PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04.08.2026 11:15 UTC Match prediction

Donski A - Kumasaka T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard 04.08.2026 11:15 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 11:15 UTC Finished
Donski A
Donski A
W W L W W
K
Kumasaka T
L L W W L
2:0 7:5 6:4
1 2 GP
Donski A 7 6 2
Kumasaka T 5 4 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.59 86.3% BetBoom
P2 10.00 13.7% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Donski A meet Kumasaka T on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

Recent form (W-D-L): Donski A 4-0-1, Kumasaka T 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Donski A — 60%

Pure model vs market (1 · Donski A): model 65% · market 59% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Donski A ✓ Pick59.5%
market59%
2 · Kumasaka T40.5%
market41%

Model estimate: win Donski A 59.5%, win Kumasaka T 40.5%. Model favourite — Donski A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Donski A (odds1.58) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Donski A
  • • 🇧🇴 — Kumasaka T
  • • 🇯🇵 (tennis)
  • • Donski A
  • • 🇧🇴: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Kumasaka T
  • • 🇯🇵: forma PPPVV (2-3)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.55→1.60 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Donski A
  • • 🇧🇴: probability 50% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
  • • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Donski A - Kumasaka T August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Donski A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Donski A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 10.00
  • Glicko: Donski A 59.5% / Kumasaka T 40.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.8% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 58.9%
2 41.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.55 ↓ 1.03
Winner 2 2.25 ↑ 10.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Donski A
7-3WWWWWWLLWL
scored 1.5conceded 1.0
Kumasaka T

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 10:22 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 0:0
Claude updated04.08.2026 10:26 UTC
1 56% ✓ favourite
2 44%
Score2:0 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:1 win Donski (kef ot 1.80)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 65% 35% 2:0 Under 22.5
Claude 56% 44% 2:0 Over 22.5
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 11:15 UTC
Market 1 90.7% @ 1.03 / 2 9.3% @ 10.00
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Donski A 61%
📐 Math model Donski A 60%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Donski A - Kumasaka T

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Donski A Kumasaka T Result
Set 1 7 5 7:5
Set 2 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 59.5% fact: home hit / ROI 59.0% / Brier 0.328 / LogLoss 0.519
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.1% fact: home hit / ROI 59.0% / Brier 0.477 / LogLoss 0.671
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Donski A 58.9% 59.5% market and model agree
Kumasaka T 41.1% 40.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 59.5% / 40.5% probabilities
Rating 1,865 / 1,393 Donski A / Kumasaka T
RD 158 / 172 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,548-2,182 / 1,049-1,737 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 40.5%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 59.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.22 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.65 60.6%
1.81 55.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.04 96.2%
— — 1.30 76.9%
— — 1.87 53.5%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.93 51.8%
1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% —
— — 2.02 49.5%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 7.80 12.8%
— — 3.15 31.8%
— — 1.83 54.6%
— — 1.22 82.0%
— — 1.25 80.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.25 80.0%
Over 20.5 — — 1.22 82.0%
Over 21.5 1.76 56.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2%
Over 22.5 1.97 50.8% — 2.25 44.4%
Over 23.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 24.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
Over 25.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
Over 28.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Under 19.5 — — 3.50 28.6%
Under 20.5 — — 3.80 26.3%
Under 21.5 1.97 50.8% 1.92 52.1% 1.92 52.1%
Under 22.5 1.76 56.8% — 1.57 63.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.56 64.1% 1.59 62.9% 1.03 97.1% 1.59 62.9%
2.30 43.5% 2.22 45.1% 10.00 10.0% 2.22 45.1%
Match center
Donski A
W W L W W
2026-08-03 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Donski A Donski A 2:0 Sinha N K
2026-08-02 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Donski A Donski A 2:1 De Schepper K
2026-07-21 2026 Zug, Switzerland
Donski A Donski A 0:2 Rehberg M H
2026-07-20 2026 Zug, Switzerland, Qualifying
Donski A Varillas J P 0:2 Donski A
2026-07-19 2026 Zug, Switzerland, Qualifying
Donski A Donski A 2:0 Topo M
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Kumasaka T
L L W W L
2026-07-28 2026 Samsun, Turkiye
Kumasaka T 0:2 Bax F Kumasaka T
2026-07-21 2026 Segovia, Spain
Kumasaka T 1:2 Pavlovic L Kumasaka T
2026-07-20 2026 Segovia, Spain, Qualifying
Callejon Hernando S 0:2 Kumasaka T Kumasaka T
2026-07-19 2026 Segovia, Spain, Qualifying
Meneses Perny A 0:2 Kumasaka T Kumasaka T
2026-07-13 2026 Pozoblanco, Spain, Qualifying
Kumasaka T 0:2 Lagutin P Kumasaka T
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDonski A - Kumasaka T

Donski A
0 matches total
Kumasaka T
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history