PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
01.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Yan Choinski 🇬🇧 - Gomes F. 🇦🇷

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Gomes F. 🇦🇷 — 50%

1 · Yan Choinski 🇬🇧49.5%
2 · Gomes F. 🇦🇷50.5%

Model estimate: win Yan Choinski 🇬🇧 49.5%, win Gomes F. 🇦🇷 50.5%. Model favourite — Gomes F. 🇦🇷.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Yan Choinski 🇬🇧 - Gomes F. 🇦🇷 August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Yan Choinski 🇬🇧. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.32 / 2 3.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 70.1%
2 29.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Yan Choinski 🇬🇧
7-3LWWLWWWWLW
scored 1.6conceded 1.0
Gomes F. 🇦🇷

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay clay 01.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
01.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
Yan Choinski 🇬🇧
Yan Choinski 🇬🇧
W W W
G
Gomes F. 🇦🇷
W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.32 70.1% BetBoom
P2 3.10 29.9% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 01.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 70.1% @ 1.32 / 2 29.9% @ 3.10
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Yan Choinski 🇬🇧 - Gomes F. 🇦🇷

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Yan Choinski 🇬🇧 70.1% 49.5% market favourite
Gomes F. 🇦🇷 29.9% 50.5% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 49.5% / 50.5% probabilities
Rating 1,800 / 1,874 Yan Choinski 🇬🇧 / Gomes F. 🇦🇷
RD 130 / 140 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,540-2,060 / 1,594-2,155 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.10 market consensus · weak value +56.5% · model 50.5%
1 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 49.5%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
1.32 75.8%
3.10 32.3%
Match center
Yan Choinski 🇬🇧
W W W
31.07 07:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Yan Choinski 🇬🇧 2:0 Wallin O. 🇸🇪Wallin O. 🇸🇪
29.07 07:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Yan Choinski 🇬🇧 2:0 Barrena A. 🇦🇷Barrena A. 🇦🇷
27.07 10:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Yan Choinski 🇬🇧 2:0 Passaro F. 🇮🇹Passaro F. 🇮🇹
3 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Gomes F. 🇦🇷
W W W
31.07 09:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Gomes F. 🇦🇷 2:1 Puchinelli de Almeyda M. 🇧🇷
30.07 07:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Gomes F. 🇦🇷 2:0 Pieri S. 🇮🇹
28.07 09:30 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Gomes F. 🇦🇷 2:0 Schoenhaus M. 🇩🇪Schoenhaus M. 🇩🇪
3 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.3 Sets lost
100% Win percentage