Match center
Start
05.07.2026 07:00 UTC
05.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished
Challenger Men - Singles: Milan (Italy), clay
Dias Akosta F. ๐ฆ๐ท - Chekkinato M. ๐ฎ๐น
2
:
1
Finished
C
Chekkinato M. ๐ฎ๐น
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dias Akosta F. ๐ฆ๐ท - Chekkinato M. ๐ฎ๐น July 5, 2026
Tennis math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Chekkinato M. ๐ฎ๐น. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.50 / 2 1.17
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.7%
1
20.6%
2
79.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Team form
Dias Akosta F. ๐ฆ๐ท
8-2WWWWLLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.7
Chekkinato M. ๐ฎ๐น
7-3WWLWWLLWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.9
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics โ for reference.
Form and head-to-head โข Milan - Final
Team stats
Dias Akosta F. ๐ฆ๐ท
WWWWLLWWWW
W 8 โข D 0 โข L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.6 : 0.7
Chekkinato M. ๐ฎ๐น
WLWWLLWWWW
W 7 โข D 0 โข L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 0.9
Head-to-head: 2 โ Dias Akosta F. ๐ฆ๐ท 1, draws 0, Chekkinato M. ๐ฎ๐น 1 (goals 2:2)
- Marco Cecchinato โ Facundo Diaz Acosta2025-11-10 2:0
- Marco Cecchinato โ Facundo Diaz Acosta2022-10-21 0:2
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Match workload
Fatigue and schedule
Dias Akosta F.
High workload- Matches in 7 days: 4 (in 14: 4)
- Sets in 7 days: 9
- Rest: 1 day
Chekkinato M.
High workload- Matches in 7 days: 3 (in 14: 3)
- Sets in 7 days: 7
- Rest: 1 day
Workload computed from matches played in our database (singles only, doubles excluded). For reference.
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Match center
Dias Akosta F. ๐ฆ๐ท - Chekkinato M. ๐ฎ๐น
Form
4/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.17
Fonbet ยท line only
1
4.50
Fonbet ยท line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.16
Fonbet ยท line only
2 +0.5
1.25
Fonbet ยท line only
1 -0.5
4.40
Fonbet ยท line only
1 +0.5
3.50
Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 20.5
1.60
Fonbet ยท line only
Over 21.5
1.80
Fonbet ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 4.40 22.7% | |
| — | — | 5.80 17.2% | |
| — | — | 2.80 35.7% | |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.92 52.1% | 2.15 46.5% | |
| — | — | 2.85 35.1% | |
| — | — | 1.25 80.0% | |
| — | — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| — | — | 3.80 26.3% | |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.82 55.0% | 3.70 27.0% | |
| — | — | 1.16 86.2% | |
| — | — | 1.09 91.7% | |
| — | — | 1.38 72.5% | |
| — | — | 1.63 61.4% | |
| — | — | 1.37 73.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 21.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 22.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 23.5 | — | — | 1.73 57.8% |
| Over 24.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 25.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 26.5 | — | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| Over 27.5 | — | — | 1.73 57.8% |
| Over 28.5 | — | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| Over 29.5 | — | — | 2.05 48.8% |
| Over 30.5 | — | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 31.5 | — | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 32.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 33.5 | — | — | 2.05 48.8% |
| Under 21.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.43 69.9% | 1.42 70.4% | 4.50 22.2% | 1.43 69.9% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | 2.75 36.4% | 1.17 85.5% | 2.65 37.7% |
Match center
Dias Akosta F. ๐ฆ๐ท
W
W
W
W
Dias Akosta F. ๐ฆ๐ท
2:1
Rinkon D. ๐ช๐ธ
Dias Akosta F. ๐ฆ๐ท
2:0
Martin Manzano J. C. ๐ฎ๐น
Dias Akosta F. ๐ฆ๐ท
2:0
Rapagnetta D. ๐ฎ๐น
Rapagnetta D. ๐ฎ๐น
Dias Akosta F. ๐ฆ๐ท
2:0
Tobon M. ๐จ๐ด
4
Wins
0
Losses
2.0
Sets won
0.3
Sets lost
100%
Win percentage
Chekkinato M. ๐ฎ๐น
W
W
W
W
Chekkinato M. ๐ฎ๐น
2:0
Kheyde G. ๐ง๐ท
Chekkinato M. ๐ฎ๐น
2:0
Basile P. ๐ฎ๐น
Basile P. ๐ฎ๐น
Chekkinato M. ๐ฎ๐น
2:0
Brankachchio R. ๐ฎ๐น
Brankachchio R. ๐ฎ๐น
Chekkinato M. ๐ฎ๐น
2:1
Romano F. ๐ฎ๐น
4
Wins
0
Losses
2.0
Sets won
0.3
Sets lost
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyDias Akosta F. ๐ฆ๐ท - Chekkinato M. ๐ฎ๐น
Dias Akosta F. ๐ฆ๐ท
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals