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Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
31.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

Mackenzie J - Rodionov J

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay clay 31.07.2026 13:00 UTC Finished
31.07.2026 13:00 UTC Finished
M
Mackenzie J
W W
Rodionov J
Rodionov J
W W
2:0
Odds
P1 3.25 28.6% BetBoom
P2 1.30 71.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Rodionov J — 52%

1 · Mackenzie J48.0%
2 · Rodionov J52.0%

Model estimate: win Mackenzie J 48.0%, win Rodionov J 52.0%. Model favourite — Rodionov J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Rodionov J (odds1.43) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Mackenzie J
  • • 🇩🇪 — Rodionov Yu
  • • 🇦🇹 (tennis)
  • • Mackenzie J
  • • 🇩🇪: forma VVPVP (3-2)
  • • Rodionov Yu
  • • 🇦🇹: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Rodionov Yu
  • • 🇦🇹: probability 51% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.43)
  • • no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mackenzie J - Rodionov J July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rodionov J.

Line favourite market consensus: Rodionov J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.25 / 2 1.30
  • Glicko: Mackenzie J 48.0% / Rodionov J 52.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 28.6%
2 71.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mackenzie J
4-6WLLLWWWLLL
scored 1.2conceded 1.4
Rodionov J

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 31.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Market 1 28.6% @ 3.25 / 2 71.4% @ 1.30
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Mackenzie J - Rodionov J

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 52.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.542 / LogLoss 0.735
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.2% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.505 / LogLoss 0.698
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mackenzie J 28.6% 48.0%
Rodionov J 71.4% 52.0% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 48.0% / 52.0% probabilities
Rating 1,537 / 1,653 Mackenzie J / Rodionov J
RD 178 / 137 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,182-1,892 / 1,379-1,927 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.30 market consensus · no value · model 52.0%
1 3.25 market consensus · weak value +55.9% · model 48.0%
Total
Over 21.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 21.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.02 49.5%
1.74 57.5%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 21.5 1.79 55.9%
Under 21.5 1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
3.25 30.8%
1.30 76.9%
Match center
Mackenzie J
W W
29.07 10:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Mackenzie J 2:1 Moller E. 🇩🇰Moller E. 🇩🇰
27.07 10:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Mackenzie J 2:0 Gadamauri B. 🇧🇪Gadamauri B. 🇧🇪
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Rodionov J
W W
29.07 13:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Rodionov J 2:0 MakDonald N. 🇩🇪
27.07 13:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Rodionov J 2:0 Boskardin Dias P. 🇧🇷
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMackenzie J - Rodionov J

Mackenzie J
0 matches total
Rodionov J
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history