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ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki International
04.08.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

Henning P - Kasnikowski M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki grass 04.08.2026 17:00 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 17:00 UTC Finished
Henning P
Henning P
L L W W L
Kasnikowski M
Kasnikowski M
L L W W W
0:2 3:6 4:6
1 2 GP
Henning P 3 4 0
Kasnikowski M 6 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 2.30 41.8% BetBoom
P2 1.65 58.2% BetBoom
Coverage: grass
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Henning P face Kasnikowski M on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Henning P 2-0-3, Kasnikowski M 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 44% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Kasnikowski M — 56%

Pure model vs market (2 · Kasnikowski M): model 49% · market 57% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Henning P43.6%
2 · Kasnikowski M ✓ Pick56.4%

Model estimate: win Henning P 43.6%, win Kasnikowski M 56.4%. Model favourite — Kasnikowski M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Kasnikowski M (odds1.52) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Khenning F: forma PVV (2-1)
  • • Kasnikovski M: forma PVVP (2)
  • • Model backs Kasnikovski M: probability 51% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
  • • no edge over the line (-14 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Henning P - Kasnikowski M August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kasnikowski M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kasnikowski M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.15 / 2 1.63
  • Glicko: Henning P 43.6% / Kasnikowski M 56.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9% 4 books · best price +1.9%
1 42.7%
2 ✓ Pick 57.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.40 ↓ 2.15
Winner 2 1.50 ↑ 1.63

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 05:18 UTC
1 38%
2 62% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:2
Per AI data Form:WLLWW / LWWWL H2H: 0:0
Claude updated04.08.2026 05:20 UTC
1 36%
2 64% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Over 21.5 games

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 38% 62% 0:2 Under 22.5
Claude 36% 64% 0:2 Over 21.5 Over 21.5 games
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 43.1% @ 2.15 / 2 56.9% @ 1.63
Coverage grass
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Kasnikowski M 63%
📐 Math model Kasnikowski M 56%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Henning P - Kasnikowski M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Henning P Kasnikowski M Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 4 6 4:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 56.4% fact: away hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.380 / LogLoss 0.572
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.8% fact: away hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.485 / LogLoss 0.678
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Henning P 42.7% 43.6%
Kasnikowski M 57.3% 56.4% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 43.6% / 56.4% probabilities
Rating 1,563 / 1,589 Henning P / Kasnikowski M
RD 214 / 195 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,134-1,992 / 1,198-1,979 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.63 Fonbet · no value · model 56.4%
1 2.15 Fonbet · no value · model 43.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 2.07 48.3%
1.95 51.3% — 1.93 51.8%
1.79 55.9% 1.88 53.2% 1.77 56.5%
1.76 56.8% — 1.60 62.5%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 1.67 59.9%
— — 1.77 56.5%
— — 1.93 51.8%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 1.60 62.5%
1.78 56.2% — —
1.94 51.6% 1.82 55.0% —
1.97 50.8% — —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 — — 1.55 64.5% —
Over 21.5 — — 1.72 58.1% 1.77 56.5%
Over 22.5 1.94 51.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5 — — 2.20 45.5% —
Over 24.5 — — 2.30 43.5% —
Under 20.5 — — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 21.5 — — 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5%
Under 22.5 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%
Under 23.5 — — 1.60 62.5% —
Under 24.5 — — 1.55 64.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.11 47.4%
1.61 62.1% 1.55 64.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.65 60.6%
Match center
Henning P
L L W W L
2026-07-28 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Henning P Krumich M 2:1 Henning P
2026-07-24 2026 Zug, Switzerland
Henning P Henning P 0:2 Seyboth Wild T
2026-07-22 2026 Zug, Switzerland
Henning P Kym J 1:2 Henning P
2026-07-21 2026 Zug, Switzerland
Henning P Henning P 2:0 Monteiro T
2026-07-09 2026 Liege, Belgium
Henning P Balshaw F 2:0 Henning P
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Kasnikowski M
L L W W W
2026-07-28 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Kasnikowski M 1:2 Ferreira Silva F Kasnikowski M
2026-07-25 2026 Tampere, Finland
Kasnikowski M 0:2 Virtanen O Kasnikowski M
2026-07-24 2026 Tampere, Finland
Kasnikowski M 2:1 Barton H Kasnikowski M
2026-07-22 2026 Tampere, Finland
Vasa E 0:2 Kasnikowski M Kasnikowski M
2026-07-21 2026 Tampere, Finland
Kasnikowski M 2:0 Wessels L Kasnikowski M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHenning P - Kasnikowski M

Henning P
0 matches total
Kasnikowski M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history