Challenger Usi - MP
Luka Kastelnuovo/Bernard Tomich - Tosikhide Matsui/Akira Santilyan
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Luka Kastelnuovo/Bernard Tomich - Tosikhide Matsui/Akira Santilyan May 6, 2026
Tennis math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.24 / 2 14.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Luka Kastelnuovo/Bernard Tomich - Tosikhide Matsui/Akira Santilyan
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Bet365 | Betfair | Bwin | CloudBet | DraftKings | Duelbits | MelBet | Spreadex |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 99.9% | 1.00 99.7% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.01 99.5% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.00 99.9% | 1.03 97.1% | |
| 101.00 1.0% | 41.00 2.4% | 34.00 2.9% | 14.50 6.9% | 36.00 2.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 18.00 5.6% | 10.00 10.0% |
Full head-to-head historyLuka Kastelnuovo/Bernard Tomich - Tosikhide Matsui/Akira Santilyan
Match history
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The Luka Kastelnuovo/Bernard Tomich - Tosikhide Matsui/Akira Santilyan breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form