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Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay

Pucinelli de Almeida M - Gomez F A

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay clay 31.07.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
31.07.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
P
Pucinelli de Almeida M
W W
G
Gomez F A
W W
1:2
Odds
P1 1.74 53.6% BetBoom
P2 2.01 46.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Pucinelli de Almeida M53%

Pure model vs market (1 · Pucinelli de Almeida M): model 52% · market 54% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Pucinelli de Almeida M53.4%
2 · Gomez F A46.6%

Model estimate: win Pucinelli de Almeida M 53.4%, win Gomez F A 46.6%. Model favourite — Pucinelli de Almeida M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Pucinelli de Almeida M (odds1.55) Score 2:1 confidence 59% ✗ outcome missed
  • Puchinelli de Almeyda M
  • 🇧🇷 — Gomes F
  • 🇦🇷 (tennis)
  • Puchinelli de Almeyda M
  • 🇧🇷: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • Gomes F
  • 🇦🇷: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • Model backs Puchinelli de Almeyda M
  • 🇧🇷: probability 59% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.55)
  • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pucinelli de Almeida M - Gomez F A July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pucinelli de Almeida M.

Line favourite market consensus: Pucinelli de Almeida M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / 2 2.01
  • Glicko: Pucinelli de Almeida M 53.4% / Gomez F A 46.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.2%
1 53.6%
2 46.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Pucinelli de Almeida M
7-3LWWLWWWLWW
scored 1.5conceded 0.8
Gomez F A

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 31.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Market 1 53.6% @ 1.74 / 2 46.4% @ 2.01
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Pucinelli de Almeida M - Gomez F A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 53.4% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.570 / LogLoss 0.763
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.4% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.508 / LogLoss 0.701
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pucinelli de Almeida M 53.5% 53.4% market and model agree
Gomez F A 46.5% 46.6%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 53.4% / 46.6% probabilities
Rating 1,839 / 1,839 Pucinelli de Almeida M / Gomez F A
RD 138 / 151 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,563-2,115 / 1,537-2,140 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.00 market consensus · no value · model 46.6%
1 1.73 market consensus · no value · model 53.4%
Total
Over 22.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 22.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4%
1.81 55.3% 1.78 56.2% 1.84 54.4%
1.88 53.2% 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 22.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3%
Under 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.74 57.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1%
2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.01 49.8%
Match center
Pucinelli de Almeida M
W W
30.07 08:30 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Pucinelli de Almeida M 2:0 Skvayr G. 🇩🇪
28.07 08:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Pucinelli de Almeida M 2:0 Den Ouden G. 🇳🇱Den Ouden G. 🇳🇱
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Gomez F A
W W
30.07 07:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Gomez F A 2:0 Pieri S. 🇮🇹
28.07 09:30 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Gomez F A 2:0 Schoenhaus M. 🇩🇪Schoenhaus M. 🇩🇪
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage