ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowieckigrass07.08.2026 09:00 UTCNot started
07.08.2026 09:00 UTCNot started
Ribecai M
Rank #213Elo 261
72Good Form
WWLWLWLW
Guerrieri A
Rank #265Elo 209
54Average Form
WLWLWLWW
-:-
Coverage: grass
Preview
About the athletes
-Country-
#213Rating#265
27Age23
1.80mHeight (cm)-
75kgWeight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
grassCoveragegrass
0H2H0
Serve and return stats
Ribecai M
Guerrieri A
Aces per match
1.46
1.30
Double faults per match
3.95
2.05
Breaks per match
1.41
3.05
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return
Andrea Guerrieri
Rank:213Elo: 261
WWLWLWLW
Michele Ribecai
Rank:265Elo: 209
WLWLWLWW
Elo favourite:Guerrieri A(edge +52 Elo)
Hard
Andrea Guerrieri
Michele Ribecai
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
72.2% 13 / 18 Matches
58.8% 10 / 17 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
74.3% 26 / 35 Matches
62.5% 20 / 32 Matches
Clay
Andrea Guerrieri
Michele Ribecai
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
78.1% 25 / 32 Matches
46.2% 12 / 26 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
75.0% 27 / 36 Matches
58.8% 30 / 51 Matches
Grass
Andrea Guerrieri
Michele Ribecai
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
50.0% 1 / 2 Matches
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
50.0% 1 / 2 Matches
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Source:tennisstats.com
H2H series (tennisstats)
Andrea Guerrieri
Michele Ribecai
H2H wins
1 (50.0%)
1 (50.0%)
Sets
2 (40.0%)
3 (60.0%)
Wins this year
72.4% 42 / 58 Matches
54.4% 25 / 46 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.
72.2% 57 / 79 Matches
61.6% 53 / 86 Matches
Current rank
213
265
Source: tennisstats.com
Profile and percentages (tennisstats)
Andrea Guerrieri
Michele Ribecai
Prize money (career)
$64,293 USD
$11,920 USD
Rating
213
265
Age
27
23
Height
1.80m
—
Weight
75kg
—
Win percentage (match / set)
Andrea Guerrieri
Michele Ribecai
Match Wins
72 %
54 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)
75 %
51 %
Match Wins (5 Sets)
50 %
N/A
Wins in Straight Sets
52 %
48 %
Wins From Behind
30 %
5 %
Won At Least 1 Set
76 %
85 %
Set 1 Win
60 %
76 %
Set 2 Win
67 %
57 %
Source:tennisstats.com
Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
Total games
Andrea Guerrieri
Michele Ribecai
Match total
Average Games in a Set
10
9.28
9.64
Over 6.5
98 %
98 %
98 %
Over 7.5
85 %
86 %
86 %
Over 8.5
81 %
67 %
74 %
Over 9.5
58 %
53 %
56 %
Over 10.5
31 %
19 %
25 %
Over 11.5
31 %
19 %
25 %
Aces
Andrea Guerrieri
Michele Ribecai
Match total
Aces Per Match
1.46
1.30
2.76
Most Aces in a match
15 %
14 %
N/A
1+
59 %
73 %
95 %
2+
33 %
38 %
88 %
3+
21 %
14 %
80 %
4+
15 %
5 %
62 %
5+
8 %
0 %
53 %
Breaks
Andrea Guerrieri
Michele Ribecai
Match total
Breaks Per Match
1.41
3.05
4.46
Over 0.5
51 %
70 %
100 %
Over 1.5
51 %
68 %
76 %
Over 2.5
46 %
65 %
74 %
Over 3.5
3 %
62 %
60 %
Over 4.5
3 %
8 %
38 %
Over 5.5
3 %
0 %
35 %
Tie-breaks
Andrea Guerrieri
Michele Ribecai
Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match
0.31
0.21
0.26
Over 0.5
27 %
21 %
24 %
Over 1.5
4 %
0 %
2 %
Under 0.5
73 %
79 %
24 %
Under 1.5
96 %
100 %
2 %
Double faults
Andrea Guerrieri
Michele Ribecai
Match total
Double Faults Per Match
3.95
2.05
6
Over 0.5 (1+)
97 %
76 %
98 %
Over 1.5 (2+)
90 %
49 %
90 %
Over 2.5 (3+)
67 %
32 %
81 %
Over 3.5 (4+)
54 %
22 %
71 %
Over 4.5 (5+)
26 %
16 %
58 %
Over 5.5 (6+)
18 %
8 %
47 %
Net points
Andrea Guerrieri
Michele Ribecai
Match total
Net Points Won Per Match
6.57
5.03
11.6
Over 4.5 (5+)
61 %
53 %
57 %
Over 5.5 (6+)
36 %
37 %
37 %
Over 6.5 (7+)
25 %
37 %
31 %
Over 7.5 (8+)
14 %
32 %
23 %
Over 8.5 (9+)
11 %
21 %
16 %
Over 9.5 (10+)
11 %
11 %
11 %
Source:tennisstats.com
Odds
P12.00
46.7% BetBoom
P21.75
53.3% BetBoom
Ribecai M meet Guerrieri A on August 7, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Ribecai M 2-0-3, Guerrieri A 3-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Guerrieri A — 53%
Pure model vs market (2 · Guerrieri A): model 54% · market 53%Δ +1 ppmodel estimate matches the market
53%2
1 · Ribecai M46.5%
2 · Guerrieri A53.5%
Model estimate: win Ribecai M 46.5%, win Guerrieri A 53.5%. Model favourite — Guerrieri A.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Ribecai M (odds1.72)Score 2:1confidence 53%
•Ribekay M: forma VP (1)
•Guerreri A: forma VV (2-0)
•liniya na pik P1 1.78→1.75 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
•Model backs Ribekay M: probability 53% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.72)
•no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ribecai M - Guerrieri A August 7, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Guerrieri A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.98 / 2 1.78
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.7%
4 books · best price +2.0%
146.8%
253.2%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.78↑ 2.00
Winner P21.98↓ 1.75
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
1Wins0
2.0Average score0.0
Head-to-head matches: 1 · average total 2.0 (goals)
Team form
Ribecai M
3-7LLLWLLLLWW
scored 1.1conceded 1.4
Guerrieri A
6-4WLWLWLWLWW
scored 1.2conceded 1.0
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Match center
Start07.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market1 47.3% @ 1.98 / 2 52.7% @ 1.78
Coveragegrass
Form4 matches
Match center
Ribecai M - Guerrieri A
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Ribecai M46.6%48.3%market and model agree
Guerrieri A53.4%51.7%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko46.5% · +Elo prior (weight0.60).
Tennis math model
P1 / P246.5% / 53.5%
probabilities
Rating1,623 / 1,832
Ribecai M / Guerrieri A
RD249 / 232
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,124-2,121 / 1,367-2,297
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.78
Fonbet · no value · model 53.5%
11.98
Fonbet · no value · model 46.5%
Handicap
2 -0.51.70
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.51.80
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.52.02
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.51.90
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.51.63
Fonbet · line only
Over 21.51.72
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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