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ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04.08.2026 17:10 UTC Match prediction

Henning P - Kasnikowski M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard 04.08.2026 17:10 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 17:10 UTC Finished
Henning P
Henning P
L L W W L
K
Kasnikowski M
L L W W W
0:2 3:6 4:6
1 2 GP
Henning P 3 4 0
Kasnikowski M 6 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 2.55 37.8% BetBoom
P2 1.55 62.2% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Henning P face Kasnikowski M on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

Recent form (W-D-L): Henning P 2-0-3, Kasnikowski M 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 40% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Kasnikowski M — 60%

Pure model vs market (2 · Kasnikowski M): model 41% · market 63% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Henning P40.0%
market37%
2 · Kasnikowski M60.0%
market63%

Model estimate: win Henning P 40.0%, win Kasnikowski M 60.0%. Model favourite — Kasnikowski M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Kasnikowski M (odds1.51) Score 1:2 confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Henning P
  • • 🇿🇦 — Kasnikovski M
  • • 🇵🇱 (tennis)
  • • Henning P
  • • 🇿🇦: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Kasnikovski M
  • • 🇵🇱: forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.65→1.50 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Kasnikovski M
  • • 🇵🇱: probability 59% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Henning P - Kasnikowski M August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kasnikowski M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kasnikowski M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 14.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Henning P 40.0% / Kasnikowski M 60.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.8% 4 books · best price +5.4%
1 36.9%
2 63.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.10 ↑ 2.40
Winner 2 1.65 ↓ 1.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Henning P

no data

Kasnikowski M
6-4WWLLWLWWWL
scored 1.5conceded 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 17:10 UTC
Market 1 6.7% @ 14.00 / 2 93.3% @ 1.01
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Henning P - Kasnikowski M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Henning P Kasnikowski M Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 4 6 4:6
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Henning P 37.9% 40.0%
Kasnikowski M 62.1% 60.0% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 40.0% / 60.0% probabilities
Rating 1,887 / 1,713 Henning P / Kasnikowski M
RD 139 / 128 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,610-2,165 / 1,458-1,969 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 60.0%
1 2.44 market consensus · no value · model 40.0%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.17 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 2.10 47.6%
1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 2.25 44.4%
1.73 57.8% — 11.00 9.1%
— — 9.50 10.5%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.65 60.6%
— — 1.57 63.7%
— — 1.01 99.0%
— — 1.02 98.0%
— — 4.05 24.7%
— — 2.90 34.5%
1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% —
2.00 50.0% — —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
Over 18.5 — — 1.17 85.5%
Over 19.5 — — 7.60 13.2%
Over 20.5 — — 1.72 58.1%
Over 21.5 — — 8.50 11.8%
Over 22.5 1.97 50.8% 1.92 52.1% 2.05 48.8%
Over 23.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 17.5 — — 2.95 33.9%
Under 18.5 — — 4.20 23.8%
Under 19.5 — — 1.04 96.2%
Under 20.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Under 21.5 — — 1.03 97.1%
Under 22.5 1.76 56.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.68 59.5%
Under 23.5 — — 1.65 60.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.55 39.2% 2.30 43.5% 14.00 7.1% 2.48 40.3%
1.46 68.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.48 67.6%
Match center
Henning P
L L W W L
2026-07-28 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Henning P Krumich M 2:1 Henning P
2026-07-24 2026 Zug, Switzerland
Henning P Henning P 0:2 Seyboth Wild T
2026-07-22 2026 Zug, Switzerland
Henning P Kym J 1:2 Henning P
2026-07-21 2026 Zug, Switzerland
Henning P Henning P 2:0 Monteiro T
2026-07-09 2026 Liege, Belgium
Henning P Balshaw F 2:0 Henning P
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Kasnikowski M
L L W W W
2026-07-28 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Kasnikowski M 1:2 Ferreira Silva F Kasnikowski M
2026-07-25 2026 Tampere, Finland
Kasnikowski M 0:2 Virtanen O Kasnikowski M
2026-07-24 2026 Tampere, Finland
Kasnikowski M 2:1 Barton H Kasnikowski M
2026-07-22 2026 Tampere, Finland
Vasa E 0:2 Kasnikowski M Kasnikowski M
2026-07-21 2026 Tampere, Finland
Kasnikowski M 2:0 Wessels L Kasnikowski M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHenning P - Kasnikowski M

Henning P
0 matches total
Kasnikowski M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history