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Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
29.07.2026 07:00 UTC

Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง - Barrena A

๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง โ€” 68%

Pure model vs market (1 ยท Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง): model 63% ยท market 78% ฮ” โˆ’15 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง ✓ Pick67.7%
market78%
2 ยท Barrena A32.3%
market22%

Model estimate: win Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง 67.7%, win Barrena A 32.3%. Model favourite โ€” Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (odds1.37) Score 2:1 confidence 68%
  • • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท (tennis)
  • • Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Barrena A
  • • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท: forma VPPVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง: probability 68% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.37)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) โ€” informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง - Barrena A July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 1.5%
1 ✓ Pick 77.6%
2 22.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง
7-3LWWLWWWWLW
scored 1.6conceded 1.0
Barrena A
4-6WWLWWLLLLL
scored 1.2conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics โ€” for reference.

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay clay 29.07.2026 07:00 UTC Not started
29.07.2026 07:00 UTC Not started
Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง
Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง
W
Barrena A
Barrena A
W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.39 68.0% BetBoom
P2 2.95 32.0% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 29.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง - Barrena A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง 68.2% 67.7% market and model agree
Barrena A 31.8% 32.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 67.7% / 32.3% probabilities
Rating 1,735 / 1,396 Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง / Barrena A
RD 142 / 153 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,451-2,020 / 1,090-1,703 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.93 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 32.3%
1 1.22 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 67.7%
Total
Over 20.5 1.80 market consensus ยท line only
Over 21.5 1.94 market consensus ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.71 58.5% 1.72 58.1% —
1.76 56.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1%
2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% —
1.97 50.8% 1.88 53.2% 1.89 52.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 20.5 1.79 55.9% 1.79 55.9% 1.82 55.0%
Over 21.5 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% —
Under 20.5 1.94 51.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1%
Under 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.18 84.8% 1.27 78.7% 1.20 83.3%
4.40 22.7% 3.40 29.4% 4.00 25.0%
Match center
Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง
W
27.07 10:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Yan Choinski ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง 2:0 Passaro F. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡นPassaro F. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Barrena A
W
28.07 06:30 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Barrena A 2:1 Nikles Y. ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage