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ATP Challenger. Hagen
ATP Challenger. Hagen
06.08.2026 09:00 UTC

Dodig M - Giustino L

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Hagen
ATP Challenger. Hagen clay 06.08.2026 09:00 UTC Not started
06.08.2026 09:00 UTC Not started
Dodig M
Dodig M
Rank #198 Elo 283
48Struggling Form
W L L W L L W W
G
Giustino L
Rank #257 Elo 214
59Average Form
W L L W W W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.58 63.9% BetBoom
P2 2.80 36.1% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#198 Rating #257
34 Age 21
1.80m Height (cm) 1.88m
80kg Weight (kg) 77kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Dodig M Giustino L
Aces per match 4.11 5.42
Double faults per match 3.34 1.48
Breaks per match 1.7 1.61

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Lorenzo Giustino
Rank:198 Elo: 283
W L L W L L W W
Matej Dodig
Rank:257 Elo: 214
W L L W W W W W
Elo favourite:Giustino L (edge +69 Elo)

Hard

Lorenzo GiustinoMatej Dodig
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 53.9% 7 / 13 Matches 50.0% 5 / 10 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 14 / 21 Matches 59.3% 16 / 27 Matches

Clay

Lorenzo GiustinoMatej Dodig
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 48.0% 12 / 25 Matches 66.7% 14 / 21 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 64.4% 38 / 59 Matches 58.1% 18 / 31 Matches

Grass

Lorenzo GiustinoMatej Dodig
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Lorenzo Giustino Matej Dodig
H2H wins 1 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Sets 2 (66.7%) 1 (33.3%)
Wins this year 47.5% 19 / 40 Matches 58.8% 20 / 34 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 62.7% 52 / 83 Matches 58.1% 36 / 62 Matches
Current rank 198 257

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Lorenzo Giustino Matej Dodig
Prize money (career) $934,068 USD $73,105 USD
Rating 198 257
Age 34 21
Height 1.80m 1.88m
Weight 80kg 77kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Lorenzo Giustino Matej Dodig
Match Wins 48 % 59 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 50 % 61 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 0 % 50 %
Wins in Straight Sets 28 % 29 %
Wins From Behind 16 % 30 %
Won At Least 1 Set 70 % 71 %
Set 1 Win 55 % 47 %
Set 2 Win 43 % 55 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Dodig M take on Giustino L on August 6, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Hagen.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dodig M 3-0-2, Giustino L 2-0-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Dodig M — 62%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dodig M): model 59% · market 62% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Dodig M ✓ Pick61.8%
market62%
2 · Giustino L38.2%
market38%

Model estimate: win Dodig M 61.8%, win Giustino L 38.2%. Model favourite — Dodig M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dodig M (odds1.61) Score 2:1 confidence 58%
  • • Dodig M
  • • 🇭🇷 — Dzhustino L
  • • 🇮🇹 (tennis)
  • • Dodig M
  • • 🇭🇷: forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • • Dzhustino L
  • • 🇮🇹: forma VPPPP (1-4)
  • • Model backs Dodig M
  • • 🇭🇷: probability 58% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.61)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dodig M - Giustino L August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dodig M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.38 / 2 2.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 4 books · best price +5.7%
1 ✓ Pick 62.1%
2 37.9%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.60 ↓ 1.38
Winner P2 2.20 ↑ 2.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Dodig M

no data

Giustino L
4-6LWLLLLLWWW
scored 1.0conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated06.08.2026 00:06 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
2 48%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Total games Over 22.5
Per AI data H2H: 0:1
Claude updated06.08.2026 00:10 UTC
1 62% ✓ favourite
2 38%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:1 — win Mateya Dodiga (ot 1.65)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 52% 48% 2:1 Over 22.5 Total games Over 22.5
Claude 62% 38% 2:1 Over 21.5
Match center
Start 06.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market 1 67.0% @ 1.38 / 2 33.0% @ 2.80
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Dodig M 57%
📐 Math model Dodig M 62%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Dodig M - Giustino L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dodig M 62.1% 58.5% market and model agree
Giustino L 37.9% 41.5% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko61.8% · +Elo prior (weight0.26).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 61.8% / 38.2% probabilities
Rating 1,820 / 1,644 Dodig M / Giustino L
RD 157 / 120 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,505-2,134 / 1,405-1,884 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.80 Fonbet · no value · model 38.2%
1 1.38 Fonbet · no value · model 61.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.65 60.6% —
— — 1.50 66.7% —
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.63 61.4% 1.77 56.5%
— — 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0%
— — 2.45 40.8% —
1.89 52.9% 1.80 55.6% — 1.98 50.5%
— — — 1.76 56.8%
— — 2.10 47.6% —
— — 2.45 40.8% —
— — 2.15 46.5% —
— — 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.48 67.6% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.15 87.0%
2.07 48.3%
1.67 59.9%
4.70 21.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 — — 1.60 62.5% —
Over 21.5 1.76 56.8% — 1.68 59.5% 1.79 55.9%
Over 22.5 1.97 50.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5 — — 2.15 46.5% —
Over 24.5 — — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 20.5 — — 2.20 45.5% —
Under 21.5 1.97 50.8% — 2.05 48.8% —
Under 22.5 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% —
Under 23.5 — — 1.62 61.7% —
Under 24.5 — — 1.58 63.3% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 2.5 1.52 65.8%

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Lorenzo Giustino Matej Dodig Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.93 9.94 9.94
Over 6.5 100 % 97 % 99 %
Over 7.5 97 % 90 % 94 %
Over 8.5 74 % 81 % 78 %
Over 9.5 55 % 58 % 57 %
Over 10.5 26 % 29 % 28 %
Over 11.5 26 % 29 % 28 %

Aces

Lorenzo Giustino Matej Dodig Match total
Aces Per Match 4.11 5.42 9.53
Most Aces in a match 66 % 68 % N/A
1+ 95 % 94 % 97 %
2+ 92 % 81 % 95 %
3+ 63 % 71 % 90 %
4+ 50 % 65 % 83 %
5+ 32 % 58 % 76 %

Breaks

Lorenzo Giustino Matej Dodig Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.7 1.61 3.31
Over 0.5 50 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 47 % 61 % 75 %
Over 2.5 45 % 3 % 46 %
Over 3.5 3 % 0 % 45 %
Over 4.5 0 % 0 % 43 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 23 %

Tie-breaks

Lorenzo Giustino Matej Dodig Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.45 0.29 0.37
Over 0.5 39 % 29 % 34 %
Over 1.5 5 % 0 % 3 %
Under 0.5 61 % 71 % 34 %
Under 1.5 95 % 100 % 3 %

Double faults

Lorenzo Giustino Matej Dodig Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.34 1.48 4.82
Over 0.5 (1+) 92 % 68 % 97 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 76 % 42 % 82 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 61 % 23 % 71 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 42 % 10 % 57 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 21 % 6 % 44 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 13 % 0 % 37 %

Net points

Lorenzo Giustino Matej Dodig Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.33 6.81 14.14
Over 4.5 (5+) 72 % 78 % 75 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 61 % 56 % 59 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 44 % 39 % 42 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 44 % 28 % 36 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 39 % 22 % 31 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 22 % 11 % 17 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match center
Dodig M
W W W L L
2026-08-04 2026 Hagen, Germany
Dodig M Travaglia S 0:2 Dodig M
2026-08-03 2026 Hagen, Germany, Qualifying
Dodig M Dodig M 2:0 Krutykh O
2026-08-02 2026 Hagen, Germany, Qualifying
Dodig M Dodig M 2:0 Opitz J
2026-07-14 2026 Umag, Croatia
Dodig M Dodig M 0:2 Carreno Busta P
2026-07-12 2026 Trieste, Italy
Dodig M Dodig M 1:2 Dellien H
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Giustino L
W L L W L
2026-08-04 2026 Hagen, Germany
Giustino L 2:1 Sachko V Giustino L
2026-07-28 2026 Bonn, Germany
Wallin O 2:1 Giustino L Giustino L
2026-07-19 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria, Qualifying
Cina F 2:0 Giustino L Giustino L
2026-07-18 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria, Qualifying
Hipfl N 0:2 Giustino L Giustino L
2026-07-14 2026 Cordenons, Italy
Roncadelli F 2:1 Giustino L Giustino L
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDodig M - Giustino L

Dodig M
0 matches total
Giustino L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history