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Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland) - Qualifying, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland) - Qualifying, hard
03.08.2026 10:30 UTC Match prediction

Sakellaridis D - Dougaz A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland) - Qualifying, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland) - Qualifying, hard hard 03.08.2026 10:30 UTC Finished
03.08.2026 10:30 UTC Finished
Sakellaridis D
Sakellaridis D
W L W W L
D
Dougaz A
W L L W L
0:2 4:6 4:6
1 2 GP
Sakellaridis D 4 4 0
Dougaz A 6 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 4.20 22.9% BetBoom
P2 1.25 77.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Sakellaridis D take on Dougaz A on August 3, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland) - Qualifying, hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sakellaridis D 3-0-2, Dougaz A 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 27% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Dougaz A — 73%

Pure model vs market (2 · Dougaz A): model 56% · market 75% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sakellaridis D27.2%
market25%
2 · Dougaz A ✓ Pick72.8%
market75%

Model estimate: win Sakellaridis D 27.2%, win Dougaz A 72.8%. Model favourite — Dougaz A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Dougaz A (odds1.25) Score 0:2 confidence 72% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Sakellaridis D
  • • 🇬🇷 — Dugaz A
  • • (Tun) (tennis)
  • • Sakellaridis D
  • • 🇬🇷: forma VPVPV (3-2)
  • • Dugaz A
  • • (Tun): forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Model backs Dugaz A
  • • (Tun): probability 72% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.25)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sakellaridis D - Dougaz A August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dougaz A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dougaz A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Sakellaridis D 27.2% / Dougaz A 72.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 4 books · best price +1.2%
1 25.3%
2 ✓ Pick 74.7%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 4.20 → 4.20
Winner 2 1.17 → 1.17

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sakellaridis D

no data

Dougaz A
2-8LLLLWLWLLL
scored 1.0conceded 1.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 03.08.2026 10:30 UTC
Market 1 8.4% @ 11.00 / 2 91.6% @ 1.01
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Sakellaridis D - Dougaz A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Sakellaridis D Dougaz A Result
Set 1 4 6 4:6
Set 2 4 6 4:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 72.8% fact: away hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.148 / LogLoss 0.317
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 52.7% fact: away hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.447 / LogLoss 0.640
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sakellaridis D 25.3% 27.2%
Dougaz A 74.7% 72.8% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 27.2% / 72.8% probabilities
Rating 1,659 / 1,884 Sakellaridis D / Dougaz A
RD 150 / 141 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,359-1,959 / 1,603-2,166 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 72.8%
1 3.63 market consensus · no value · model 27.2%
Total
Over 18.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 11.00 9.1% —
— — 9.00 11.1% —
1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 2.65 37.7% 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.47 68.0% —
— — 1.01 99.0% —
— — 1.03 97.1% —
— — 1.43 69.9% —
— — 2.50 40.0% —
1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6% — 1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 19.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Over 20.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 7.40 13.5%
Over 21.5 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5 — — 9.00 11.1%
Over 23.5 — — 2.07 48.3%
Over 24.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
Over 25.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
Over 26.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Under 18.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
Under 20.5 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 21.5 1.78 56.2% 1.77 56.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 11.00 9.1% 3.70 27.0%
1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.01 99.0% 1.23 81.3%
Match center
Sakellaridis D
W L W W L
2026-08-02 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Sakellaridis D Sakellaridis D 2:0 Lalami Laaroussi Y
2026-07-28 2026 Bonn, Germany
Sakellaridis D Sakellaridis D 0:2 McDonald N
2026-07-27 2026 Bonn, Germany, Qualifying
Sakellaridis D Sakellaridis D 2:1 Marti Pujolras A
2026-07-26 2026 Bonn, Germany, Qualifying
Sakellaridis D Damas M 1:2 Sakellaridis D
2026-03-08 2026 Hersonissos 2, Greece, Qualifying
Sakellaridis D Langmo C 2:0 Sakellaridis D
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Dougaz A
W L L W L
2026-08-02 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Bojarski A 1:2 Dougaz A Dougaz A
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Vukic A 2:0 Dougaz A Dougaz A
2026-06-24 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 1st - 2nd Round
Dougaz A 0:2 Sakamoto R Dougaz A
2026-06-22 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 1st - 2nd Round
Chidekh C 0:2 Dougaz A Dougaz A
2026-06-13 2026 Halle, Germany, Qualifying
Collignon R 2:0 Dougaz A Dougaz A
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySakellaridis D - Dougaz A

Sakellaridis D
0 matches total
Dougaz A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history