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ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04.08.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

Kirkin E - Ivashka I

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard 04.08.2026 13:00 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 13:00 UTC Finished
K
Kirkin E
W W L L L
Ivashka I
Ivashka I
W W L L W
1:2 1:6 7:5 3:6
1 2 3 GP
Kirkin E 1 7 3 1
Ivashka I 6 5 6 2
1 2 3
Odds
P1 4.90 19.1% BetBoom
P2 1.16 80.9% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Kirkin E meet Ivashka I on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kirkin E 2-0-3, Ivashka I 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 22% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Ivashka I — 78%

Pure model vs market (2 · Ivashka I): model 58% · market 81% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kirkin E21.6%
market19%
2 · Ivashka I ✓ Pick78.4%
market81%

Model estimate: win Kirkin E 21.6%, win Ivashka I 78.4%. Model favourite — Ivashka I.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kirkin E - Ivashka I August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ivashka I.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ivashka I. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Kirkin E 21.6% / Ivashka I 78.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.5% 3 books
1 19.3%
2 ✓ Pick 80.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 3.60 ↑ 4.90
Winner 2 1.25 ↓ 1.13

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 13:00 UTC
Market 1 8.5% @ 11.00 / 2 91.5% @ 1.02
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Kirkin E - Ivashka I

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Kirkin E Ivashka I Result
Set 1 1 6 1:6
Set 2 7 5 7:5
Set 3 3 6 3:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 78.4% fact: away hit / ROI 16.0% / Brier 0.093 / LogLoss 0.244
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.4% fact: away hit / ROI 16.0% / Brier 0.434 / LogLoss 0.627
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kirkin E 19.3% 21.6%
Ivashka I 80.7% 78.4% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 21.6% / 78.4% probabilities
Rating 1,515 / 1,832 Kirkin E / Ivashka I
RD 183 / 140 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,149-1,880 / 1,551-2,112 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 78.4%
1 4.75 market consensus · no value · model 21.6%
Total
Over 14.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Over 15.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
— 2.10 47.6%
— 2.80 35.7%
— 2.85 35.1%
— 8.50 11.8%
1.69 59.2% 1.57 63.7%
— 1.40 71.4%
— 1.20 83.3%
— 1.65 60.6%
— 1.38 72.5%
— 1.35 74.1%
— 1.03 97.1%
— 2.25 44.4%
— 2.75 36.4%
— 4.00 25.0%
— 3.85 26.0%
— 2.50 40.0%
2.07 48.3% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 14.5 — 1.47 68.0%
Over 15.5 — 1.20 83.3%
Over 16.5 — 1.19 84.0%
Over 17.5 — 6.30 15.9%
Over 18.5 — 2.07 48.3%
Over 19.5 — 1.45 69.0%
Over 20.5 1.94 51.6% 2.10 47.6%
Over 21.5 — 2.20 45.5%
Over 22.5 — 2.50 40.0%
Over 25.5 — 2.02 49.5%
Over 26.5 — 2.25 44.4%
Over 27.5 — 1.40 71.4%
Over 28.5 — 1.57 63.7%
Over 29.5 — 7.10 14.1%
Under 14.5 — 2.50 40.0%
Under 15.5 — 3.90 25.6%
Under 20.5 1.79 55.9% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
4.70 21.3% 11.00 9.1% 4.80 20.8%
1.16 86.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Kirkin E
W W L L L
2026-08-03 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Kirkin E Kirkin E 2:1 Paldanius O
2026-08-02 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Kirkin E Kirkin E 2:0 Szymkowiak K
2026-07-28 2026 Samsun, Turkiye
Kirkin E Kirkin E 0:2 Inchauspe P
2026-05-17 2026 Istanbul, Turkiye, Qualifying
Kirkin E Matusevich A 2:1 Kirkin E
2026-04-27 2026 Shymkent 2, Kazakhstan, Qualifying
Kirkin E Kirkin E 0:2 Fukuda S
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Ivashka I
W W L L W
2026-08-03 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Ivashka I 2:0 Weightman O Ivashka I
2026-08-02 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Ivashka I 2:0 Kumar M Ivashka I
2026-07-21 2026 Segovia, Spain
Villanueva G 2:0 Ivashka I Ivashka I
2026-07-19 2026 Pozoblanco, Spain
Rodesch C 2:1 Ivashka I Ivashka I
2026-07-18 2026 Pozoblanco, Spain
Pereira T 1:2 Ivashka I Ivashka I
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKirkin E - Ivashka I

Kirkin E
0 matches total
Ivashka I
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history