ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowieckigrass06.08.2026 09:00 UTCFinished
06.08.2026 09:00 UTCFinished
Ivashka I
Rank #402Elo 120
63Average Form
WWWLLWLW
Mayot H
Rank #255Elo 217
48Struggling Form
LLWLWWWL
-:-
Coverage: grass
Preview
Extended stats (scorego)
Ivashka I
Mayot H
Win %
51.8%
52.1%
Hard %
53.8%
53%
Clay %
43.5%
52.1%
Grass %
51.9%
47.6%
Deciding set %
49.5%
46.8%
Tie-breaks %
49%
42.6%
Titles (total)
2
0
Last 10
WWWWLLWWWW
LWLLWWLLLW
Source: scorego-app.com
About the athletes
-Country-
#402Rating#255
32Age24
1.93mHeight (cm)1.80m
87kgWeight (kg)80kg
RightHandRight
-Seed-
grassCoveragegrass
0H2H0
Serve and return stats
Ivashka I
Mayot H
Aces per match
4.21
4.43
Double faults per match
2.92
2.67
Breaks per match
5.25
2.05
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return
Ilya Ivashka
Rank:402Elo: 120
WWWLLWLW
Harold Mayot
Rank:255Elo: 217
LLWLWWWL
Elo favourite:Mayot H(edge +97 Elo)
Hard
Ilya Ivashka
Harold Mayot
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
68.2% 15 / 22 Matches
66.7% 8 / 12 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
66.7% 18 / 27 Matches
65.7% 23 / 35 Matches
Clay
Ilya Ivashka
Harold Mayot
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
50.0% 2 / 4 Matches
25.0% 2 / 8 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
50.0% 2 / 4 Matches
25.0% 2 / 8 Matches
Grass
Ilya Ivashka
Harold Mayot
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Source:tennisstats.com
H2H series (tennisstats)
Ilya Ivashka
Harold Mayot
H2H wins
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Sets
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Wins this year
63.0% 17 / 27 Matches
47.8% 11 / 23 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.
62.5% 20 / 32 Matches
55.1% 27 / 49 Matches
Current rank
402
255
Source: tennisstats.com
Profile and percentages (tennisstats)
Ilya Ivashka
Harold Mayot
Prize money (career)
$3,337,293 USD
$820,692 USD
Rating
402
255
Age
32
24
Height
1.93m
1.80m
Weight
87kg
80kg
Playing hand
Right-handed
Right-handed
Win percentage (match / set)
Ilya Ivashka
Harold Mayot
Match Wins
63 %
48 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)
65 %
48 %
Match Wins (5 Sets)
N/A
50 %
Wins in Straight Sets
41 %
30 %
Wins From Behind
9 %
0 %
Won At Least 1 Set
74 %
70 %
Set 1 Win
63 %
57 %
Set 2 Win
52 %
43 %
Source:tennisstats.com
Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
Total games
Ilya Ivashka
Harold Mayot
Match total
Average Games in a Set
9.11
9.7
9.41
Over 6.5
100 %
100 %
100 %
Over 7.5
73 %
90 %
82 %
Over 8.5
62 %
81 %
72 %
Over 9.5
31 %
57 %
44 %
Over 10.5
15 %
19 %
17 %
Over 11.5
15 %
19 %
17 %
Aces
Ilya Ivashka
Harold Mayot
Match total
Aces Per Match
4.21
4.43
8.64
Most Aces in a match
42 %
62 %
N/A
1+
96 %
90 %
98 %
2+
71 %
81 %
93 %
3+
67 %
62 %
87 %
4+
58 %
62 %
83 %
5+
38 %
48 %
79 %
Breaks
Ilya Ivashka
Harold Mayot
Match total
Breaks Per Match
5.25
2.05
7.3
Over 0.5
96 %
95 %
100 %
Over 1.5
96 %
90 %
100 %
Over 2.5
96 %
86 %
95 %
Over 3.5
50 %
29 %
93 %
Over 4.5
50 %
0 %
63 %
Over 5.5
46 %
0 %
48 %
Tie-breaks
Ilya Ivashka
Harold Mayot
Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match
0.38
0.38
0.38
Over 0.5
31 %
29 %
30 %
Over 1.5
8 %
10 %
9 %
Under 0.5
69 %
71 %
30 %
Under 1.5
92 %
90 %
9 %
Double faults
Ilya Ivashka
Harold Mayot
Match total
Double Faults Per Match
2.92
2.67
5.59
Over 0.5 (1+)
100 %
90 %
100 %
Over 1.5 (2+)
75 %
71 %
98 %
Over 2.5 (3+)
54 %
57 %
92 %
Over 3.5 (4+)
29 %
29 %
76 %
Over 4.5 (5+)
13 %
19 %
55 %
Over 5.5 (6+)
4 %
0 %
45 %
Net points
Ilya Ivashka
Harold Mayot
Match total
Net Points Won Per Match
6.62
10.05
16.67
Over 4.5 (5+)
75 %
90 %
83 %
Over 5.5 (6+)
65 %
70 %
68 %
Over 6.5 (7+)
55 %
70 %
63 %
Over 7.5 (8+)
55 %
50 %
53 %
Over 8.5 (9+)
50 %
50 %
50 %
Over 9.5 (10+)
35 %
30 %
33 %
Source:tennisstats.com
Odds
P11.86
53.0% BetBoom
P22.10
47.0% BetBoom
Ivashka I face Mayot H on August 6, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Ivashka I 3-0-2, Mayot H 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Ivashka I — 52%
Pure model vs market (1 · Ivashka I): model 47% · market 53%Δ −6 ppmodel estimates below the market
52%1
1 · Ivashka I52.3%
2 · Mayot H47.7%
Model estimate: win Ivashka I 52.3%, win Mayot H 47.7%. Model favourite — Ivashka I.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Ivashka I (odds1.64)Score 2:1confidence 56%
•Ivashko I: forma VPVV (3-1)
•Mayo G: forma VPV (2-1)
•liniya na pik P1 1.65→1.62 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
•Model backs Ivashko I: probability 56% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.64)
•no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ivashka I - Mayot H August 6, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Ivashka I. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / 2 2.10
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
2 books · best price +6.0%
152.9%
247.1%
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.65→ 1.65
Winner P22.10→ 2.10
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Ivashka I
53%
1.86
Mayot H
47%
2.10
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Ivashka I
8-2WWWWWLLWWW
scored 1.7conceded 0.7
Mayot H
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
*
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated06.08.2026 00:10 UTC
154%✓ favourite
246%
Score2:1Total games: Over 22.5Bet:1 and Over 22.5
Per AI dataForm:VPVV / VPVH2H: 0-0Injuries:no
Claudeupdated06.08.2026 00:15 UTC
159%✓ favourite
241%
Score2:1Total games: Over 22.5Bet:1 win Ivashko (kef ot 1.65)
AI consensus:1
AI
1
2
Score
Total games
Bet
Google AI
54%
46%
2:1
Over 22.5
Claude
59%
41%
2:1
Over 22.5
Match center
Start06.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market1 56.0% @ 1.65 / 2 44.0% @ 2.10
Coveragegrass
Form6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI modelsIvashka I 57%
📐 Math modelIvashka I 52%
💹 MarketIvashka I 53%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Ivashka I - Mayot H
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Ivashka I52.9%50.6%market and model agree
Mayot H47.1%49.4%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko52.3% · +Elo prior (weight0.51).
Tennis math model
P1 / P252.3% / 47.7%
probabilities
Rating1,665 / 1,815
Ivashka I / Mayot H
RD196 / 232
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,272-2,058 / 1,351-2,280
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.10
Fonbet · no value · model 47.7%
11.65
Fonbet · no value · model 52.3%
Handicap
2 -0.52.02
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.51.70
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 21.51.70
Fonbet · line only
Over 22.51.92
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
We use cookies to run the site and to understand how it’s used. Click “Accept all” to agree, or set your choice with “Cookie settings”. Read our cookie policy.
