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ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki International
06.08.2026 10:00 UTC

Dzumhur D - Erhard M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki grass 06.08.2026 10:00 UTC Not started
06.08.2026 10:00 UTC Not started
Dzumhur D
Dzumhur D
Rank #104 Elo 632
42Struggling Form
W L L W W W W L
Erhard M
Erhard M
Rank #359 Elo 141
49Struggling Form
W W W W L W L W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.19 78.7% BetBoom
P2 4.40 21.3% BetBoom
Coverage: grass
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#104 Rating #359
34 Age 24
1.75m Height (cm) 1.88m
68kg Weight (kg) 83kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Dzumhur D Erhard M
Aces per match 1.15 4.29
Double faults per match 1.59 2.62
Breaks per match 3.44 1.83

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Damir Dzumhur
Rank:104 Elo: 632
W L L W W W W L
Mathys Erhard
Rank:359 Elo: 141
W W W W L W L W
Elo favourite:Dzumhur D (edge +491 Elo)

Hard

Damir DzumhurMathys Erhard
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 25.0% 2 / 8 Matches 50.0% 6 / 12 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 37.5% 9 / 24 Matches 53.6% 15 / 28 Matches

Clay

Damir DzumhurMathys Erhard
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 46.4% 13 / 28 Matches 50.0% 11 / 22 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 46.4% 13 / 28 Matches 54.6% 18 / 33 Matches

Grass

Damir DzumhurMathys Erhard
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 2 / 3 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 2 / 3 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Damir Dzumhur Mathys Erhard
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 41.9% 18 / 43 Matches 48.6% 17 / 35 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 42.4% 25 / 59 Matches 53.2% 33 / 62 Matches
Current rank 104 359

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Damir Dzumhur Mathys Erhard
Prize money (career) $6,202,683 USD $109,466 USD
Rating 104 359
Age 34 24
Height 1.75m 1.88m
Weight 68kg 83kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Damir Dzumhur Mathys Erhard
Match Wins 42 % 49 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 44 % 50 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 33 % N/A
Wins in Straight Sets 26 % 26 %
Wins From Behind 14 % 29 %
Won At Least 1 Set 58 % 66 %
Set 1 Win 44 % 43 %
Set 2 Win 40 % 49 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Dzumhur D go head-to-head with Erhard M on August 6, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dzumhur D 3-1-1, Erhard M 3-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Dzumhur D — 76%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dzumhur D): model 56% · market 79% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Dzumhur D ✓ Pick76.3%
market79%
2 · Erhard M23.7%
market21%

Model estimate: win Dzumhur D 76.3%, win Erhard M 23.7%. Model favourite — Dzumhur D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dzumhur D - Erhard M August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dzumhur D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.16 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4% 2 books · best price +1.3%
1 ✓ Pick 78.5%
2 21.5%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.27 ↓ 1.16
Winner P2 3.40 ↑ 4.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated06.08.2026 00:55 UTC
1 68% ✓ favourite
2 32%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:Pob. Dzhumkhur D. with handicap (-1.5) po setam (2:0)
Per AI data H2H: 0:0
Claude updated06.08.2026 00:58 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 22%
Score2:0 Total games: Over 20.5 Bet:1 win Dzhumkhura (ot 1.30)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 68% 32% 2:0 Under 21.5 Pob. Dzhumkhur D. with handicap (-1.5) po setam (2:0)
Claude 78% 22% 2:0 Over 20.5
Match center
Start 06.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market 1 79.1% @ 1.16 / 2 20.9% @ 4.40
Coverage grass
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Dzumhur D 73%
📐 Math model Dzumhur D 76%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Dzumhur D - Erhard M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dzumhur D 78.5% 67.8% model more cautious than market
Erhard M 21.5% 32.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko76.3% · +Elo prior (weight0.40).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 76.3% / 23.7% probabilities
Rating 1,863 / 1,769 Dzumhur D / Erhard M
RD 159 / 200 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,546-2,181 / 1,370-2,168 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.40 Fonbet · no value · model 23.7%
1 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 76.3%
Total
Over 19.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.40 71.4% —
1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5%
2.10 47.6% —
3.00 33.3% —
— 2.06 48.5%
2.70 37.0% —
2.10 47.6% —
1.65 60.6% —
1.35 74.1% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.06 94.3%
1.60 62.5%
2.20 45.5%
7.30 13.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 1.65 60.6% —
Over 20.5 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3%
Over 21.5 2.10 47.6% —
Over 22.5 2.45 40.8% —
Under 19.5 2.10 47.6% —
Under 20.5 1.82 55.0% 1.79 55.9%
Under 21.5 1.65 60.6% —
Under 22.5 1.50 66.7% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.80 35.7%
Under 2.5 1.38 72.5%

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Damir Dzumhur Mathys Erhard Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.74 9.97 9.86
Over 6.5 95 % 94 % 95 %
Over 7.5 90 % 82 % 86 %
Over 8.5 69 % 74 % 72 %
Over 9.5 46 % 44 % 45 %
Over 10.5 23 % 38 % 31 %
Over 11.5 23 % 38 % 31 %

Aces

Damir Dzumhur Mathys Erhard Match total
Aces Per Match 1.15 4.29 5.44
Most Aces in a match 18 % 50 % N/A
1+ 59 % 92 % 95 %
2+ 23 % 67 % 80 %
3+ 15 % 58 % 70 %
4+ 8 % 46 % 61 %
5+ 8 % 38 % 57 %

Breaks

Damir Dzumhur Mathys Erhard Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.44 1.83 5.27
Over 0.5 97 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 95 % 8 % 98 %
Over 2.5 92 % 8 % 98 %
Over 3.5 46 % 8 % 75 %
Over 4.5 0 % 4 % 52 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 52 %

Tie-breaks

Damir Dzumhur Mathys Erhard Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.41 0.62 0.51
Over 0.5 33 % 53 % 43 %
Over 1.5 5 % 9 % 7 %
Under 0.5 67 % 47 % 43 %
Under 1.5 95 % 91 % 7 %

Double faults

Damir Dzumhur Mathys Erhard Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.59 2.62 4.21
Over 0.5 (1+) 79 % 96 % 96 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 49 % 75 % 89 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 18 % 42 % 76 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 8 % 29 % 63 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 5 % 17 % 44 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 4 % 33 %

Net points

Damir Dzumhur Mathys Erhard Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.92 9.07 16.99
Over 4.5 (5+) 50 % 60 % 55 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 46 % 47 % 47 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 42 % 33 % 38 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 33 % 33 % 33 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 29 % 33 % 31 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 25 % 27 % 26 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match center
Dzumhur D
W D L W W
2026-08-04 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland
Dzumhur D Dzumhur D 2:0 Blansaneaux G
2026-07-21 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Dzumhur D Gaston H 0:0 Dzumhur D
2026-07-18 2026 Umag, Croatia
Dzumhur D Merida Aguilar D 2:1 Dzumhur D
2026-07-17 2026 Umag, Croatia
Dzumhur D Dzumhur D 2:1 Molcan A
2026-07-16 2026 Umag, Croatia
Dzumhur D Dzumhur D 2:1 Arnaldi M
3 Wins
1 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Erhard M
W L W L W
2026-08-04 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland
Erhard M 2:1 Pieczkowski O Erhard M
2026-07-07 2026 Iasi, Romania
Droguet T 2:0 Erhard M Erhard M
2026-07-06 2026 Iasi, Romania, Qualifying
Erhard M 2:0 Sinha N K Erhard M
2026-07-01 2026 Milan, Italy
Rincon D 2:0 Erhard M Erhard M
2026-06-30 2026 Milan, Italy
Erhard M 2:0 Rodionov J Erhard M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDzumhur D - Erhard M

Dzumhur D
0 matches total
Erhard M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history