When does Cretu C vs Moeller M start?

AI verdict

AI pick Moeller M win probability ~62% confidence High best odds 1.70

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Moeller M. Full breakdown below.

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Augsburg International

27.08.2026 15:00 UTC

Cretu C - Moeller M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis Augsburg

Augsburg 27.08.2026 15:00 UTC Not started

27.08.2026 15:00 UTC Not started

Cretu C

Rank #274 Elo 205

69Average Form

W W L L W W W L

Moeller M

Rank #289 Elo 194

61Average Form

L W W W W L W W

-:-

Preview

About the athletes

- Country -

#274 Rating #289

27 Age 25

1.78m Height (cm) 1.88m

69kg Weight (kg) 83kg

Right Hand Right

- Seed -

- Coverage -

1 H2H 1

Serve and return stats

	Cretu C	Moeller M
Aces per match	3.36	1.94
Double faults per match	2	1.94
Breaks per match	2.77	9

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Marvin Moeller

Rank:274 Elo: 205

W W L L W W W L

Cezar Cretu

Rank:289 Elo: 194

L W W W W L W W

Elo favourite:Moeller M (edge +11 Elo)

Hard

	Marvin Moeller	Cezar Cretu
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	68.2% 15 / 22 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	63.3% 19 / 30 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Clay

	Marvin Moeller	Cezar Cretu
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	69.4% 25 / 36 Matches	60.5% 23 / 38 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	66.0% 31 / 47 Matches	62.9% 39 / 62 Matches

Grass

	Marvin Moeller	Cezar Cretu
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	N/A 0 / 0 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	N/A 0 / 0 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

	Marvin Moeller	Cezar Cretu
H2H wins	1 (50.0%)	1 (50.0%)
Sets	2 (40.0%)	3 (60.0%)
Wins this year	69.5% 41 / 59 Matches	61.0% 25 / 41 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.	65.4% 51 / 78 Matches	63.1% 41 / 65 Matches
Current rank	274	289

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

	Marvin Moeller	Cezar Cretu
Prize money (career)	$132,331 USD	$110,269 USD
Rating	274	289
Age	27	25
Height	1.78m	1.88m
Weight	69kg	83kg
Playing hand	Right-handed	Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

	Marvin Moeller	Cezar Cretu
Match Wins	69 %	61 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)	69 %	61 %
Wins in Straight Sets	49 %	51 %
Wins From Behind	28 %	11 %
Won At Least 1 Set	80 %	78 %
Set 1 Win	68 %	61 %
Set 2 Win	61 %	68 %
Set 3 Win	67 %	40 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date	Tournament	Results
Aug 10 2026	Hamburg Chall. Men (Clay)	Marvin Moeller 2 – 1 Cezar Cretu
Aug 5 2024	Cordenons Chall. Men (Clay)	Marvin Moeller 0 – 2 Cezar Cretu

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

	Marvin Moeller	Cezar Cretu	Match total
Average Games in a Set	9.37	9.02	9.2
Over 6.5	95 %	95 %	95 %
Over 7.5	86 %	79 %	83 %
Over 8.5	59 %	53 %	56 %
Over 9.5	41 %	34 %	38 %
Over 10.5	22 %	21 %	22 %
Over 11.5	22 %	21 %	22 %

Aces

	Marvin Moeller	Cezar Cretu	Match total
Aces Per Match	3.36	1.94	5.30
Most Aces in a match	50 %	33 %	N/A
1+	82 %	70 %	96 %
2+	71 %	48 %	91 %
3+	50 %	27 %	78 %
4+	32 %	15 %	62 %
5+	25 %	15 %	48 %

Breaks

	Marvin Moeller	Cezar Cretu	Match total
Breaks Per Match	2.77	9	11.77
Over 0.5	100 %	100 %	100 %
Over 1.5	93 %	100 %	100 %
Over 2.5	93 %	100 %	100 %
Over 3.5	36 %	100 %	100 %
Over 4.5	4 %	100 %	97 %
Over 5.5	0 %	100 %	79 %

Tie-breaks

	Marvin Moeller	Cezar Cretu	Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match	0.34	0.21	0.28
Over 0.5	28 %	18 %	23 %
Over 1.5	7 %	3 %	5 %
Under 0.5	72 %	82 %	23 %
Under 1.5	93 %	97 %	5 %

Double faults

	Marvin Moeller	Cezar Cretu	Match total
Double Faults Per Match	2	1.94	3.94
Over 0.5 (1+)	86 %	76 %	97 %
Over 1.5 (2+)	57 %	58 %	86 %
Over 2.5 (3+)	36 %	24 %	77 %
Over 3.5 (4+)	14 %	21 %	71 %
Over 4.5 (5+)	7 %	9 %	58 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	0 %	3 %	41 %

Net points

	Marvin Moeller	Cezar Cretu	Match total
Net Points Won Per Match	7.64	4.96	12.6
Over 4.5 (5+)	86 %	42 %	64 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	71 %	25 %	48 %
Over 6.5 (7+)	71 %	25 %	48 %
Over 7.5 (8+)	43 %	17 %	30 %
Over 8.5 (9+)	14 %	17 %	16 %
Over 9.5 (10+)	14 %	17 %	16 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds

P1 2.70 35.4% BetBoom

P2 1.48 64.6% BetBoom

Cretu C take on Moeller M on August 27, 2026 in the Augsburg, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Cretu C 3-0-2, Moeller M 3-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Moeller M — 62%

1 · Cretu C37.7%

market 45%

2 · Moeller M ✓ Pick62.3%

market 55%

Model estimate: win Cretu C 37.7%, win Moeller M 62.3%. Model favourite — Moeller M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cretu C - Moeller M August 27, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Moeller M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.02 / 2 1.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.6% 6 books · best price +1.5%

1 45.0%

2 ✓ Pick 55.0%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner P1 2.60 ↓ 2.50

Winner P2 1.45 ↑ 1.47

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Cretu C

44%

2.25

Moeller M

56%

1.71

Total

Over 9.5

51%

1.85

Under 9.5

49%

1.89

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center

Start 27.08.2026 15:00 UTC

Market 1 45.7% @ 2.02 / 2 54.3% @ 1.70

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Moeller M 62%

💹 Market Moeller M 55%

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Match center

Cretu C - Moeller M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Cretu C 36.2% 43.0% market and model agree

Moeller M 63.8% 57.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko37.7% · +Elo prior (weight0.44).

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 37.7% / 62.3% probabilities

Rating 1,517 / 1,543 Cretu C / Moeller M

RD 160 / 222 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,197-1,836 / 1,098-1,988 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.70 Fonbet · value +5.9% · model 62.3%

1 2.02 Fonbet · no value · model 37.7%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 10.5 3.45 market consensus · line only

Over 2.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.86 53.8%	1.79 55.9%	—
1.81 55.3%	1.85 54.1%	—
1.76 56.8%	1.77 56.5%	—
—	—	1.75 57.1%
—	—	1.85 54.1%
—	—	2.02 49.5%
—	—	2.20 45.5%
—	—	2.30 43.5%
—	—	1.65 60.6%
1.86 53.8%	1.90 52.6%	—
1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	—
1.97 50.8%	1.93 51.8%	—

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.45 69.0%
	3.45 29.0%
	1.30 76.9%
	2.75 36.4%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 20.5	—	—	1.60 62.5%
Over 21.5	1.75 57.1%	1.74 57.5%	1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5	1.96 51.0%	1.92 52.1%	2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5	—	—	2.15 46.5%
Over 24.5	—	—	2.25 44.4%
Under 20.5	—	—	2.20 45.5%
Under 21.5	1.98 50.5%	1.97 50.8%	2.02 49.5%
Under 22.5	1.77 56.5%	1.78 56.2%	1.80 55.6%
Under 23.5	—	—	1.62 61.7%
Under 24.5	—	—	1.57 63.7%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	2.35 42.6%
Under 2.5	1.60 62.5%

Match center

Cretu C

W W L W L

2026-08-26 2026 Augsburg, Germany

Cretu C Cretu C 2:0 Damas M

2026-08-25 2026 Augsburg, Germany

Cretu C Cretu C 2:0 McDonald N

2026-08-19 2026 Prague, Czech Republic

Cretu C Cretu C 0:2 Mrva M

2026-08-17 2026 Prague, Czech Republic

Cretu C Cretu C 2:1 Faurel T

2026-08-10 2026 Hamburg, Germany

Cretu C Cretu C 1:2 Moeller M

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.4 Sets won

1.0 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Moeller M

W W L L W

2026-08-26 2026 Augsburg, Germany

Moeller M 2:0 Soto M Moeller M

2026-08-25 2026 Augsburg, Germany

Moeller M 2:0 Faurel T Moeller M

2026-08-18 2026 Sion, Switzerland

Kuzmanov D 2:0 Moeller M Moeller M

2026-08-16 2026 Hamburg, Germany

Kumstat J 2:1 Moeller M Moeller M

2026-08-15 2026 Hamburg, Germany

Dodig M 0:2 Moeller M Moeller M

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.4 Sets won

0.8 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Cretu C - Moeller M

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Head-to-Head Record

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Cretu C - Moeller M August 27, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

Unlock the full AI analysis

Cretu C - Moeller M

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

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Frequently asked questions