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ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki International
06.08.2026 13:15 UTC Match prediction

Schwaerzler J - Dougaz A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki grass 06.08.2026 13:15 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 13:15 UTC Finished
Schwaerzler J
Schwaerzler J
W L W L L
Dougaz A
Dougaz A
W W W L L
2:1 7:6 3:6 7:6
1 2 3 GP
Schwaerzler J 7 3 7 2
Dougaz A 6 6 6 1
1 2 3
Coverage: grass
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Schwaerzler J Dougaz A
Win % 54.9% 61.9%
Hard % 51.5% 63.5%
Clay % 56% 60.2%
Grass % 0% 16.7%
Deciding set % 56.6% 50.4%
Tie-breaks % 53.7% 50.8%
Titles (total) 2 13
Last 10 WLWLLLLLLW WWWLWWWWWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0
Odds
P1 1.89 74.8% BetBoom
P2 5.60 25.2% BetBoom

Schwaerzler J take on Dougaz A on August 6, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Schwaerzler J 2-0-3, Dougaz A 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Schwaerzler J — 50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Schwaerzler J): model 42% · market 51% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Schwaerzler J50.4%
2 · Dougaz A49.6%

Model estimate: win Schwaerzler J 50.4%, win Dougaz A 49.6%. Model favourite — Schwaerzler J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Schwaerzler J (odds1.45) Score 2:1 confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Shvertsler Y: forma VPVP (2)
  • • Dugaz A: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Shvertsler Y: probability 62% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Schwaerzler J - Dougaz A August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Schwaerzler J.

Line favourite Fonbet: Schwaerzler J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.11 / 2 5.60
  • Glicko: Schwaerzler J 50.4% / Dougaz A 49.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.2% 4 books · best price +3.3%
1 51.3%
2 48.7%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.42 ↓ 1.11
Winner 2 2.65 ↑ 5.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Schwaerzler J
50%
1.89
Dougaz A
50%
5.60
Handicap
Schwaerzler J (0.5)
51%
8.00
Dougaz A (0.5)
49%
1.85
Total
Over 22.5
51%
1.93
Under 22.5
49%
2.02

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Schwaerzler J
3-7LLLLLLWLWW
scored 0.9conceded 1.5
Dougaz A
4-6LLLLWLLWWW
scored 1.0conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated06.08.2026 01:37 UTC
1 62% ✓ favourite
2 38%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 0:0
Claude updated06.08.2026 01:42 UTC
1 59% ✓ favourite
2 41%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Over 22.5 games

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 62% 38% 2:0 Under 22.5
Claude 59% 41% 2:1 Over 22.5 Over 22.5 games
Match center
Start 06.08.2026 13:15 UTC
Market 1 83.5% @ 1.11 / 2 16.5% @ 5.60
Coverage grass
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Schwaerzler J 61%
📐 Math model Schwaerzler J 50%
💹 Market Schwaerzler J 51%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Schwaerzler J - Dougaz A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Schwaerzler J Dougaz A Result
Set 1 7 6 7:6
Set 2 3 6 3:6
Set 3 7 6 7:6
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Schwaerzler J 51.3% 50.4% market and model agree
Dougaz A 48.7% 49.6%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.4% / 49.6% probabilities
Rating 1,474 / 1,839 Schwaerzler J / Dougaz A
RD 190 / 185 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,094-1,855 / 1,470-2,208 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.60 Fonbet · weak value +178.0% · model 49.6%
1 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 50.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.05 market consensus · line only
Over 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
8.00 12.5%
1.10 90.9%
2.40 41.7%
2.30 43.5%
1.57 63.7%
2.35 42.6%
2.15 46.5%
2.25 44.4%
1.04 96.2%
5.40 18.5%
1.50 66.7%
6.60 15.2%
3.35 29.9%
1.55 64.5%
2.25 44.4%
1.52 65.8%
1.63 61.4%
1.57 63.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
10.50 9.5%
1.01 99.0%
10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 20.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 21.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 22.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 23.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 24.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 25.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 26.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 27.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 28.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 29.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 30.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 31.5 1.09 91.7%
Over 32.5 1.03 97.1%
Over 33.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 34.5 1.06 94.3%
Under 20.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 21.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 22.5 2.02 49.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 2.5 10.50 9.5%
Match center
Schwaerzler J
W L W L L
2026-08-04 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland
Schwaerzler J Schwaerzler J 2:0 Cizek J
2026-07-29 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Schwaerzler J Schwaerzler J 0:2 Krumich M
2026-07-28 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Schwaerzler J Schwaerzler J 2:0 Mrva M
2026-07-20 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Schwaerzler J Schwaerzler J 0:2 Rodionov J
2026-07-13 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Schwaerzler J Sonego L 2:0 Schwaerzler J
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Dougaz A
W W W L L
2026-08-04 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland
Dougaz A 2:0 Basic M Dougaz A
2026-08-03 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Sakellaridis D 0:2 Dougaz A Dougaz A
2026-08-02 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Bojarski A 1:2 Dougaz A Dougaz A
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Vukic A 2:0 Dougaz A Dougaz A
2026-06-24 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 1st - 2nd Round
Dougaz A 0:2 Sakamoto R Dougaz A
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySchwaerzler J - Dougaz A

Schwaerzler J
0 matches total
Dougaz A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history