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Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay

McDonald N - Rodionov J

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 McDonald N60%

1 · McDonald N ✓ Pick59.6%
market38%
2 · Rodionov J40.4%
market62%

Model estimate: win McDonald N 59.6%, win Rodionov J 40.4%. Model favourite — McDonald N.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1McDonald N (odds2.36) Score 2:1 confidence 60%
  • MakDonald N
  • 🇩🇪 — Rodionov Yu
  • 🇦🇹 (tennis)
  • MakDonald N
  • 🇩🇪: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • Rodionov Yu
  • 🇦🇹: forma VPVVP (3-2)
  • Model backs MakDonald N
  • 🇩🇪: probability 60% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.36)
  • edge over the line +17 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction McDonald N - Rodionov J July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Rodionov J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / 2 1.49

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Pick 37.9%
2 62.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay clay 28.07.2026 13:00 UTC Not started
28.07.2026 13:00 UTC Not started
M
McDonald N
W
Rodionov J
Rodionov J
W
-:-
Odds
P1 2.36 39.2% BetBoom
P2 1.52 60.8% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

McDonald N - Rodionov J

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
McDonald N 39.2% 59.6% Glicko contrarian
Rodionov J 60.8% 40.4% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 59.6% / 40.4% probabilities
Rating 1,771 / 1,569 McDonald N / Rodionov J
RD 143 / 144 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,486-2,056 / 1,280-1,857 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.49 market consensus · no value · model 40.4%
1 2.44 market consensus · value +45.5% · model 59.6%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
2.44 41.0%
1.49 67.1%
Match center
McDonald N
W
28.07 08:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
McDonald N 2:0 Sakellaridis D. 🇬🇷Sakellaridis D. 🇬🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Rodionov J
W
27.07 13:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Rodionov J 2:0 Boskardin Dias P. 🇧🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMcDonald N - Rodionov J

McDonald N
0 matches total
Rodionov J
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history