ATP Challenger. Hagenclay04.08.2026 09:30 UTCFinished
04.08.2026 09:30 UTCFinished
Kolar Z
LLLLW
Brancaccio R
LLLWW
0:2
Odds
P11.73
54.2% BetBoom
P22.05
45.8% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
clayCoverageclay
0H2H0
Kolar Z take on Brancaccio R on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Hagen.
Recent form (W-D-L): Kolar Z 1-0-4, Brancaccio R 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 54% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Kolar Z — 54%
Pure model vs market (1 · Kolar Z): model 53% · market 54%Δ −1 ppmodel estimate matches the market
54%1
1 · Kolar Z53.9%
2 · Brancaccio R46.1%
Model estimate: win Kolar Z 53.9%, win Brancaccio R 46.1%. Model favourite — Kolar Z.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Kolar Z (odds1.73)Score 2:1confidence 53%✗ outcome missed
•Kolar Z
•🇨🇿 — Brankachchio R
•🇮🇹 (tennis)
•Kolar Z
•🇨🇿: forma PPPPV (1-4)
•Brankachchio R
•🇮🇹: forma PPPVV (2-3)
•Model backs Kolar Z
•🇨🇿: probability 53% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.73)
•no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Kolar Z - Brancaccio R August 4, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kolar Z.
Line favourite Fonbet: Kolar Z. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.73 / 2 2.05
Glicko: Kolar Z 53.9% / Brancaccio R 46.1%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.5%
4 books
154.0%
246.0%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 11.75↓ 1.73
Winner 22.05→ 2.05
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Kolar Z
4-6LWLWLLWWLL
scored 1.1conceded 1.2
Brancaccio R
3-7WLLLLWWLLL
scored 1.1conceded 1.5
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
*
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 08:10 UTC
155%✓ favourite
245%
Score2:1Total games: Over 22.5Bet:1
Per AI dataH2H: 1:1
Claudeupdated04.08.2026 08:13 UTC
156%✓ favourite
244%
Score2:0Total games: Over 21.5Bet:Over 21.5 games (1 Kolar tolko ot kefa 1.80)
AI consensus:1
AI
1
2
Score
Total games
Bet
Google AI
55%
45%
2:1
Over 22.5
Claude
56%
44%
2:0
Over 21.5
Over 21.5 games (1 Kolar tolko ot kefa 1.80)
Match center
Start04.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Market1 54.2% @ 1.73 / 2 45.8% @ 2.05
Coverageclay
Form6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI modelsKolar Z 56%
📐 Math modelKolar Z 54%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Kolar Z - Brancaccio R
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score0:2
Events0
Statistics0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
home - 53.9% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.582 / LogLoss 0.775
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
home - 50.5% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.509 / LogLoss 0.703
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Kolar Z54.0%53.9%market and model agree
Brancaccio R46.0%46.1%
1X2: 4 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P253.9% / 46.1%
probabilities
Rating1,612 / 1,588
Kolar Z / Brancaccio R
RD136 / 138
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,340-1,884 / 1,312-1,864
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.05
Fonbet · no value · model 46.1%
11.73
Fonbet · no value · model 53.9%
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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