PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
28.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction

Kotov P - Galan D E

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay clay 28.07.2026 11:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 11:00 UTC Finished
Kotov P
Kotov P
Galan D E
Galan D E
0:2
Odds
P1 15.00 9.1% BetBoom
P2 1.50 90.9% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Galan D E — 61%

Pure model vs market (2 · Galan D E): model 54% · market 94% Δ −40 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kotov P38.8%
market6%
2 · Galan D E ✓ Pick61.2%
market94%

Model estimate: win Kotov P 38.8%, win Galan D E 61.2%. Model favourite — Galan D E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Galan D E (odds1.50) Score 1:2 confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Kotov P
  • • (World) — Galan D
  • • E
  • • 🇨🇴 (tennis)
  • • Galan D
  • • E
  • • 🇨🇴: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.62→1.50 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Galan D
  • • E
  • • 🇨🇴: probability 54% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kotov P - Galan D E July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Galan D E.

Line favourite Fonbet: Galan D E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Kotov P 38.8% / Galan D E 61.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 6.3%
2 ✓ Pick 93.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.15 ↑ 15.00
Winner 2 1.62 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kotov P
7-3WWWWWWLWLL
scored 1.6conceded 1.0
Galan D E
6-4WLLLWWLWWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated28.07.2026 11:43 UTC
1 38%
2 62% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:P2
Per AI data Form:LWLWL / WWLLW H2H: 1-0 Injuries:no
Claude updated28.07.2026 11:57 UTC
1 37%
2 63% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:2 (win Galana), alternativa s luchshey tsenoy — Over 22.5 games
Qwen updated28.07.2026 11:52 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated28.07.2026 12:12 UTC
1 40%
2 60% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:2

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 38% 62% 0:2 Under 22.5 P2
Claude 37% 63% 1:2 Over 22.5
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 40% 60% 1:2 Over 22.5
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Kotov P 48%
📐 Math model Galan D E 61%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Kotov P - Galan D E

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 61.2% fact: away hit / ROI 50.0% / Brier 0.301 / LogLoss 0.491
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.3% fact: away hit / ROI 50.0% / Brier 0.473 / LogLoss 0.667
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kotov P 38.0% 38.8%
Galan D E 62.0% 61.2% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 38.8% / 61.2% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,668 Kotov P / Galan D E
RD 350 / 142 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,383-1,952 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 61.2%
1 2.45 market consensus · no value · model 38.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 5.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 2.02 49.5%
— — 2.00 50.0%
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% —
1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.73 57.8%
— — 1.01 99.0%
— — 1.05 95.2%
— — 5.10 19.6%
— — 2.55 39.2%
— — 1.55 64.5%
1.78 56.2% 1.76 56.8% —
1.97 50.8% 1.90 52.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 5.50 18.2%
Over 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
Over 22.5 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 6.50 15.4%
Over 23.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 24.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 25.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 26.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 27.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Under 20.5 — — 1.10 90.9%
Under 21.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
Under 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.45 40.8% 2.46 40.7% 15.00 6.7% 2.43 41.2%
1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6% 1.01 99.0% 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Kotov P
W L L
27.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany) - Qualifying, clay
Kotov P 2:0 Petkovich M. 🇩🇪
20.07 10:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland), clay
Kotov P 0:2 Bayi Zh. A. 🇧🇪
17.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bunschoten (Netherlands), clay
Kotov P 0:2 Koppeyans K. 🇧🇪Koppeyans K. 🇧🇪
1 Wins
2 Losses
0.7 Sets won
1.3 Sets lost
33% Win percentage
Galan D E
W L L W W
27.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany) - Qualifying, clay
Galan D E 2:0 Petkovich M. 🇩🇪
20.07 10:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland), clay
Galan D E 0:2 Bayi Zh. A. 🇧🇪
17.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bunschoten (Netherlands), clay
Galan D E 0:2 Koppeyans K. 🇧🇪Koppeyans K. 🇧🇪
15.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bunschoten (Netherlands), clay
Galan D E 2:0 Romano F. 🇮🇹Romano F. 🇮🇹
14.07 06:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bunschoten (Netherlands), clay
Galan D E 2:1 Forger A. 🇳🇱
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKotov P - Galan D E

Kotov P
0 matches total
Galan D E
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history