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Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
28.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction

Gentzsch T - Reis da Silva J L

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay clay 28.07.2026 11:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 11:00 UTC Finished
Gentzsch T
Gentzsch T
R
Reis da Silva J L
2:0
Odds
P1 1.44 64.8% BetBoom
P2 2.65 35.2% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Gentzsch T — 65%

Pure model vs market (1 · Gentzsch T): model 64% · market 94% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Gentzsch T ✓ Pick64.6%
market94%
2 · Reis da Silva J L35.4%
market6%

Model estimate: win Gentzsch T 64.6%, win Reis da Silva J L 35.4%. Model favourite — Gentzsch T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gentzsch T (odds1.38) Score 2:1 confidence 67% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Gentzsch T
  • • 🇩🇪 — Reis Da Silva Zh
  • • 🇧🇷 (tennis)
  • • Gentzsch T
  • • 🇩🇪: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Reis Da Silva Zh
  • • 🇧🇷: forma PPPVP (1-4)
  • • Model backs Gentzsch T
  • • 🇩🇪: probability 67% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.38)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gentzsch T - Reis da Silva J L July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gentzsch T.

Line favourite Fonbet: Gentzsch T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 15.00
  • Glicko: Gentzsch T 64.6% / Reis da Silva J L 35.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 ✓ Pick 93.7%
2 6.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.38 ↑ 1.43
Winner 2 2.80 ↓ 2.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Gentzsch T
6-4WWWLWWLLLW
scored 1.5conceded 1.0
Reis da Silva J L
6-4WWWLWLLWLW
scored 1.3conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Gentzsch T - Reis da Silva J L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 64.6% fact: home hit / ROI 44.0% / Brier 0.251 / LogLoss 0.438
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.7% fact: home hit / ROI 44.0% / Brier 0.466 / LogLoss 0.659
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gentzsch T 64.7% 64.6% market and model agree
Reis da Silva J L 35.4% 35.4%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 64.6% / 35.4% probabilities
Rating 1,810 / 1,418 Gentzsch T / Reis da Silva J L
RD 123 / 166 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,565-2,055 / 1,086-1,751 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.60 market consensus · no value · model 35.4%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 64.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.48 67.6% —
1.70 58.8% —
1.55 64.5% —
1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5%
1.01 99.0% —
1.80 55.6% —
3.15 31.8% —
— 1.77 56.5%
2.45 40.8% —
2.02 49.5% —
2.30 43.5% —
1.75 57.1% —
11.00 9.1% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.30 76.9% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 18.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 19.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 20.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 21.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 22.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 23.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 24.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 25.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 17.5 3.15 31.8%
Under 18.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 19.5 1.03 97.1%
Under 20.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 21.5 1.52 65.8%
Under 22.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 23.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 24.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 25.5 1.50 66.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.44 69.4%
15.00 6.7% 2.60 38.5%
Match center
Gentzsch T
L W W L W
24.07 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland), clay
Gentzsch T 1:2 Onklin G. 🇧🇪Onklin G. 🇧🇪
22.07 08:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland), clay
Gentzsch T 2:1 Nedich A. (Big)
21.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland), clay
Gentzsch T 2:1 Blansh D. 🇺🇸
19.07 10:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bunschoten (Netherlands), clay
Gentzsch T 1:2 Den Ouden G. 🇳🇱Den Ouden G. 🇳🇱
18.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bunschoten (Netherlands), clay
Gentzsch T 2:0 Kumstat J. 🇨🇿
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Reis da Silva J L
L L L W L
21.07 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland), clay
Reis da Silva J L 0:2 Kuzmanov D. 🇧🇴Kuzmanov D. 🇧🇴
14.07 09:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bunschoten (Netherlands), clay
Reis da Silva J L 1:2 Barton G. 🇨🇿
11.06 09:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bratislava (Slovakia), clay
Reis da Silva J L 0:2 Pirosh Zh. 🇭🇺
10.06 08:35 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bratislava (Slovakia), clay
Reis da Silva J L 2:0 Donski A. 🇧🇴
04.06 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Khaylbronn (Germany), clay
Reis da Silva J L 0:2 Dedura D. 🇩🇪Dedura D. 🇩🇪
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage