cezar Cretu Miguel Damas Match total
Aces Per Match 1.75 1.25 3.00
Most Aces in a match 31 % 20 % N/A
1+ 69 % 61 % 93 %
2+ 47 % 30 % 85 %
3+ 25 % 18 % 70 %
4+ 13 % 7 % 52 %
5+ 13 % 7 % 42 %

Breaks

Cezar Cretu Miguel Damas Match total
Breaks Per Match 9 4.67 13.67
Over 0.5 100 % 95 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 91 % 100 %
Over 2.5 100 % 91 % 100 %
Over 3.5 100 % 41 % 99 %
Over 4.5 100 % 41 % 98 %
Over 5.5 100 % 36 % 97 %

Tie-breaks

Cezar Cretu Miguel Damas Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.16 0.27 0.21
Over 0.5 16 % 24 % 20 %
Over 1.5 0 % 2 % 1 %
Under 0.5 84 % 76 % 20 %
Under 1.5 100 % 98 % 1 %

Double faults

Cezar Cretu Miguel Damas Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.94 2.75 4.69
Over 0.5 (1+) 75 % 86 % 99 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 56 % 73 % 87 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 25 % 48 % 77 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 22 % 32 % 67 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 9 % 20 % 58 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 3 % 11 % 45 %

Net points

Cezar Cretu Miguel Damas Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 4.96 4.8 9.76
Over 4.5 (5+) 42 % 57 % 50 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 25 % 46 % 36 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 25 % 32 % 29 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 17 % 29 % 23 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 17 % 18 % 18 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 17 % 7 % 12 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.55 64.0% BetBoom
P2 2.75 36.1% BetBoom

Cretu C take on Damas M on August 26, 2026 in the Augsburg, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Cretu C 2-0-3, Damas M 1-0-4. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Cretu C63%

1 · Cretu C ✓ Pick63.5%
market 66%
2 · Damas M36.5%
market 34%

Model estimate: win Cretu C 63.5%, win Damas M 36.5%. Model favourite — Cretu C.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cretu C - Damas M August 26, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cretu C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / 2 2.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.6% 6 books · best price +9.2%
1 ✓ Pick 65.5%
2 34.5%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.38 ↑ 1.55
Winner P2 2.85 ↓ 2.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Cretu C
65%
1.55
Damas M
35%
2.75
Total
Over 21.5
49%
1.92
Under 21.5
51%
1.84

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

LIVE

Now in play

serve: Damas M · sets 0:0 · games 0-0 · game 15:15 · aces 0:0 · DF 0:1

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

Live pick Cretu C 60%

Live win probability (market-implied) — how often it wins, not a profit forecast.

60% 40%
Cretu C (1) Damas M (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

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Match center
Start 26.08.2026 12:15 UTC
Market 1 59.7% @ 1.55 / 2 40.3% @ 2.30
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Cretu C 63%
💹 Market Cretu C 66%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Cretu C - Damas M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cretu C 65.5% 58.3% market and model agree
Damas M 34.5% 41.7% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko63.5% · +Elo prior (weight0.39).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 63.5% / 36.5% probabilities
Rating 1,456 / 1,684 Cretu C / Damas M
RD 170 / 185 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,117-1,796 / 1,313-2,054 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.30 Fonbet · no value · model 36.5%
1 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 63.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.85 market consensus · line only
Over 19.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.70 58.8%
1.67 59.9%
1.80 55.6%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 2.00 50.0% 1.83 54.6%
2.25 44.4%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4%
2.02 49.5%
2.07 48.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.58 63.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.23 81.3%
2.30 43.5%
1.55 64.5%
3.75 26.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Kambi BetMGM
Over 2.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 10.5 3.85 26.0%
Over 19.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 20.5 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8%
Over 21.5 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2%
Over 22.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 23.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 19.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 20.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
Under 22.5 1.63 61.4%
Under 23.5 1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 2.5 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Cretu C
W L W L L
2026-08-25 2026 Augsburg, Germany
Cretu C Cretu C 2:0 McDonald N
2026-08-19 2026 Prague, Czech Republic
Cretu C Cretu C 0:2 Mrva M
2026-08-17 2026 Prague, Czech Republic
Cretu C Cretu C 2:1 Faurel T
2026-08-10 2026 Hamburg, Germany
Cretu C Cretu C 1:2 Moeller M
2026-07-21 2026 Zug, Switzerland
Cretu C Cretu C 0:2 Matusevich A
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Damas M
W L L L L
2026-08-24 2026 Augsburg, Germany
Topo M 0:2 Damas M Damas M
2026-08-17 2026 Prague, Czech Republic
Damas M 0:2 Coppejans K Damas M
2026-07-26 2026 Bonn, Germany, Qualifying
Damas M 1:2 Sakellaridis D Damas M
2026-07-21 2026 Zug, Switzerland
Damas M 0:2 Brunold M Damas M
2026-07-14 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Vallejo A D 2:0 Damas M Damas M
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

When does Cretu C vs Damas M start?

August 26, 2026.