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Bonn
Bonn International
29.07.2026 08:00 UTC

McDonald N - Rodionov J

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Rodionov J — 61%

Pure model vs market (2 · Rodionov J): model 49% · market 66% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · McDonald N39.3%
market34%
2 · Rodionov J ✓ Pick60.7%
market66%

Model estimate: win McDonald N 39.3%, win Rodionov J 60.7%. Model favourite — Rodionov J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Rodionov J (odds1.50) Score 1:2 confidence 61%
  • • Makdonald N: forma PPV (1-2)
  • • Rodionov Yu: forma PVV (2-1)
  • • Model backs Rodionov Yu: probability 61% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction McDonald N - Rodionov J July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rodionov J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.70 / 2 1.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 34.1%
2 ✓ Pick 65.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.45 → 2.45
Pobeditel P2 1.50 → 1.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis Bonn
Bonn 29.07.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
29.07.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
McDonald N
McDonald N
Rodionov J
Rodionov J
-:-
Odds
P1 2.45 38.0% BetBoom
P2 1.50 62.0% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 29.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

McDonald N - Rodionov J

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
McDonald N 38.0% 39.3%
Rodionov J 62.0% 60.7% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 39.3% / 60.7% probabilities
Rating 1,453 / 1,484 McDonald N / Rodionov J
RD 213 / 225 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,027-1,880 / 1,034-1,934 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 60.7%
1 2.70 Fonbet · no value · model 39.3%
Total
Over 21.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 22.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
2.35 42.6% —
2.10 47.6% 2.01 49.8%
1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5%
1.52 65.8% —
1.65 60.6% —
1.90 52.6% —
— 1.75 57.1%
— 1.98 50.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 21.5 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8%
Over 22.5 2.00 50.0% 2.01 49.8%
Over 23.5 2.20 45.5% —
Under 21.5 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
Under 22.5 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1%
Under 23.5 1.60 62.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.45 40.8% 2.43 41.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.55 39.2%
1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0%
Match center
McDonald N
L L W
14.07 17:30 UTC+0 ATP. Umag
McDonald N 0:2 Gomes F-AGomes F-A
10.07 11:45 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Braunshveyg
McDonald N 0:2 Dias-Akosta FDias-Akosta F
09.07 11:00 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Braunshveyg
McDonald N 2:0 Krumikh M
1 Wins
2 Losses
0.7 Sets won
1.3 Sets lost
33% Win percentage
Rodionov J
L W W
22.07 12:10 UTC+0 ATP. Kitsbyuel
Rodionov J 0:2 Etcheverri T-MEtcheverri T-M
19.07 09:30 UTC+0 ATP. Kitsbyuel
Rodionov J 2:0 Sachko VSachko V
18.07 12:30 UTC+0 ATP. Kitsbyuel
Rodionov J 2:0 Chepelev AChepelev A
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.3 Sets won
0.7 Sets lost
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMcDonald N - Rodionov J

McDonald N
0 matches total
Rodionov J
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history