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Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland) - Qualifying, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland) - Qualifying, hard
03.08.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction

Kirkin E - Paldanius O

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland) - Qualifying, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland) - Qualifying, hard hard 03.08.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
03.08.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
K
Kirkin E
W L L L W
Paldanius O
Paldanius O
W L L L L
2:1 6:7 6:4 6:2
1 2 3 GP
Kirkin E 6 6 6 2
Paldanius O 7 4 2 1
1 2 3
Odds
P1 2.05 45.5% BetBoom
P2 1.71 54.5% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Kirkin E go head-to-head with Paldanius O on August 3, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland) - Qualifying, hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kirkin E 2-0-3, Paldanius O 1-0-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 45% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Paldanius O — 55%

Pure model vs market (2 · Paldanius O): model 55% · market 55% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Kirkin E45.4%
2 · Paldanius O54.6%

Model estimate: win Kirkin E 45.4%, win Paldanius O 54.6%. Model favourite — Paldanius O.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kirkin E (odds1.80) Score 2:1 confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Kirkin E
  • • 🇹🇷 — Paldanius O
  • • 🇫🇮 (tennis)
  • • Kirkin E
  • • 🇹🇷: forma PPVP (1-3)
  • • Paldanius O
  • • 🇫🇮: forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.90→1.85 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Kirkin E
  • • 🇹🇷: probability 51% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.80)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kirkin E - Paldanius O August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paldanius O.

Line favourite Fonbet: Paldanius O. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.60 / 2 1.14
  • Glicko: Kirkin E 45.4% / Paldanius O 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 3 books · best price +1.2%
1 45.2%
2 54.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.90 ↑ 2.02
Winner 2 1.85 ↓ 1.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 03.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market 1 19.9% @ 4.60 / 2 80.1% @ 1.14
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Kirkin E - Paldanius O

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Kirkin E Paldanius O Result
Set 1 6 7 6:7
Set 2 6 4 6:4
Set 3 6 2 6:2
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 54.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.596 / LogLoss 0.789
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.5% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.511 / LogLoss 0.704
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kirkin E 45.5% 45.4%
Paldanius O 54.5% 54.6% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 45.4% / 54.6% probabilities
Rating 1,402 / 1,626 Kirkin E / Paldanius O
RD 198 / 187 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,005-1,798 / 1,252-2,000 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 54.6%
1 4.60 Fonbet · weak value +108.9% · model 45.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.86 53.8% —
1.79 55.9% —
1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6%
1.86 53.8% 1.70 58.8%
— 1.48 67.6%
— 1.45 69.0%
— 2.02 49.5%
— 2.50 40.0%
— 2.55 39.2%
— 1.90 52.6%
1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6%
1.94 51.6% 1.75 57.1%
— 2.05 48.8%
— 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 20.5 — 1.45 69.0%
Over 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.45 69.0%
Over 22.5 1.94 51.6% 1.63 61.4%
Over 23.5 — 2.00 50.0%
Over 24.5 — 1.83 54.6%
Over 25.5 — 2.10 47.6%
Over 26.5 — 2.02 49.5%
Under 20.5 — 2.55 39.2%
Under 21.5 1.91 52.4% 2.55 39.2%
Under 22.5 1.79 55.9% 2.15 46.5%
Under 23.5 — 1.72 58.1%
Under 24.5 — 1.87 53.5%
Under 25.5 — 1.65 60.6%
Under 26.5 — 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
2.05 48.8% 4.60 21.7% 2.05 48.8%
1.71 58.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.69 59.2%
Match center
Kirkin E
W L L L W
2026-08-02 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Kirkin E Kirkin E 2:0 Szymkowiak K
2026-07-28 2026 Samsun, Turkiye
Kirkin E Kirkin E 0:2 Inchauspe P
2026-05-17 2026 Istanbul, Turkiye, Qualifying
Kirkin E Matusevich A 2:1 Kirkin E
2026-04-27 2026 Shymkent 2, Kazakhstan, Qualifying
Kirkin E Kirkin E 0:2 Fukuda S
2026-04-26 2026 Shymkent 2, Kazakhstan, Qualifying
Kirkin E Kirkin E 2:0 Masabayashi T
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Paldanius O
W L L L L
2026-08-02 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Paldanius O 2:1 Raquillet L Paldanius O
2026-07-21 2026 Tampere, Finland
Paldanius O 0:2 Roncadelli F Paldanius O
2026-06-28 2026 Milan, Italy, Qualifying
Paldanius O 1:2 Masur D Paldanius O
2026-05-10 2026 Zagreb, Croatia, Qualifying
Galan D E 2:1 Paldanius O Paldanius O
2026-03-08 2026 Hersonissos 2, Greece, Qualifying
Gadamauri B 2:1 Paldanius O Paldanius O
1 Wins
4 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKirkin E - Paldanius O

Kirkin E
0 matches total
Paldanius O
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history