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ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04.08.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction

Pieczonka F - Mayot H

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard 04.08.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
P
Pieczonka F
M
Mayot H
0:2
Odds
P1 5.80 16.4% BetBoom
P2 1.14 83.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Pieczonka F meet Mayot H on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 20% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Mayot H — 80%

Pure model vs market (2 · Mayot H): model 55% · market 82% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Pieczonka F20.3%
market18%
2 · Mayot H ✓ Pick79.7%
market82%

Model estimate: win Pieczonka F 20.3%, win Mayot H 79.7%. Model favourite — Mayot H.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pieczonka F - Mayot H August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mayot H.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mayot H. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.00 / 2 1.12
  • Glicko: Pieczonka F 20.3% / Mayot H 79.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.8% 4 books · best price +1.8%
1 17.6%
2 ✓ Pick 82.4%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 5.10 ↓ 5.00
Winner 2 1.12 → 1.12

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Pieczonka F
4-6LLLLWLWWWL
scored 0.9conceded 1.4
Mayot H
4-6LLLLWLWWWL
scored 1.1conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market 1 18.3% @ 5.00 / 2 81.7% @ 1.12
Coverage hard
Form 3 matches
Match center

Pieczonka F - Mayot H

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 79.7% fact: away hit / ROI 14.0% / Brier 0.083 / LogLoss 0.227
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.6% fact: away hit / ROI 14.0% / Brier 0.431 / LogLoss 0.624
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pieczonka F 17.6% 20.3%
Mayot H 82.4% 79.7% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 20.3% / 79.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,709 Pieczonka F / Mayot H
RD 350 / 126 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,456-1,962 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 79.7%
1 5.00 Fonbet · no value · model 20.3%
Total
Over 19.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 2.25 44.4%
1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 2.75 36.4%
2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%
Over 20.5 1.97 50.8% — 2.00 50.0%
Over 21.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Under 19.5 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3%
Under 20.5 1.76 56.8% — 1.72 58.1%
Under 21.5 — — 1.57 63.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
5.50 18.2% 4.90 20.4% 5.00 20.0% 5.80 17.2%
1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Pieczonka F
L L W
28.07 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
Pieczonka F 1:2 Feldbaush K. 🇨🇭Feldbaush K. 🇨🇭
24.07 10:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Zug (Switzerland), clay
Pieczonka F 0:2 Ditrikh D. 🇨🇭Ditrikh D. 🇨🇭
23.07 12:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Zug (Switzerland), clay
Pieczonka F 2:0 Brunold M. 🇨🇭Brunold M. 🇨🇭
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.3 Sets lost
33% Win percentage
Mayot H
L L W W L
28.07 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
Mayot H 1:2 Feldbaush K. 🇨🇭Feldbaush K. 🇨🇭
24.07 10:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Zug (Switzerland), clay
Mayot H 0:2 Ditrikh D. 🇨🇭Ditrikh D. 🇨🇭
23.07 12:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Zug (Switzerland), clay
Mayot H 2:0 Brunold M. 🇨🇭Brunold M. 🇨🇭
21.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Zug (Switzerland), clay
Mayot H 2:1 Brankachchio R. 🇮🇹Brankachchio R. 🇮🇹
14.07 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Mayot H 0:2 Martin Manzano J. C. 🇮🇹
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPieczonka F - Mayot H

Pieczonka F
0 matches total
Mayot H
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history