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Challenger Santos
Challenger Santos
06.05.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Challenger Santos

Mateus Puchineli De Almeida - Rafael Tosetto

Tennis
Mateus Puchineli De Almeida
Mateus Puchineli De Almeida
2 : 0
Finished
Rafael Tosetto
Rafael Tosetto

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mateus Puchineli De Almeida - Rafael Tosetto May 6, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mateus Puchineli De Almeida. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 89.1%
2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Tennis Challenger Santos
Challenger Santos 06.05.2026 16:30 UTC Finished
06.05.2026 16:30 UTC Finished
Mateus Puchineli De Almeida
Mateus Puchineli De Almeida Undefined
Rafael Tosetto
Rafael Tosetto Undefined
W W L
2:0
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Undefined Country Undefined
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 06.05.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Mateus Puchineli De Almeida - Rafael Tosetto

Form 0/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Betfair Bwin CloudBet DraftKings Duelbits Everygame Fonbet MelBet
1.01 99.4% 1.00 99.8% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.00 99.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.04 96.2% 1.00 99.9%
29.00 3.5% 41.00 2.4% 34.00 2.9% 14.00 7.1% 63.00 1.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 8.50 11.8% 18.00 5.6%
Match center
Rafael Tosetto
W W L
05.05 15:45 UTC Santos, Brazil
Rafael Tosetto 2:1 Arklon Huertas Del Pino CordovaArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova
04.05 17:50 UTC Santos, Brazil
Rafael Tosetto 2:1 Pavlos TsitsipasPavlos Tsitsipas
12.04 21:00 UTC Santa Cruz, Bolivia
Rafael Tosetto 0:2 Daniel Salazar Martinez
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.3 Sets won
1.3 Sets lost
67% Win percentage