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Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
28.07.2026 09:30 UTC Match prediction

Bailly G A - Pieri S

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay clay 28.07.2026 09:30 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 09:30 UTC Finished
B
Bailly G A
P
Pieri S
0:2
Odds
P1 1.41 66.5% BetBoom
P2 2.80 33.5% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Bailly G A — 65%

Pure model vs market (1 · Bailly G A): model 53% · market 67% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Bailly G A ✓ Pick65.0%
market67%
2 · Pieri S35.0%
market33%

Model estimate: win Bailly G A 65.0%, win Pieri S 35.0%. Model favourite — Bailly G A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Bailly G A (odds1.43) Score 2:1 confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Bayi Zh
  • • A
  • • 🇧🇪 — Pieri S
  • • 🇮🇹 (tennis)
  • • Bayi Zh
  • • A
  • • 🇧🇪: forma PVPPV (2-3)
  • • Pieri S
  • • 🇮🇹: forma VPPVP (2-3)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.42→1.45 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Bayi Zh
  • • A
  • • 🇧🇪: probability 53% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.43)
  • • no edge over the line (-17 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bailly G A - Pieri S July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bailly G A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bailly G A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.38 / 2 2.80
  • Glicko: Bailly G A 65.0% / Pieri S 35.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 67.0%
2 33.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.42 ↓ 1.38
Winner 2 2.65 ↑ 2.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Bailly G A

no data

Pieri S
5-5WLWWWLWLLL
scored 1.1conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated28.07.2026 10:21 UTC
1 70% ✓ favourite
2 30%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:1
Per AI data Form:WLLWL / WWLLL H2H: 0:0
Claude updated28.07.2026 10:34 UTC
1 69% ✓ favourite
2 31%
Score2:0 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:1 win Bayi (1.41)
Qwen updated28.07.2026 10:30 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated28.07.2026 10:49 UTC
1 71% ✓ favourite
2 29%
Score2:0 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:1 (win Bayi Zh. A.)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 70% 30% 2:0 Under 21.5
Claude 69% 31% 2:0 Over 21.5
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 71% 29% 2:0 Over 22.5
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Bailly G A 72%
📐 Math model Bailly G A 65%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Bailly G A - Pieri S

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 65.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.844 / LogLoss 1.049
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.537 / LogLoss 0.730
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bailly G A 66.3% 65.0% market and model agree
Pieri S 33.7% 35.0%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 65.0% / 35.0% probabilities
Rating 1,451 / 1,429 Bailly G A / Pieri S
RD 171 / 159 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,109-1,793 / 1,112-1,747 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.80 Fonbet · no value · model 35.0%
1 1.38 Fonbet · no value · model 65.0%
Total
Over 19.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
— 1.45 69.0% —
— 1.55 64.5% —
1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.81 55.3%
— 2.10 47.6% —
1.85 54.1% — 1.93 51.8%
— 2.50 40.0% —
— 2.25 44.4% —
— 1.95 51.3% —
— 1.65 60.6% —

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 — 1.50 66.7% —
Over 20.5 — 1.70 58.8% —
Over 21.5 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4%
Over 22.5 — 2.15 46.5% —
Over 23.5 — 2.35 42.6% —
Over 24.5 — 2.45 40.8% —
Under 19.5 — 2.40 41.7% —
Under 20.5 — 2.02 49.5% —
Under 21.5 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
Under 22.5 — 1.63 61.4% —
Under 23.5 — 1.52 65.8% —
Under 24.5 — 1.50 66.7% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.41 70.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4%
2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4%
Match center
Bailly G A
L W L L W
22.07 08:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland), clay
Bailly G A 0:2 Barton G. 🇨🇿
20.07 10:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland), clay
Bailly G A 2:0 Galan D. E. 🇨🇴Galan D. E. 🇨🇴
13.07 10:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bunschoten (Netherlands), clay
Bailly G A 1:2 Romano F. 🇮🇹Romano F. 🇮🇹
08.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Liege (Belgium), clay
Bailly G A 1:2 Damas M. 🇪🇸Damas M. 🇪🇸
05.07 14:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Liege (Belgium), clay
Bailly G A 2:1 Santamarta Roig A. 🇪🇸Santamarta Roig A. 🇪🇸
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Pieri S
W L L W L
27.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany) - Qualifying, clay
Pieri S 2:1 La Vela G. 🇮🇹
12.07 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Pieri S 0:2 Tabakko Dzh. 🇮🇹
06.07 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Braunshveyg (Germany) - Qualifying, clay
Pieri S 1:2 Melleker R. 🇩🇪
05.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Braunshveyg (Germany) - Qualifying, clay
Pieri S 2:0 Larvig N. 🇩🇪
30.06 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Troyes (France), clay
Pieri S 0:2 Feldbaush K. 🇨🇭
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBailly G A - Pieri S

Bailly G A
0 matches total
Pieri S
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history