PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki International
05.08.2026 10:20 UTC Match prediction

Durasovic V - Guerrieri A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki grass 05.08.2026 10:20 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 10:20 UTC Finished
Durasovic V
Durasovic V
W L L L L
Guerrieri A
Guerrieri A
W L W L W
1:2 4:6 6:4 2:6
1 2 3 GP
Durasovic V 4 6 2 1
Guerrieri A 6 4 6 2
1 2 3
Odds
P1 3.33 28.2% BetBoom
P2 1.31 71.8% BetBoom
Coverage: grass
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Durasovic V meet Guerrieri A on August 5, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Durasovic V 1-0-4, Guerrieri A 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 30% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Guerrieri A — 70%

Pure model vs market (2 · Guerrieri A): model 53% · market 72% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Durasovic V30.1%
market28%
2 · Guerrieri A ✓ Pick69.9%
market72%

Model estimate: win Durasovic V 30.1%, win Guerrieri A 69.9%. Model favourite — Guerrieri A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Guerrieri A (odds1.35) Score 1:2 confidence 53% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Durasovich V: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Guerreri A: forma V (1-0)
  • • Model backs Guerreri A: probability 53% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.35)
  • • no edge over the line (-21 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Durasovic V - Guerrieri A August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Guerrieri A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Guerrieri A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 13.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Durasovic V 30.1% / Guerrieri A 69.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9% 4 books · best price +1.6%
1 28.2%
2 ✓ Pick 71.8%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.95 ↑ 3.30
Winner 2 1.35 ↓ 1.28

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 10:20 UTC
Market 1 7.2% @ 13.00 / 2 92.8% @ 1.01
Coverage grass
Form 4 matches
Match center

Durasovic V - Guerrieri A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Durasovic V Guerrieri A Result
Set 1 4 6 4:6
Set 2 6 4 6:4
Set 3 2 6 2:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 69.9% fact: away hit / ROI 31.0% / Brier 0.181 / LogLoss 0.358
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 52.4% fact: away hit / ROI 31.0% / Brier 0.453 / LogLoss 0.646
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Durasovic V 28.2% 30.1%
Guerrieri A 71.8% 69.9% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 30.1% / 69.9% probabilities
Rating 1,622 / 1,797 Durasovic V / Guerrieri A
RD 172 / 275 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,277-1,966 / 1,248-2,347 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 69.9%
1 3.23 market consensus · no value · model 30.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
2.07 48.3% 2.08 48.1% —
1.71 58.5% 1.66 60.2% —
— — 2.55 39.2%
— — 1.77 56.5%
— — 1.15 87.0%
— — 1.19 84.0%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 2.75 36.4%
— — 2.75 36.4%
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 2.00 50.0%
— — 1.58 63.3%
1.69 59.2% 1.66 60.2% —
2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
Over 20.5 — — 1.52 65.8%
Over 21.5 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 2.15 46.5%
Over 22.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 23.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
Over 24.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
Over 25.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 26.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 27.5 — — 1.72 58.1%
Over 28.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
Over 29.5 — — 4.10 24.4%
Over 30.5 — — 4.20 23.8%
Under 19.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Under 20.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Under 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.81 55.3% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
3.33 30.0% 3.10 32.3% 13.00 7.7% 3.25 30.8%
1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3% 1.01 99.0% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
Durasovic V
W L L L L
2026-08-04 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland
Durasovic V Durasovic V 2:1 Geerts M
2026-07-05 2026 Braunschweig, Germany, Qualifying
Durasovic V Marysko V 2:0 Durasovic V
2026-06-23 2026 Plovdiv, Bulgaria
Durasovic V Kopp S 2:1 Durasovic V
2026-06-07 2026 Bratislava, Slovakia, Qualifying
Durasovic V Krumich M 2:0 Durasovic V
2026-06-02 2026 Prostejov, Czech Republic
Durasovic V Durasovic V 1:2 Gombos N
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Guerrieri A
W L W L W
2026-08-04 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland
Wallin O 0:2 Guerrieri A Guerrieri A
2026-07-12 2026 Umag, Croatia, Qualifying
Guerrieri A 0:2 Gomez F A Guerrieri A
2026-07-11 2026 Umag, Croatia, Qualifying
Nardi L 0:2 Guerrieri A Guerrieri A
2026-07-09 2026 Trieste, Italy
Guerrieri A 0:2 Dellien H Guerrieri A
2026-07-07 2026 Trieste, Italy
Guerrieri A 2:0 Roca Batalla O Guerrieri A
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDurasovic V - Guerrieri A

Durasovic V
0 matches total
Guerrieri A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history