PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
29.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

McDonald N - Rodionov J

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay clay 29.07.2026 13:00 UTC Finished
29.07.2026 13:00 UTC Finished
M
McDonald N
W
Rodionov J
Rodionov J
W
0:2
Odds
P1 2.85 33.7% BetBoom
P2 1.45 66.3% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Rodionov J — 63%

Pure model vs market (2 · Rodionov J): model 40% · market 66% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market

1 · McDonald N36.9%
market34%
2 · Rodionov J ✓ Pick63.1%
market66%

Model estimate: win McDonald N 36.9%, win Rodionov J 63.1%. Model favourite — Rodionov J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1McDonald N (odds2.36) Score 2:1 confidence 60% ✗ outcome missed
  • • MakDonald N
  • • 🇩🇪 — Rodionov Yu
  • • 🇦🇹 (tennis)
  • • MakDonald N
  • • 🇩🇪: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • Rodionov Yu
  • • 🇦🇹: forma VPVVP (3-2)
  • • Model backs MakDonald N
  • • 🇩🇪: probability 60% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.36)
  • • edge over the line +17 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction McDonald N - Rodionov J July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rodionov J.

Line favourite market consensus: Rodionov J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.85 / 2 1.45
  • Glicko: McDonald N 36.9% / Rodionov J 63.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.1%
1 33.7%
2 ✓ Pick 66.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 29.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

McDonald N - Rodionov J

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 63.1% fact: away hit / ROI 45.0% / Brier 0.272 / LogLoss 0.460
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.6% fact: away hit / ROI 45.0% / Brier 0.469 / LogLoss 0.662
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
McDonald N 34.4% 36.9%
Rodionov J 65.6% 63.1% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 36.9% / 63.1% probabilities
Rating 1,771 / 1,569 McDonald N / Rodionov J
RD 143 / 144 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,486-2,056 / 1,280-1,857 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.41 market consensus · no value · model 63.1%
1 2.70 market consensus · no value · model 36.9%
Total
Over 21.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 21.5 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.76 56.8% 1.94 51.6%
1.96 51.0% 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 21.5 1.74 57.5% 1.86 53.8%
Under 21.5 1.98 50.5% 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Leon
2.55 39.2% 2.85 35.1%
1.45 69.0% 1.37 73.0%
Match center
McDonald N
W
28.07 08:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
McDonald N 2:0 Sakellaridis D. 🇬🇷Sakellaridis D. 🇬🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Rodionov J
W
27.07 13:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Rodionov J 2:0 Boskardin Dias P. 🇧🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMcDonald N - Rodionov J

McDonald N
0 matches total
Rodionov J
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history